Xavier Musketeers vs Texas Longhorns Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/19/2025

Game Time: 9:10 pm ET, Wednesday, March 19, 2025

Venue:  University of Dayton Arena, Dayton, OH

Where to Watch:  truTV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Xavier -2.5, Texas +2.5; Over/Under:  149.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Xavier -2.5, Texas +2.5; Over/Under:  149.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Xavier -2.5, Texas +2.5; Over/Under:  149.5 points

Xavier Musketeers:  21-11 (13-7) (4th place, Big East)

Texas Longhorns:  19-15 (6-12) (13th place, SEC)

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Xavier Musketeers:  4-1  last 5

Texas Longhorns:  3-2  last 5

Xavier is entering this game with a 21-11 record overall, a 13-7 record in conference games, and they are 1-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Marquette Golden Eagles in their last game. Ryan Conwell led the team in points in that game with 38 while Zach Freemantle was next on the team with 15. Zach Freemantle led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Zach Freemantle and Dailyn Swain each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 52.6% from the field, 47.8% from 3-point range, and 84.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 70.9 PPG against them. Xavier has an ATS record of 18-14 this season and their O/U record is 15-17.

Texas is entering this game with a 19-15 record overall, a 6-12 conference record, and they are 4-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Tennessee Volunteers in their last game. Kadin Shedrick and Jordan Pope each led the team in points in that game with 14 while Tre Johnson was next on the team with 11. Tramon Mark led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Kadin Shedrick led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 46.3% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 85.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 72.2 PPG against them. Texas has an ATS record of 16-17-1 this season and their O/U record is 21-11-2.

The current betting odds have Xavier listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Xavier has looked good in their games this season with their 21-11 record overall and their 13-7 conference record which had them in the top half of the Big East. They weren't great in their neutral site games though, going 1-2 in the 3 games they had. Meanwhile, Texas hasn't looked great in their games this season with their 19-15 record overall and their 6-12 conference record which had them in the bottom half of the SEC. They had a great start to the season and they are even 4-2 in their neutral site games, but they were a terrible team in their own conference and are very fortunate to be in this position. They are coming off a loss to Tennessee in the SEC Tournament and they are still just 3-2 in their last 5 games as they struggled in their conference all season. Xavier is also coming off a loss in their conference tournament, losing a tight game with Marquette which they blew a big lead in, but they are also 4-1 in their last 5 games and were really hot to end the regular season. Xavier also has a big advantage in this game since the game is in Ohio so this is going to be more like a home game for them with the crowd on their side. Xavier has been the better team down the stretch, coming into this tournament hot, and they can take advantage of an up and down Texas team that is fortunate to even be in this position to make the NCAA Tournament. The best way to place a bet here is on Xavier to cover the spread in this game. 

Xavier Texas Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, March 19, 2025 (9:10 pm ET start time) is Xavier 69 Texas 64.

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Xavier Musketeers: 34-26 ATS as a favorite. 4-1 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less or pick. 16-11 ATS after scoring 85 points or more. 27-17 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5. 22-14 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses. 35-26 OVER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 turnovers/game or less.

Texas Longhorns: 1-4 ATS against Big East conference opponents. 6-16 ATS after 3 or more consecutive overs. 23-31 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game. 22-10 OVER as an underdog. 40-25 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5. 20-8 OVER off a loss against a conference rival.

Xavier Musketeers:  T. Green (G) Out - Undisclosed. L. Traore (F) Out - Knee. R. Anderson (G) Out - Redshirt.

Texas Longhorns:  None.

“We desperately want to be a part of the tournament. We’ve won 12 of our last 16, seven in a row coming into today’s game. Obviously we played against an excellent team on a neutral court. I think if anybody watches today’s game, I think you had two teams that are NCAA Tournament-caliber playing out there.” - Sean Miller after his team’s loss against Marquette in the Big East Tournament.

“We would have loved to have won a few more games. I've been here 13 years, and we understand what the standards and expectations are at the University of Texas, and we don't shy away from that. But we are excited about this opportunity to continue to play, and we've been granted 40 more minutes, just like everybody else in this tournament.” - Rodney Terry on his team playing in the First Four games for the NCAA Tournament.

R. Conwell 

M. Foster 

Z. Freemantle 

D. McKnight 

D. Swain

T. Johnson 

A. Kaluma 

T. Mark 

J. Pope 

K. Shedrick

PPG: Z. Freemantle (17.4)

APG: D. McKnight (4.3)

Reb/G: Z. Freemantle (7.1)

PPG: T. Johnson (20.2)

APG: J. Larry (3.3)

Reb/G: A. Kaluma (7.8)

Coaches:

Xavier Musketeers: Sean Miller (3rd season)

Texas Longhorns: Rodney Terry (3rd season)