World Series Game 6: Philadelphia Phillies Vs Houston Astros Game Prediction, Odds and Preview - 11/05/2022

by James Q

World Series Game 6: Philadelphia Phillies Vs Houston Astros Game Prediction, Odds and Preview - 11/05/2022

Game Time: 8:03 pm ET, Saturday, November 5th, 2022
Venue: Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas
Where to Watch:  FOX

Opening MLB Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline:  Phillies +120, Astros -140; O/U 7
PointsBet:  Moneyline:    Phillies +125, Astros -145; O/U 7
Caesars: Moneyline:   Phillies +122, Astros -145; O/U 7

Season Record

Phillies: 87-75, 3rd place NL East, 2-3 World Series
Astros: 106-56, 1st AL West, 3-2 World Series

The Wor4ld Series has been a siren song of betting disappointment.  The Philadelphia Phillies demonstrated an ability to score in clusters… to earn runs in bunches… frankly to hit the ball.  The Phillies took wins in Games 1 and 3 by smacking the cover off the ball.  They also took losses in Games 2 and 4 by NOT smacking the cover off of anything.  The result is now the 2022 World Series goes back to Houston for 6 and 7 **if 7 is needed** with the Astros down 3-2.  I can’t tell you how a win in game 3 gave me a huge betting lead… and losses in Games 4 and 5 took that huge betting lead away.  I thought that the home crowd would propel the Phillies to take at least 2 of the 3 games at home… They didn’t.  Lots of Phillies Fanatics left Citizens Bank Park dejected (and probably a little drunk).  It’s not over… in baseball nothing ends until the ABSOLUTE end… but the historical numbers will tell you the crack in the window is small and hard to get through.  For the Phillies to beat the Astros 2 games in a row and claim a World Series title… they would need a herculean effort of numbers defying intensity.  We should have seen this coming?... The Phillies were the first 3rd place team from their division to make the World Series in 100 years.  The Phillies were 87 wins in the regular season while the Astros had 106 wins in the regular season… The Astros batting AND pitching numbers were higher than the Phillies all season long.  So what is the Great Betting Opportunity?  For Game 6?

The Philadelphia Phillies lost Game 5 of the 2022 World Series in a close 3-2 finish.  The Phillies looked like they were going to turn things around in the 8th inning when they had runners on first and third with only 1 Out and the top of their lineup headed for the plate.  It just never came to be. Phillies pitcher Noah Syndergaard made his second start of the postseason and only went 3 innings after allowing three hits and 2 runs.  The Phillies got the excitement going on the offensive end with a perfect Kyle Schwarber home run in the bottom of the first inning… they would not score again until the 8th inning… and that last run would not do the trick. Phillies game highlights were few and far between.  A great moment was Catcher JT Realmuto throwing Jeremy Pena out at second base on a steal attempt… another great moment was that frist inning home run… and then… huh?

The Houston Astros are preparing for a Championship celebration on their home field.  They first have to win a game… one single game.  The fans of baseball do not like that this is a reality coming 5 season since this ballclub cheated its way to a World Series title and was not sufficiently punished for it.  However… They are one win away.  In Game 5 Justin Verlander put his 0-6 in the World Series standing out of his head… and promptly gave up a home run to Kyle Schwarber.  After that he settled down and made it through 5 innings with 6 strikeouts and only that one run to show for it.  Astros SS Jeremy Pena had a star moment when he got up to snag a massive hit from Phillies Nick Castellanos.  It was sure to be an RBI double… instead it was out with a whimper.  Pena if you remember was the first rookie shortstop to ever win a Golden Glove. Pena would also come up with a solo home run.  In a night of limited offense with tons of defense… Penas supplied a large slice of both for the Astros.

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Philadelphia Phillies Vs Houston Astros Review and Analysis

Recent Form  

PHI: 98-80, 842 ML, 88-82-8 O/U, 45-44 in road games.
HOU: 116-58, 2564 ML, 64-101-0 O/U, 60-27 in home games.

Offensive Analysis

The Phillies finished the season 7th in scoring with 4.61 per game, 8th in batting average with .253, and 11th in OBP with .317

The Astros finished the season 8th in scoring with 4.55 per game, 12th in batting average with .248, and 7th in OBP with .319.

Defensive Analysis

The Phillies pitchers finished the season 18th in ERA with 3.97, 14th in WHIP with 1.26, and the fielder’s finished 3rd best in errors with only 69 on the season.

The Astros pitchers finished the season 2nd in the league in ERA with 2.90, 2nd in WHIP with 1.09, and their fielders finished 6th best in errors with 72 on the season.

Philadelphia Phillies Vs Houston Astros Prediction

Our prediction for Saturday, November 5th is…  Astros 5 - Phillies 3

Bet on the Astros.  It all ends in Game 6.

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MLB Betting Trends

Philly is 66-40 after 3 straight games where the bullpen threw 4+ innings since 1992.
Houston is 44-18 when the moneyline is -100 to -150 this season.
Houston is 15-4 at home with a moneyline of -100 to -150 this season.

Players to Watch

Phillies: RHP Zach Wheeler, 1-2, 2.67 ERA, 28 strikeouts in 30 innings pitched. 0.73 WHIP.

Astros: LHP Framber Valdez, 2-0, 1.42 ERA, 24 strikeouts in 19 innings pitched.  0.95 WHIP.  Framber has been an absolute star in the mound for the Astros this World Series.

Starting Lineups

Phillies: Castellanos, 3B Alex Bohm, SS Bryson Stott, Phillies: LF Kyle Schwarber, 1B Rhys Hoskins, C JT Realmuto, DH Bryce Harper, RF Nick 2B Jean Segura, CF Brandon Marsh

Astros: 2B Jose Altuve, SS Jeremy Pena, LF Jordan Alvarez, 3B Alex Bregman, 1B Yuli Gurriel, DH Trey Mancini, CF Chas McCormack, C Martin Maldonado


Phillies: Rob “how bout them ears” Thompson
Astros: Dusty “They aren’t cheating as a far as I know” Baker

Weather Forecast 

Partly Cloudy, 74* for the high during the day.  HUmidity 48%, Wind 9 mph.


James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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