by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Sep 19, 2023
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, September 22, 2023
Venue: Ross–Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN
Where to Watch: Fox Sports 1
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Wisconsin -6, Purdue +6; Over/Under: 53.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Wisconsin -6, Purdue +6; Over/Under: 53.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Wisconsin -6, Purdue +6; Over/Under: 53.5 points
Season Record
Wisconsin Badgers: 2-1 (0-0) (3rd place, Big Ten West)
Purdue Boilermakers: 1-2 (0-0) (4th place, Big Ten West)
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Wisconsin Badgers: won their last game at home against the Georgia Southern Eagles 35-14.
Purdue Boilermakers: lost their last game at home against the Syracuse Orange 35-20.
Wisconsin Badgers vs Purdue Boilermakers Preview and Analysis
Wisconsin is entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Georgia Southern 35-14. Tanner Mordecai was the starting QB and he completed 19/30 passes for 236 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Braelon Allen led the team in rushing yards with 94 and 2 TDs. Chimere Dike led the receivers with 57 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Hunter Wohler led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Darryl Peterson led the defense in sacks with 2. Hunter Wohler came away with 2 interceptions for them while Ricardo Hallman, CJ Goetz, and Jason Maitre each came away with 1 interception in that game.
Purdue is entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Syracuse 35-20. Hudson Card was the starting QB and he completed 32/46 passes for 323 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Tyrone Tracy Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 38 and 1 TD. Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen led the receivers with 114 receiving yards on 10 receptions. Dillon Thieneman led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while OC Brothers, Kydran Jenkins, Nic Caraway, and Scotty Humpich each led the defense in sacks with 1. Cam Allen came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Wisconsin vs Purdue Prediction
The current betting odds have Wisconsin listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Wisconsin hasn't looked great in their games this season but they finally put up a good performance in their last game. They did struggle a bit with Georgia Southern at home but their defense stepped up later in the game and they ended up blowing GA Southern out. The Wisconsin offense is starting to look a lot better too as they are putting up more points now and that will give them an edge on the road here. Purdue hasn't been great in their games as they are 1-2 this season and have already lost twice at home against Fresno State and Syracuse. Purdue does have a good defense and their offense has definitely improved from last season, but they are still trying to figure things out with their new head coach. Wisconsin is in their 2nd year under Luke Fickell now and he will have his team ready for this 1st conference game of the season. Wisconsin has the better defense and their offense is starting to roll now, they will get out to a lead in this game and shut Purdue down on offense. The best way to place a bet here is on Wisconsin to cover the spread in this game.
Wisconsin Purdue Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, September 22, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Wisconsin 27 Purdue 16.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Wisconsin Badgers: 1-7 ATS after a win by 21 or more points. 2-9 ATS after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game. 8-2 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of +4 or better. 8-4 UNDER after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games.
Purdue Boilermakers: 5-0 ATS off a home loss. 9-4 ATS after playing a game at home. 7-1 UNDER after playing a non-conference game. 10-4 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread.
Key Injuries
Wisconsin Badgers: J. Pugh (TE) Ques Fri - Personal. R. Nowakowski (TE) Ques Fri - Foot. C. Brooks Jr. (WR) Ques Fri - Foot. T. McIntosh (WR) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. I. Mullens (DE) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. M. Lofy (CB) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. A. Witt (LB) Ques Fri - Leg. G. O'Neill (WR) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. C. Large (TE) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. T. Kekahuna (WR) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. J. Trudgeon (S) out for season - Undisclosed. A. Toombs (TE) out for season - Undisclosed. J. Renfro (OL) Out indefinitely - Foot.
Purdue Boilermakers: P. Piferi (TE) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. G. Hartwig (OL) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. S. Turner-Muhammad (DB) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. J. Edrine (WR) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“Braelon is an unselfish kid. We all have an unselfish nature to us but the key is can we not let it override us with what's best for the team, and recognize what's best for the team.” - Luke Fickell after his team’s win against GA Southern in their last game.
"We teach covering up the ball a certain way when you're in traffic and that really led to putting the ball ground seven times. We're fortunate to only lose three of them, but you can't win a ball game against a quality opponent when you turn the ball over four times, especially in the red area like we did." - Ryan Walters after his team’s loss against Syracuse in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Wisconsin Badgers
WR Dike, Chimere
WR Green, Bryson
WR Pauling, Will
TE Rucci, Hayden
QB Mordecai, Tanner
RB Allen, Braelon
Purdue Boilermakers
WR Burks, Deion
WR Yaseen, Abdur-Rahmaan
WR Sheffield, TJ
TE Miller, Garrett
QB Card, Hudson
RB Mockobee, Devin
Statistical Leaders
Wisconsin Badgers
Passing: T. Mordecai (703)
Rushing: C. Mellusi (267)
Receiving: C. Dike (161)
Touchdowns: B. Allen (4)
Purdue Boilermakers
Passing: H. Card (825)
Rushing: D. Mockobee (186)
Receiving: D. Burks (221)
Touchdowns: D. Burks (3)
Coaches:
Wisconsin Badgers: Luke Fickell (2nd season)
Purdue Boilermakers: Ryan Walters (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
