Wisconsin Badgers vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/15/2022

Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 15, 2022

Venue:  Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI 

Where to Watch:  Fox

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Wisconsin -7, MSU +7; Over/Under:  49 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Wisconsin -7.5, MSU +7.5; Over/Under:  49 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Wisconsin -7.5, MSU +7.5; Over/Under:  49 points

 

Wisconsin Badgers:  3-3 (1-2) (5th place, Big Ten West)

Michigan State Spartans:  2-4 (0-3) (7th place, Big Ten East)

 

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Wisconsin Badgers:  won their last game on the road against the Northwestern Wildcats 42-7.

Michigan State Spartans:  lost their last game at home against the Ohio State Buckeyes 49-20.

 

Wisconsin is entering this game with a 3-3 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 3rd road game of the season here as they are 1-1 in their road games this year. This will also be their 4th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 1-2. They won against the Northwestern Wildcats in their last game on the road 42-7. Graham Mertz started that game at QB and he completed 20/29 passes for 299 yards and 5 touchdowns. Braelon Allen led the team in rushing with 135 yards on 23 rushing attempts. Chimere Dike led the team in receiving with 185 yards and 3 TDs on 10 receptions. Nick Herbig led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles. Nick Herbig led the defense in sacks with 1 while Kamo'i Latu came away with the only 2 interceptions for them in that one.

 

 

 

MSU is entering this game with a 2-4 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 5th home game of the season as they are 2-2 in their home games this year. This will also be the 4th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 0-3. They lost against the Ohio State Buckeyes in their last game at home 49-20. Payton Thorne started that game at QB and he completed 11/18 passes for 113 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Elijah Collins led the team in rushing with 9 yards on 2 carries. Jayden Reed led the team in receiving with 67 yards and 1 TD on 4 receptions. Ameer Speed led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles. Derrick Harmon led the defense in sacks with 1 while Charles Brantley came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Wisconsin listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Neither of these teams have had a very good start to their conference seasons but MSU has looked much worse in their games than Wisconsin. MSU has lost some bad games at home this season and they have been getting blown out by other conference opponents. Wisconsin hasn't been any better but they still have a very good defense and will be coming into this one with a lot of confidence after crushing NW last week. They also fired their head coach and pulled off that win in their 1st game without him so the team is responding now and they will show some improvement under their interim head coach. MSU has been giving up a lot of points on defense and they have struggled to put up points on offense too. Wisconsin doesn't have a great offense but they will do enough to score here taking the lead and their defense will be able to hold on as they extend their lead throughout the game. The best way to place a bet here is on Wisconsin to cover the spread in this game.

 

Wisconsin Michigan State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 15, 2022 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Wisconsin 27 MSU 13.

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Wisconsin Badgers: 3-9 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 2-7 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 19-9 OVER as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points.

Michigan State Spartans: 7-17 ATS off a home loss by 14 or more points. 41-68 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 12-6 OVER in games played on a grass field.

 

 

Wisconsin Badgers:  C. Mellusi (RB) Out indefinitely - Wrist. H. Wohler (S) Ques Sat - Leg. H. Rucci (TE) Ques Sat - Leg.

Michigan State Spartans:  X. Henderson (S) Out indefinitely - Leg. T. Lockett Jr. (WR) Out indefinitely - Tricep. D. Snow (LB) out for season - Leg.

 

 

"There was a lot more nerves throughout the week than there was today. Gameday is gameday. I've been a part of a lot of these, obviously not in this role. This is the reward. You put in the work, you put in the time and you should have confidence when you step off that bus that you have the right plan, you have the right guys, you put them in position to have success." - Jim Leonhard after his team’s win against NW in their last game.

 

 

"I'm not looking to make any changes from a coaching standpoint at all." - Mel Tucker after his team’s loss against OSU in their last game.

 

 

 

WR Dike, Chimere

WR Bell, Skyler 

TE Rucci, Hayden 

QB Mertz, Graham

RB Allen, Braelon

FB Acker, Jackson 

 

WR Reed, Jayden

WR Coleman, Keon

WR Mosley, Tre 

TE Hunt, Tyler

QB Thorne, Payton

RB Berger, Jalen 

 

 

Passing: G. Mertz (1296)

Rushing: B. Allen (634)

Receiving: C. Dike (442)

Touchdowns: B. Allen (6)

 

Passing: P. Thorne (1234)

Rushing: J. Berger (308)

Receiving: K. Coleman (314)

Touchdowns: J. Berger (4) 

 

Coaches:

Wisconsin Badgers: Jim Leonhard (Interim)

Michigan State Spartans: Mel Tucker (3rd season)