Wisconsin Badgers vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/15/2025

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 15, 2025

Venue:  Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

Where to Watch:  CBS, Paramount+

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Wisconsin +1.5, MSU -1.5; Over/Under:  144.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Wisconsin +1.5, MSU -1.5; Over/Under:  144.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Wisconsin +1.5, MSU -1.5; Over/Under:  144.5 points

Wisconsin Badgers:  24-8 (13-7) (5th place, Big Ten)

Michigan State Spartans:  26-5 (17-3) (1st place, Big Ten)

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Wisconsin Badgers:  3-2  last 5

Michigan State Spartans:  5-0  last 5

Wisconsin is entering this game with a 25-8 record overall, a 13-7 record in conference games, and they are 5-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the UCLA Bruins in their last game. John Tonje led the team in points in that game with 26 while John Blackwell was next on the team with 18. John Blackwell, John Tonje, and Kamari McGee each led the team in assists with 4 in that game while John Tonje led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 51.7% from the field, 59.4% from 3-point range, and 53.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 80.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 70.7 PPG against them. Wisconsin has an ATS record of 21-12 this season and their O/U record is 19-14.

Michigan State is entering this game with a 27-5 record overall, a 17-3 conference record, and they are 4-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Oregon Ducks in their last game. Jase Richardson led the team in points in that game with 17 while Jaden Akins was next on the team with 12. Jeremy Fears Jr. led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Coen Carr led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 46.3% from the field, 46.7% from 3-point range, and 58.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67 PPG against them. Michigan State has an ATS record of 22-9-1 this season and their O/U record is 10-22.

The current betting odds have Michigan State listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Michigan State has looked great in their games this season with their 27-5 record overall and their 17-3 conference record which has them right at the top of the Big Ten. They are also 4-2 in their neutral site games this season. Meanwhile, Wisconsin has looked good in their games this season with their 25-8 record overall and their 13-7 conference record which has them in the top half of the Big Ten. They have looked great in their neutral site games too as they are 5-0 in those. Wisconsin is coming off a huge win over UCLA by double digits in their last one and they have won 2 games in a row now, gaining some momentum in this tournament, but they are still only 3-2 in their last 5 games. Michigan State won the Big Ten for the regular season so they have nothing to prove here while Wisconsin needs this game more since they are trying to get back on track with some momentum going into the NCAA Tournament. Michigan State has still been rolling though, coming off a double digit win over Oregon, and they have won 8 games in a row now. Michigan State also has the advantage here since they are playing on a back-to-back while Wisconsin will be playing their 3rd game in a row here. Michigan State has been rolling lately and they will be looking to build this momentum going into the tournament that matters. They also beat Wisconsin during this streak they have been on. The best way to place a bet here is on Michigan State to cover the spread in this game. 

Wisconsin Michigan State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, March 15, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Michigan State 72 Wisconsin 66.

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Wisconsin Badgers: 20-12 ATS in all games. 6-3 ATS as an underdog. 5-1 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season. 8-3 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging 16 assists/game or more. 5-1 UNDER versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or more with a defense of 42% or less.

Michigan State Spartans: 11-16 1H ATS in all games. 3-6 1H ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season. 7-12 1H ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% of their shots or more. 11-2 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5. 13-3 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game.

Wisconsin Badgers:  C. Hunter (G) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Greppi (F) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Michigan State Spartans:  C. Walton (F) Out - Redshirt.

"In the first half, I thought he was active on the glass. He kept a couple of possessions alive, got him going a little bit, got fouled on a rebound. Going to the free throw line, to be able to get there ten times, he's got a really unique skill set at seven feet. The way he shoots it, and now he's getting stronger and more confident to be able to put the ball on the floor. He has a lot of versatility to his game. You could just tell his confidence was growing and growing as the possessions were going on. I know he had 18 [points], but I was as impressed with the job he did defensively on [Nick] Martinelli. I thought he moved his feet really well. I thought he contested when he needed to and really helped set the tone defensively with the job he did on Martinelli." - Greg Gard after his team’s win against Northwestern in the Big Ten Tournament.

“It has been strength in numbers. We had to do something different than most. I didn't do it my way – we all know I've had more talent and haven't played as many at times, although we've always played quite a few. I hope nobody leaves here saying he did it ‘My Way’ like Frank Sinatra. I hope they say he did it the way championships are won and championships are done.” - Tom Izzo after his team’s win against Michigan in their regular season finale. 

J. Blackwell 

S. Crowl 

M. Klesmit 

J. Tonje 

N. Winter

J. Akins 

J. Fears 

T. Holloman 

J. Kohler 

S. Zapala

PPG: J. Tonje (18.9)

APG: M. Klesmit (2.7)

Reb/G: N. Winter (6)

PPG: J. Akins (12.9)

APG: J. Fears (5.5)

Reb/G: J. Kohler (7.8)

Coaches:

Wisconsin Badgers: Greg Gard (10th season)

Michigan State Spartans: Tom Izzo (30th season)