Winnipeg Jets vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/24/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jan 23, 2024
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, January 24, 2024
Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON 
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Jets +110, Leafs -130; Over/Under:  6 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Jets +110, Leafs -130; Over/Under:  6 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Jets +110, Leafs -130; Over/Under:  6 goals

Season Record

Winnipeg Jets:  30-11-4 (1st place, Central Division)
Toronto Maple Leafs:  23-14-8 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

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Recent Form
Winnipeg Jets:  8-2-0 last 10
Toronto Maple Leafs:  5-4-1 last 10



Winnipeg Jets vs Toronto Maple Leafs Preview and Analysis


The Jets are entering this game with 64 points, a 30-11-4 record overall, and they are 14-5-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Boston Bruins in their last game, losing that one on the road 4-1. Vladislav Namestnikov scored 1 goal for them in that game. Dylan DeMelo and Nikolaj Ehlers each led the team in assists with 1 while Nikolaj Ehlers led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Connor Hellebuyck was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 20 shots with 17 saves and a .850 save percentage. Their offense has scored 146 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 104 goals against them allowing 2.3 goals per game.


The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 54 points, a 23-14-8 record overall, and they are 10-9-2 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Seattle Kraken in their last game, winning that one on the road 3-1. Auston Matthews, Jake McCabe, and Nicholas Robertson each scored 1 goal for them in that game. Tyler Bertuzzi, Max Domi, and Mitchell Marner each led the team in assists with 1 while Auston Matthews led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Ilya Samsonov was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 17 shots with 16 saves and a .941 save percentage. Their offense has scored 161 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 148 goals against them allowing 3.3 goals per game.


Jets vs Maple Leafs Prediction

The current betting odds have the Jets listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Jets have looked great in their games this season with their 30-11-4 record overall which has them leading their division in the West and also has one of the best records in the entire NHL. They have looked great in their road games too with their 14-5-2 road record and they have been hot lately, going 8-2-0 in their last 10 games. Meanwhile, the Leafs have also looked good in their games this season with their 23-14-8 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East, but lately they have been slipping down the standings as they haven't looked great in their games. They are only 5-4-1 in their last 10 games as they have been struggling more to win lately and they haven't looked that great on home ice this season either, going 10-9-2 in their home games. The Jets enter this game as the hotter team right now and they are also coming off a loss in their last game to the Bruins so they will be looking to bounce back from that. The Jets also have one of the best defenses and some of the best goaltending in the league while the Leafs are playing their 1st game back at home from a road trip out West. The best way to place a bet here is on the Jets to win this game. 

Jets Maple Leafs Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, January 24, 2024 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Jets 2 Leafs 1.
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NHL Betting Trends


Winnipeg Jets: 30-15 (+10.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 14-6 (+7 units) on the moneyline after playing a road game. 35-27 (+9.2 units) on the moneyline after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game. 24-15 UNDER in all games. 11-6 UNDER in a road game where the total is 6 or more. 16-7 UNDER after 5 or more consecutive unders.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 22-22 (-12.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 10-11 (-8.6 units) on the moneyline off a win or tie in their previous game. 4-7 (-8.2 units) on the moneyline after a win by 2 goals or more. 12-7 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive unders. 7-3 UNDER off a road win. 13-7 UNDER after playing a road game.

Key Injuries


Winnipeg Jets:  G. Vilardi (RW) Ques Wed - Lower Body. D. Gustafsson (C) Early Feb - Lower Body. M. Scheifele (C) Out indefinitely - Lower Body.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  J. Woll (G) Out indefinitely - Ankle. R. Reaves (RW) Out indefinitely - Leg. J. Klingberg (D) out for season - Hip. M. Murray (G) out for season - Hip. J. Muzzin (D) out for season - Spine.


Notable Quotes


“That’s probably the worst game we’ve had in a long time with our breakouts. We were slow moving it and the passes were soft. That allows Boston to play their game.” - Rick Bowness after his team’s loss against the Bruins in their game on Monday.


“Sammy was lights out for us. He made some unbelievable saves and just looked really confident, really poised in there. It was great to see.” - Auston Matthews on Ilya Samsonov after their win against the Kraken in their game on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Winnipeg Jets
LW Connor, Kyle
C Lowry, Adam
RW Iafallo, Alex
LD Morrissey, Joshua
RD DeMelo, Dylan
G Hellebuyck, Connor

Toronto Maple Leafs
LW Knies, Matthew
C Matthews, Auston
RW Marner, Mitchell
LD Rielly, Morgan
RD Brodie, TJ
G Samsonov, Ilya

Statistical Leaders


Winnipeg Jets
Points: M. Scheifele (41)
Goals: K. Connor (18)
Assists: M. Scheifele (27)
GAA: C. Hellebuyck (2.17)

Toronto Maple Leafs
Points: W. Nylander (61)
Goals: A. Matthews (38)
Assists: W. Nylander (38)
GAA: M. Jones (2.64)

Coaches:
Winnipeg Jets: Rick Bowness (2nd season)
Toronto Maple Leafs: Sheldon Keefe (5th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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