Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/11/2025

Game Time: 4:30 pm ET, Sunday, May 11, 2025

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  TBS, MAX, truTV

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Jets +124, Stars -148; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Jets +125, Stars -150; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Jets +120, Stars -145; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Winnipeg Jets:  56-22-4 (1st place, Central Division)

Dallas Stars:  50-26-6 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Winnipeg Jets:  6-4-0 last 10

Dallas Stars:  5-5-0 last 10

The Jets are entering the playoffs with 116 points, a 56-22-4 record overall, and they were 26-15-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Dallas Stars in their last game, winning that one at home 4-0. Nikolaj Ehlers led the team in goals scored with 2 while Adam Lowry and Gabriel Vilardi each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Dylan DeMelo led the team in assists with 2 while Nikolaj Ehlers led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Connor Hellebuyck was the starting goalie in that game and he recorded the shutout as he allowed 0 goals on 21 shots with 21 saves and a 1.000 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 191 goals against them allowing 2.3 goals per game.

The Stars are entering the playoffs with 106 points, a 50-26-6 record overall, and they were 28-10-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Winnipeg Jets in their last game, losing that one on the road 4-0. No one on the team scored a goal for them or recorded an assist in that one. Thomas Harley led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 24 shots with 21 saves and a .875 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 277 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 224 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Stars listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Jets and the 2nd seeded Stars from the Central Division for the 2nd round of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. This series is all tied up 1-1 after the Jets won game 2 at home. The Jets made it a 1-1 series with a 4-0 win over the Stars in the 2nd game of this series and they really bounced back nicely after a tight loss in game 1. They lost the 1st game of this series at home 3-2 in a really tight game, but they bounced back with that 4-0 win and Hellebuyck looked great. As good as Hellebuyck looked in that one, he still hasn't been great in the playoffs this year and he has been a very different goaltender on the road too. The Jets lost all 3 of their road games against the Blues in the last series and that was against a much weaker Wild Card team, yet they still couldn't keep them out of the net. The Stars have a much stronger offense though and they have looked a lot better on home ice in the playoffs too. Their defense has also been better there so with this series tied at 1 going back to Dallas for game 3, all signs point to the Stars taking this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Stars to win this game. 

Jets Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Sunday, May 11, 2025 (4:30 pm ET start time) is Stars 4 Jets 2.

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Winnipeg Jets: 41-21 (+14.6 units) on the moneyline off a win against a division rival. 28-13 (+9.9 units) on the moneyline off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more. 70-56 (+14.9 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 24-11 UNDER off a home win against a division rival. 24-15 UNDER off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more. 

Dallas Stars: 44-40 (-14.3 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -200 or less. 81-81 (-16 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 95-84 (-10.1 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 16-8 UNDER against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 goals/game or less. 50-25 UNDER against good starting goalies - saving 91.5% of shots against or more.

Winnipeg Jets:  L. Stanley (D) Day To Day - Undisclosed.

Dallas Stars:  M. Heiskanen (D) Day To Day - Knee. N. Lundkvist (D) Out For Season - Upper Body.

“[Hellebuyck] was fantastic. Sometimes we take him for granted because he makes the hard look easy, so easy, but he had some acrobatic ones tonight.” - Scott Arniel after his team’s win against the Stars in game 2 of this series on Friday.

“One goes off our own skate into the net, and you’re down 2-0. That’s a big hole in this rink. Self-inflicted. That one was kind of unlucky. Having said that, I thought we pushed hard in the second and tried to climb back into the game. Hellebuyck made some saves. (If) we get one there, maybe the momentum shifts.” - Pete DeBoer after his team’s loss against the Jets in game 2 of this series on Friday.

LW Kyle Connor

C Mark Scheifele

RW Gabriel Vilardi

LD Josh Morrissey

RD Dylan Demelo

G Connor Hellebuyck

LW Mikael Granlund

C Roope Hintz

RW Mikko Rantanen

LD Esa Lindell

RD Cody Ceci

G Jake Oettinger

Points: K. Connor (97)

Goals: K. Connor (41)

Assists: K. Connor (56)

GAA: C. Hellebuyck (2.00)

Points: M. Rantanen (88)

Goals: J. Robertson (35)

Assists: M. Rantanen (56)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.59)

Coaches:

Winnipeg Jets: Scott Arniel (1st season)

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (3rd season)