Western Michigan Broncos vs Toledo Rockets Game Preview and Prediction - 10/23/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 23, 2021
Venue:  Glass Bowl Stadium, Toledo, OH
Where to Watch:  CBS Sports

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  WMU -2.5, Toledo +2.5; Over/Under:  55 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  WMU -2.5, Toledo +2.5; Over/Under:  54.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  WMU -3, Toledo +3; Over/Under:  55.5 points
 

Season Record

Western Michigan Broncos:  5-2 (2nd place, MAC West)
Toledo Rockets:  3-4 (6th place, MAC West)
 
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Western Michigan Broncos vs Toledo Rockets Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Western Michigan Broncos:  won at home on Oct. 16 against the Kent State Golden Flashes 64-31.
Toledo Rockets:  lost on the road on Oct. 16 against the Central Michigan Chippewas in overtime 26-23.
 
 
 

Western Michigan Broncos Analysis

WMU is coming into this game with a 5-2 record overall and they are 2-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 4th conference matchup of the year and they are off to a good start with a 2-1 record in their conference games this season. Their loss came against the Ball State Cardinals while their 2 wins came against the Buffalo Bulls and against Kent State in their last game. Kaleb Eleby had a very nice day in that game as he completed 15/22 passes for 307 yards and 3 touchdowns. Sean Tyler had a massive day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 169 yards and 1 touchdown on 17 carries. La'Darius Jefferson also had 62 rushing yards and 1 touchdown while Jaxson Kincaide had 61 yards and 2 touchdowns on the ground in that game. Jaylen Hall led the receivers with 144 yards and 1 touchdown on 5 receptions while Skyy Moore was right behind him with 140 yards receiving and 2 TDs on 8 receptions in what was a very nice day for the receiving corps. Corvin Moment led the defense with 8 solo tackles while Zaire Barnes was right behind with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Moment along with Ralph Holley, A.J. Thomas, and Ali Fayad all led the defense in sacks with 1 each but no one on the defense was able to come away with an interception in that one. They have scored 217 points in their 7 games this season averaging 31 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 184 points against them allowing 26.3 PPG. Their offense is averaging 437.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 319.4 YPG.
 
 

Toledo Rockets Analysis

Toledo is coming into this game with a 3-4 record overall and they are 1-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 4th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are not off to a good start with a 1-2 record in theri conference games this season. Their 1 win was against Ball State while their 2 losses came against the Northern Illinois Huskies and against CMU in their last game. That was a very close game as they lost by 3 points in OT in a game they made a late comeback in and gave themselves a chance to win it. DeQuan Finn played alright in that game as he completed 15/32 passes for 208 yards, zero touchdowns and zero interceptions. Bryant Koback led the team in rushing with 87 yards on 15 carries while Finn had the 2 touchdowns on the ground himself. Isaiah Winstead had a nice day as he led the receivers with 108 yards on 4 receptions. Dyontae Johnson led the defense with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones while Jamal Hines was right behind him with 4 solo tackles. Maxen Hook had the only sack in that game for the defense but no one was able to come up with an interception for them in that one. They have scored 194 points in their 7 games this season averaging 27.7 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 131 points against them allowing 18.7 PPG. Their offense is averaging 386.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 316.6 YPG.
 

 

Western Michigan vs Toledo Prediction

WMU is coming into this game as a 2.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Toledo has not been playing well in their games this season. They have kept some close in these conference games but they are finding ways to dig themselves into holes. WMU has actually looked good in their games and is coming off of a game where they just smashed Kent State by over 30 points, scoring 64 points themselves in that one. The best bet to place in this game is on WMU to cover the spread here as they are just a much better team this year.
 
Western Michigan Toledo Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 23, 2021 (3:30 pm ET start time) is WMU 35 Toledo 21.
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NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Western Michigan Broncos: 127-136 ATS in all games. 29-39 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 26-28 ATS as a road favorite. 70-72 ATS in road games. 83-98 ATS against conference opponents. 
Toledo Rockets: 140-130 ATS in all games. 37-31 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 72-55 ATS in home games. 99-84 ATS against conference opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Western Michigan Broncos:  D. Bussell (CB) out for season - Shoulder injury.
Toledo Rockets:  None.
 

Players to Watch

 
Western Michigan Broncos: Sean Tyler is one player to watch in this contest. He leads his team in rushing yards this season. He is coming off of a game where he had 169 yards rushing and was a big part of the reason they won that game. He is one of their playmakers so look for him to get the ball in his hands here and have another big game.
 
Toledo Rockets: Bryant Koback is one player to watch in this game. He leads his team in rushing yards this season. He is coming off of a game where he led his team in rushing yards but did not get over the 100 mark. He will be looking to have a better game here and they will need him to play well so they can control this game on the ground. Look for him to get a lot of touches in this one.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“Kaleb really played well on Saturday. He was in control of our offense and really made some great throws. I was proud of his response after last week’s loss.” - Tim Lester on the way his quarterback played in their win over Kent State in their last game.
 
 
“You have to keep perspective when times are hard. It’s easy to have great perspective when things are going well, but that’s not life. That’s not college football. Every team in the country starts out with the expectation that they’re going to win a conference championship and go undefeated. A lot of variables pop up through the course of a season and you have to handle the adversity that comes your way and stay committed to the process. Your very best is what’s required each Saturday. Anything short of that, and you will get beat.” - Jason Candle on his team’s rough season this year.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Western Michigan Broncos
WR Moore, Skyy 
WR Crooms, Corey 
WR Nunnelly, Bryce 
TE Torres, Anthony 
QB Eleby, Kaleb 
RB Tyler, Sean 
 
Toledo Rockets
WR McKinley-Lewis, Danzel 
WR Mitchell, Bryce 
WR Maddox, Devin 
TE Rosi, Drew 
QB Bradley, Carter 
RB Koback, Bryant 

Statistical Leaders

 
Western Michigan Broncos
Passing: K. Eleby (1745)
Rushing: S. Tyler (583)
Receiving: S. Moore (625)
Touchdowns: L. Jefferson (9)
Sacks: A. Fayad (5.5)
Tackles: C. Moment (33)
 
Toledo Rockets
Passing: C. Bradley (962)
Rushing: B. Koback (542)
Receiving: D. Maddox (375)
Touchdowns: D. Finn (6)
Sacks: T. Taylor (3)
Tackles: D. Johnson (20)
 
Coaches:
Western Michigan Broncos: Tim Lester (5th season)
Toledo Rockets: Jason Candle (7th season)
 

Weather Forecast

57 degrees F partly cloudy, 62% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 7 mph wind speeds W.


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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