by Rod Pearson
Monday, Oct 17, 2022
Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 22, 2022
Venue: Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX
Where to Watch: Fox Sports 1
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: WVU +6, TTU -6; Over/Under: 68.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: WVU +6, TTU -6; Over/Under: 68.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: WVU +6, TTU -6; Over/Under: 68.5 points
Season Record
West Virginia Mountaineers: 3-3 (1-2) (6th place, Big 12)
Texas Tech Red Raiders: 3-3 (1-2) (8th place, Big 12)
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West Virginia Mountaineers: won their last game at home against the Baylor Bears 43-40.
Texas Tech Red Raiders: lost their last game on the road against the Oklahoma State Cowboys 41-31.
West Virginia Mountaineers vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Preview and Analysis
WVU is entering this game with a 3-3 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 4th road game of the season here as they are 1-2 in their road games this year. This will also be their 4th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 1-2. They won against the Baylor Bears in their last game at home 43-40. JT Daniels started that game at QB and he completed 24/37 passes for 283 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Tony Mathis led the team in rushing with 163 yards and 2 TDs on 22 rushing attempts. Kaden Prather led the team in receiving with 109 yards and 1 TD on 8 receptions. Lee Kpogba led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle. Lee Kpogba and Sean Martin each led the defense in sacks with 1 while Aubrey Burks came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Texas Tech is entering this game with a 3-3 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 4th home game of the season as they are 3-0 in their home games this year. This will also be the 4th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 1-2. They lost against the Oklahoma State Cowboys in their last game on the road 41-31. Behren Morton started that game at QB and he completed 39/62 passes for 379 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. SaRodorick Thompson led the team in rushing with 87 yards and 1 TD on 20 carries. Jerand Bradley led the team in receiving with 119 yards and 1 TD on 8 receptions while Trey Cleveland also had 100 receiving yards on 9 catches. Krishon Merriweather led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 10 assisted tackles. Krishon Merriweather and Jesiah Pierre each led the defense in sacks with 1 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
West Virginia vs Texas Tech Prediction
The current betting odds have WVU listed as a 6 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. WVU is going to have a ton of confidence coming into this game as they just pulled off a huge win over Baylor last week. They also played on Thursday so they have had a few extra days to rest and plan for this game so they will be ready for it. TTU also had a lot of time off as they had a bye week last week but that could also hurt them having too much time off and they may come out slower in this game as they get back up to speed. WVU just put up a ton of points and they have been doing that in their games all year. TTU gives up a lot of points on defense so WVU will be able to score on them and keep this game close if they need to keep putting up points all game. WVU also gives up a lot of points so TTU is going to score a lot here as they have been doing in their games, but their defense will let them down as they have been doing and they will not be able to keep any big lead they get. Both teams are going to score points here on these defenses and TTU will not be able to cover the spread as their defense will fail to keep their lead and allow WVU to keep coming back. The best way to place a bet here is on WVU to cover the spread in this game.
West Virginia Texas Tech Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 22, 2022 (3:00 pm ET start time) is TTU 44 WVU 41.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
West Virginia Mountaineers: 25-35 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 8-13 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 63. 10-5 OVER as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points.
Texas Tech Red Raiders: 12-6 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. 32-20 OVER as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 30-14 OVER when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest.
Key Injuries
West Virginia Mountaineers: C. Donaldson (TE) day-to-day - Concussion. M. O'Laughlin (TE) out for season - Knee. C. Woods (CB) Out indefinitely - Ankle.
Texas Tech Red Raiders: B. Ramirez (LB) Out indefinitely - Leg. C. Spencer (OL) out for season - Knee. L. Hullaby (DB) Out indefinitely - Hip.
Notable Quotes
"He was decisive. And that's where he hasn't been this year." - Neal Brown on Mathis after his team’s win against Baylor in their last game.
“People ask me all the time, what’s the difference? Whenever it comes to dealing with players, it’s making sure they know how much you care about them and want them to be successful. That’s the same everywhere. What you do every day, how you deal with your staff, there’s really not a lot of difference.” - Joey McGuire on how he coaches his team.
Starting Lineups
West Virginia Mountaineers
WR Ford-Wheaton, Bryce
WR Prather, Kaden
WR James, Sam
WR Smith, Reese
TE Polendey, Brian
QB Daniels, JT
RB Mathis Jr., Tony
Texas Tech Red Raiders
WR Bradley, Jerand
WR Fouonji, Loic
WR White, Xavier
WR Price, Myles
TE Teeter, Henry
QB Smith, Donovan
RB Thompson, SaRodorick
Statistical Leaders
West Virginia Mountaineers
Passing: J. Daniels (1482)
Rushing: T. Mathis Jr. (459)
Receiving: B. Ford-Wheaton (463)
Touchdowns: C. Donaldson (6)
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Passing: D. Smith (1476)
Rushing: S. Thompson (310)
Receiving: J. Bradley (317)
Touchdowns: T. Brooks (5)
Coaches:
West Virginia Mountaineers: Neal Brown (4th season)
Texas Tech Red Raiders: Joey McGuire (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
