West Virginia Mountaineers vs TCU Horned Frogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/30/2023

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 30, 2023

Venue:  Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  WVU +14.5, TCU -14.5; Over/Under:  52 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  WVU +14, TCU -14; Over/Under:  52 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  WVU +14, TCU -14; Over/Under:  52 points

West Virginia Mountaineers:  3-1 (1-0) (6th place, Big 12)

TCU Horned Frogs:  3-1 (1-0) (5th place, Big 12)

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West Virginia Mountaineers:  won their last game at home against the Texas Tech Red Raiders 20-13.

TCU Horned Frogs:  won their last game at home against the SMU Mustangs 34-17.

West Virginia is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Texas Tech 20-13. Nicco Marchiol was the starting QB and he completed 12/21 passes for 78 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Nicco Marchiol led the team in rushing yards with 72. Kellen Taylor led the receivers with 39 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Anthony Wilson and Aubrey Burks each led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Marcis Floyd and Davoan Hawkins each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

TCU is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against SMU 34-17. Chandler Morris was the starting QB and he completed 23/32 passes for 261 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Emani Bailey led the team in rushing yards with 126 and 1 TD. Chase Curtis led the receivers with 55 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Namdi Obiazor led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Namdi Obiazor, Damonic Williams, and Channing Canada each led the defense in sacks with 1. Bud Clark and Josh Newton each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have TCU listed as a 14.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. TCU has responded well to their loss against Colorado at the beginning of the season. They are 3-1 now as they have won 3 games in a row since that 1st loss and they have looked really good on offense, just as they were last year. West Virginia also enters this game with a 3-1 record overall but they have had all 3 of their wins come at home while their 1 loss was on the road. They also beat Texas Tech at home in their last game after Texas Tech lost their starting QB early on in the game and before that they beat Pittsburgh in the Backyard Brawl which was a big win for them but Pitt has also been terrible this year. TCU has a better offense than WVU and TCU is going to pull away in this home game. This is also a longer travel for West Virginia and they have already lost their only road game played this season. They don't have the offense to keep up in this game as TCU will eventually pull away and there will be no way back in this game for West Virginia. The best way to place a bet here is on TCU to cover the spread in this game. 

West Virginia TCU Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 30, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is TCU 41 WVU 21.

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West Virginia Mountaineers: 1-5 ATS off a win against a conference rival. 6-11 ATS after the first month of the season. 16-9 OVER off 2 consecutive home wins. 24-17 OVER after a 2 game home stand.

TCU Horned Frogs: 24-15 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite. 8-4 ATS after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games. 20-13 OVER after scoring 31 points or more in 4 straight games. 13-7 OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins.

West Virginia Mountaineers:  K. Cobb (S) out for season - Undisclosed. G. Greene (QB) Out indefinitely - Foot.

TCU Horned Frogs:  None.

“For a guy making his first start in really poor weather and wet, I thought he did a pretty good job. We've got to be better around him.” - Neal Brown after his team’s win against Texas Tech in their last game. 

“That’s what we’re supposed to do. TCU football has been built on playing tough and physical. We won last year because we were a tough football team. If we’re going to be good in our league, it’s always built around our offensive and defensive front.” - Sonny Dykes after his team’s win against SMU in their last game. 

WR Clement, Hudson  

WR Carter, Devin 

WR Aaron, Jeremiah 

TE Taylor, Kole 

QB Greene, Garrett 

RB Donaldson Jr., CJ

FB Hamilton, Luke 

WR Williams, Savion 

WR Wright, Dylan  

WR Richardson, JP 

TE Wiley, Jared 

QB Morris, Chandler 

RB Bailey, Emani 

Passing: G. Greene (402)

Rushing: C. Donaldson (287)

Receiving: H. Clement (196)

Touchdowns: C. Donaldson (3)

Passing: C. Morris (1117)

Rushing: E. Bailey (483)

Receiving: J. Richardson (185)

Touchdowns: T. Sanders (4)

Coaches:

West Virginia Mountaineers: Neal Brown (5th season)

TCU Horned Frogs: Sonny Dykes (2nd season)