Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Prediction Spread and Trends to Watch - 11/18/2021

by James Q

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Prediction Spread and Trends to Watch - 11/18/2021


Game Time: 7:30 PM ET, Thursday, November 18th, 2021 
Venue: American Airlines Arena, Miami, Florida
Where to Watch: NBA League Pass

Opening NCAAF Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Spread: ; O/U
BetMGM:  Spread: ; O/U 
VegasInsider:  Spread:  O/U 

Season Record

Wizards: 10-3 (Eastern Conference) 
Heat: 9-5 (Eastern Conference)

The Wizards accidentally did everything right.  Longtime cellar dwellers made good on a few offseason moves two seasons in a row… that’s a rare thing.  From the Los Angeles Lakers they picked up Montrezl Harrel and Kyle Kuzma… and like everyone who has left the Lakers since LeBron got there… They are playing great!  Not only that, but the absence of Russell Westbrook has given a freedom to Bradley Beal that seems to be invigorating.  Could they be a bad team on an early season roll?... no.  The Entertainment Purposes are over… The Wizards are a contender that can register real basketball wins.

The Heat were in the Finals in the bubble.  Everyone waited to see if that meant they were a great team…. The only available answer is... maybe?  Recent games have seen the Heat go on a two-game winning streak, but before that it was rough sledding with losses to the Los Angeles Clippers, the Los Angeles Lakers, and the Denver Nuggets.  Handicapping this game is easier knowing a few Heat players may miss or play limited minutes.

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Offensive Analysis

The Washington Wizards are tied for 2nd in the league in offensive production.  They have an offensive rating of 107.5 and a defensive rating of 102.7… both top ten in the entire NBA.  October is behind us, September is gone… the stats are for real now.

The Heat are tied for sixth in offensive rating with a score of 111.0 and a defensive rating of 103.7.  They are a really good team that has recently tasted the NBA Finals.  The preseason media poll had them as a bad defensive team that would struggle in road games… at the moment they are winning contests with an extraordinary bench.

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Prediction 


Our prediction for Thursday, November 18th is…  Wizards 118 - Heat 99

The Heat may be missing large chunks of their lineup to nagging injuries.  They will still have their shooting experts… and it’s great to have scorers.  Yet they may not get any rebounds.  Thursday Night is not the same as last season.  The Wizards are for real, get used to it.


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NBA Betting Trends

Washington is 5-2 ATS against Miami over the last 3 seasons.
Washington is 3-1 ATS versus Miami in Miami over the last 3 seasons.


Injury list
Washington: PG Cassius Winston (Hamstring) Quest ** C Thomas Bryant (knee) Quest ** Rui Hachimura (personal) Quest

Miami: PG Max Strus (knee) Out ** SG Victor Oladipo (knee) Out seemingly forever.

Starting Lineups

Wizards: PG Spencer Dinwiddie, Sg Bradley Beal, SF Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, PF Kyle Kuzma, C Daniel Gafford

Heat: PG Tyler Herro, SG Duncan Robinson, SF Jimmy Butler, PF P.J. Tucker, C Bam Adebayo

Statistical Leaders

Wizards
Points: Bradley Beal 23.2
Rebounds: Kyle Kuzma 9.1
Assists: Spencer Dinwiddie 6
Steals: Kentavious Caldwell-pope 1.4
Blocks: Daniel Gafford: 1.7

Heat 
Points: Jimmy Butler 23.6
Rebounds: Bam Adebayo 11.2
Assists: Kyle Lowry 7.3
Steals: Jimmy Butler 2.1
Blocks: Bam Adebayo 0.5

Coaches

Heat: Erikk Speolstra:  NBA champion, Lifer with the Heat, killer on twitter, assassin of defenses… Spoiled by good players his entire regime. 
 
Wizards: Wes Unseld Jr.  Coach Unseld is brand new in Washington and he is killing the game!  Get it coach… Take these disparate pieces and make a formidable team! There is no statute in Wes’s jurisdiction… the Wizards don’t have to be bad.


James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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