by Rod Pearson
Friday, Sep 27, 2024
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 28, 2024
Venue: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
Where to Watch: Fox Sports 1
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: WSU +6.5, BSU -6.5; Over/Under: 65.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: WSU +7, BSU -7; Over/Under: 65 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: WSU +6.5, BSU -6.5; Over/Under: 64.5 points
Season Record
Washington State Cougars: 4-0 (0-0) (1st place, Pac-12)
Boise State Broncos: 2-1 (0-0) (5th place, MWC)
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Recent Form
Washington State Cougars: won their last game at home against the San Jose State Spartans 54-52 in overtime.
Boise State Broncos: won their last game at home against the Portland State Vikings 56-14.
Washington State Cougars vs Boise State Broncos Preview and Analysis
Washington State is entering this game with a 4-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against San Jose State 54-52 in OT. John Mateer was the starting QB and he completed 26/46 passes for 390 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. John Mateer led the team in rushing yards with 111 and 1 TD. Kyle Williams led the receivers with 138 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Kapena Gushiken led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Andrew Edson led the defense in sacks with 1. Kyle Thornton and Ethan O'Connor each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Boise State is entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Portland State 56-14. Maddux Madsen was the starting QB and he completed 13/18 passes for 188 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Ashton Jeanty led the team in rushing yards with 127. Matt Lauter led the receivers with 91 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Alexander Teubner led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Sheldon Newton, Clay Martineau, and Ahmed Hassanein each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Washington State vs Boise State Prediction
The current betting odds have Boise State listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Boise State has looked good in their games this season with their 2-1 record overall. They are coming off a big win against a team from the FCS in their last one, but they also have a nice win by double digits on the road against Georgia Southern. Their defense has been giving up a lot of points in their games, but their offense has looked really good, putting up over 50 points in 2 of their games. The only game they didn't was a loss on the road to Oregon, but they still put up 24 points in that game and almost beat a really good Oregon team, losing that one 37-34. Meanwhile, Washington State has looked really good in their games this season with their 4-0 record overall. This is going to be their first true road game of the season though and they are coming off a tight win in their last one which they gave up 52 points in to San Jose State, needing OT to win that one. Their offense has also looked really good in their games this season, putting up a ton of points all year, but this will be a tough road game for them to win. Boise State has a really good home record over the years and they will take this game seriously since this is going to be a conference opponent in the near future. Boise State has the offense to pull away in this game and as good as the Washington State offense has been, the Boise State defense has the edge here. The best way to place a bet here is on Boise State to cover the spread in this game.
Washington State Boise State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 28, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Boise 45 Wazzu 35.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Washington State Cougars: 7-3 ATS off a home win. 9-1 ATS after scoring 37 points or more last game. 10-5 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins. 4-1 OVER after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins. 7-4 1H OVER in non-conference games.
Boise State Broncos: 3-8 ATS in non-conference games. 4-8 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. 2-6 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 20-11 OVER in all lined games. 15-8 OVER as a favorite. 12-6 OVER after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins.
Key Injuries
Washington State Cougars: N. Haberer (P) Questionable - Back. C. Hernandez (WR) Out - Foot.
Boise State Broncos: R. Carreon (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Dubar (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Terry (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. Z. Merriweather (WR) Out - Undisclosed. M. Randolph (OL) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Anderson (TE) Out - Knee.
Notable Quotes
"If you watch the tape, David Gusta was unblockable. Sometimes in those schemes they can neutralize that, but they couldn't handle him. He was in his gap on fourth down, saw the running back didn't have the ball, threw his guy physically on the ground, came back and was right there for the big stop." - Jake Dickert on David Gusta after his team’s win against SJSU in their last game.
“On purpose, I try to stay away from social media as much as I can when we’re going through our work day, but it’s out there. The outside noise, we see it. I don’t control any of that. What I do control is our team and our messaging and making sure we’re developing our players.’’ - Spencer Danielson on his team’s preparation for games this season.
Starting Lineups
Washington State Cougars
WR Williams, Kyle
WR Hutson, Kris
WR Meredith, Josh
TE Mathers, Cooper
QB Mateer, John
RB Parker, Wayshawn
Boise State Broncos
WR Strachan, Prince
WR Bolt, Austin
WR Caples, Latrell
TE Lauter, Matt
QB Madsen, Maddux
RB Jeanty, Ashton
FB Crowe, Tyler
Statistical Leaders
Washington State Cougars
Passing: J. Mateer (1102)
Rushing: J. Mateer (425)
Receiving: K. Williams (322)
Touchdowns: J. Mateer (5)
Boise State Broncos
Passing: M. Madsen (616)
Rushing: A. Jeanty (586)
Receiving: C. Camper (221)
Touchdowns: A. Jeanty (9)
Coaches:
Washington State Cougars: Jake Dickert (4th season)
Boise State Broncos: Spencer Danielson (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
