Game Time: 1:40 pm ET, Saturday, September, 4th, 2022

Venue: Citi Field, Flushing Meadows, New York

Where to Watch: MLB.tv

DraftKings: Moneyline: Nationals +255, Mets -303; O/U 7.5

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  

PointsBet:  Moneyline: 

 

Nationals: 45-87, 5th place NL East

Mets: 85-48, 1st place NL East

Another game in the Nationals/Mets matchup.  The Mets obviously took Game 1.  The Nationals obviously lost game 1.  Those are the very obvious outcomes of a matchup like this.  Take the free money on the moneyline… it will keep happening.  Sadly The Mets saved my prediction percentage this week after they almost killed it by beating the Dodgers twice.

A battle of the National League East.  It is hardly a battle one team is terrible (the Nationals) while one team is great (The Mets).  I wish all the numbers didn’t say bet the Mets but they do.  I wish all the betting lines would forget what I just said but they won’t.  I wish I had a million dollars… wait… I can have it.. By growing my bankroll on this very obvious game.  You won’t get good odds unless you spot points… and in baseball spotting points is not a smart idea (check my last 3 Dodgers predictions).. They won, I lost.  The truth is we know how this game will go and you will have to find your own threshold for risk.  Mine is set at 2.5 runs… whatever Bovada gives me on those odds (Bovada has paid me out thousands more than I have put in, they are worth a look if you live in a state where… shhhhhh).  I'll leave that all up to you.

The Washington Nationals have won only 4 of their last 10 games… based on their record that was a good span.  They went 1-1 against the Oakland Athletics, 1-2 against the Cincinnati Reds, 1-1 against the Seattle Mariners, and 1-2 against the San Diego Padres.  The pathetic Nationals have been lifting all boats at seas above the hard tides.  They are a real disgrace after dismantling their World Series winner from a few years back.  If the owner(s) could have access to a time machine, they really would have kept everybody… they would have summarily understood that paying the money now is worth the merch and ticket sales later… just ask the Yankees, Dodgers, Yo momma, Yo momma’s momma, and your high school guidance counselor.

The New York Mets have won 5 of their last 10 games.  They are a great team. They are 2nd in the National league but they had a hard stretch. The Mets are top 7 in both batting and pitching… they rise to greatness when they pull a boatload of teamwork.  They added a half dozen guys to this season’s all-star game.  They went 1-1 against the Los Angeles Dodgers (with 1 left to play), 3-1 against the Colorado Rockies, 0-2 against the Yankees (little brother syndrome), and 1-1 against the Philadelphia Phillies.

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WSN:

NYM: 82-48, 2065 ML, 63-58-8 O/U, They are 43-20 in home games.  

The Nationals are 26th in scoring with 3.73 runs per game, 12th in batting average with .247, ad 18th in OBP with .312.

The Mets are 5th in scoring with 4.71 runs per game, 7th in batting average with .257, and 3rd in OBP with .329.

The Nationals pitchers are 30th in ERA with 5.11, 28th in WHIP with 1.45, and their fielders are 28th in errors with 82 on the season so far.

The Mets pitchers are 6th in ERA with 3.55, 5th in WHIP with 1.19, and their fielders are 6th in errors with 57 on the season so far.

Our prediction for Sunday, September 4th is… Mets 8 - Nationals 2

The Mets will yet again win.  This is a series with TOTAL Sweep potential.  The best way to bet is again and again,  Take the money on the moneyline.

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The Nationals are 83-163 as an underdog of +100 or higher the last 3 seasons (-31.1 Units).

The Mets are 30-9 as a favorite of -200 or more the last 3 seasons (+5.8 Units)

Nationals: LF Y Hernandez (calf) Out ** SS C Kieboom (elbow) Out 

Mets: 2B L Guillorme (groin) Out ** 

Nationals: RHP Erick Fedde, 5-9 5.29 ERA, 80 strikeouts in 100 innings pitched.  1.56 WHIP. This 29 year old has a lot of arm coming off his 6’4 frame…. Just not the type of arm that produces winning stats.

Mets: RHP Carlos Carrasco, 13-5, 3.92 ERA, 124 strikeouts in 126 innings pitched, 1.30 WHIP.  This 35 year old has been around the block and back again.  His stats are great except for his ERA this season which is right on the line.

Nationals: 2B Luis Garcia, RF Joey Meneses, 1B Luke Voit, DH Nelson Cruz, C Keibert Ruiz, CF Lane Thomas, SS CJ Abrams, 3B Ildemaro Vargas, LF Joshua Palacios

Mets: CF Brandon Nimmo, SS Francisco Flores, 1B Pete Alonso, DH Daniel Vogelbach, 2B Jeff McNeil, LF Mark Canha, RF Tyler Naquin, 3B Brett Baty, C James McCann, 

Nationals: Dave “what do I do now” Martinez

Mets: Buck “we good now” Showalter

Mostly Sunny, 81*, Humidity 42%, wind 11 mph.  A hot September day in the city will give way to a hot September night … as always Yuck, get the pizza.