Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/13/2024

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, July 13, 2024

Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI 

Where to Watch:  BSWI

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Nationals +105, Brewers -125; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Nationals +105, Brewers -125; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Nationals +105, Brewers -125; Over/Under:  9 runs

Washington Nationals:  42-52 (4th place, NL East)

Milwaukee Brewers:  54-40 (1st place, NL Central)

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Washington Nationals:  3-7 last 10

Milwaukee Brewers:  4-6 last 10

The Nationals are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the New York Mets 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 42-52 record overall and have a road record of 22-28. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .674 OPS. Jackson Rutledge is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Mitchell Parker is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-5 with a 3.44 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 6 Ks on 6 hits through 7 IP against the St Louis Cardinals.

The Brewers are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-40 record overall and have a home record of 28-15. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Nationals on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 9th in the MLB with a .732 OPS. Freddy Peralta is their starting pitcher on Friday while Dallas Keuchel is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 0-0 with a 4.61 ERA this season. His team won all 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 5 BB with 0 strikeouts on 3 hits through 4.1 innings played against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The current betting odds have the Nationals listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have looked really good in their games this season with their 54-40 record overall which leads the NL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their home games with their 28-15 home record. Meanwhile, the Nationals haven't looked great in their games this season with their 42-52 record overall which has them near the bottom of their division and well out of the playoff race. They haven't looked great in their road games either, going 22-28 in those this season. They are only 3-7 in their last 10 games, but the Brewers haven't looked that much better with their 4-6 record in their last 10 games. The Brewers are also going to have Keuchel on the mound here and he is just a disaster waiting to happen. He hasn't had many good seasons over the last few years, and this season he is already 0-0 with a 4.61 ERA. He didn't give up any runs in his last start and the team has won all 3 games that he has started in this year, but it is only a matter of time until he gets blown up on the mound. The Nats will have their rookie Parker on the mound here, but he hasn't looked bad in his rookie year. He is 5-5 with a 3.44 ERA. The team has lost 3 of their last 4 games with him starting, but he only gave up 1 earned run in his last start and hasn't been giving up many this year. He is due for a win with how good he has looked lately and Keuchel is due to turn back into a pumpkin. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nationals to win this game.

Nationals Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 13, 2024 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Nationals 6 Brewers 4.

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Washington Nationals: 12-18 (-7.90 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 30 away games. 17-9 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 26 away games.

Milwaukee Brewers: 23-9 (+9.75 units) on the moneyline in their last 32 home games. 20-13 (+10.45 units) on the runline in their last 33 home games. 20-12 to the over with their team total in their last 32 home games.

Washington Nationals:  J. Gray (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Hassell III (CF) End of June - Undisclosed. J. Gallo (1B) Late June - Hamstring. T. Williams (SP) Mid June - Elbow. M. Thompson (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Cavalli (SP) Mid June - Elbow. J. Ferrer (SP) Late May - Shoulder.

Milwaukee Brewers:  G. Sanchez (C) Mid July - Calf. J. Ortiz (2B) Out indefinitely - Neck. E. Paredes (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Koenig (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. O. Dunn (2B) Out indefinitely - Back. J. Ross (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. R. Gasser (SP) out for season - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) out for season - Shoulder. D. Williams (RP) Mid July - Back. W. Miley (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Bukauskas (RP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. D. Hall (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“We had our chances. We just couldn’t score any runs. The at-bats just got to get better.” - Dave Martinez after his team’s loss against the Mets in their game on Thursday.

“Guys have velo in the major leagues, but just being able to pitch and kind of just throw anything at any time, he keeps you off balance. I actually thought we did a really good job against him today. I think we could have done a better job of getting him out of the game sooner. I think we let him off the hook with some at-bats there at the end." - Christian Yelich after their loss against the Pirates in their game on Thursday.

C Abrams (L) SS

L Thomas (R) RF

J Wood (L) LF

J Winker (L) DH

R Adams (R) C

J Yepez (R) 1B

L García Jr. (L) 2B

T Lipscomb (R) 3B

J Young (R) CF

B Turang (L) 2B

W Contreras (R) C

C Yelich (L) DH

W Adames (R) SS

S Frelick (L) LF

J Bauers (L) 1B

G Mitchell (L) RF

A Monasterio (R) 3B

B Perkins (S) CF

Batting Average:  Alex Call (.313)

Hits:  CJ Abrams (92)

Home Runs:  CJ Abrams (14)

RBI:  CJ Abrams (46)

Stolen Bases:  Lane Thomas (22)

Wins:  Jake Irvin (7)

Saves:  Kyle Finnegan (23)

ERA:  Dylan Floro (2.20)

Batting Average:  Eric Haase (.357)

Hits:  William Contreras (107)

Home Runs:  Willy Adames (14)

RBI:  Willy Adames (62)

Stolen Bases:  Brice Turang (29)

Wins:  Colin Rea (8)

Saves:  Trevor Megill (18)

ERA:  James Meeker (0.00)

Managers:

Washington Nationals: Dave Martinez (7th season)

Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (1st season)