Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/12/2024

Game Time: 8:10 pm ET, Friday, July 12, 2024

Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI 

Where to Watch:  BSWI

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Nationals +165, Brewers -190; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Nationals +165, Brewers -190; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Nationals +165, Brewers -190; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Washington Nationals:  42-51 (4th place, NL East)

Milwaukee Brewers:  54-39 (1st place, NL Central)

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Washington Nationals:  3-7 last 10

Milwaukee Brewers:  5-5 last 10

The Nationals lost their 4-game series against the St Louis Cardinals 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 42-51 record overall and have a road record of 22-27. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Friday with the series finale of their series against the New York Mets still to be played on Thursday. The Nationals lost the 1st game of that series on Tuesday and the 2nd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 26th in the MLB with a .675 OPS. MacKenzie Gore is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Jackson Rutledge is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA this season. His team lost the only game this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 1 K on 2 hits through 1 IP against the Chicago White Sox.

The Brewers lost their 3-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 54-39 record overall and have a home record of 28-14. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Nationals on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Pittsburgh Pirates still to be played on Thursday. The Brewers lost the 1st game of that series on Tuesday and won the 2nd game on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .737 OPS. Aaron Civale is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Freddy Peralta is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 6-4 with a 3.95 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 3 BB with 4 strikeouts on 4 hits through 4 innings played against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have looked really good in their games this season with their 54-39 record overall which leads the NL Central with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their home games with their 28-14 home record. Meanwhile, the Nationals haven't looked great in their games this season with their 42-51 record overall which has them near the bottom of their division and well out of the playoff race. They haven't looked great in their road games either, going 22-27 in those this season. The Brewers will have Peralta on the mound here and he has been a solid starter for them this season. He is 6-4 with a 3.95 ERA and his team has been finding success with him on the mound. He did give up 3 earned runs in his last start, but he usually doesn't give up much more than that, and the Brewers have won 3 of the last 4 games he started in too. The Nats will have Rutledge on the mound here and he doesn't have a lot of MLB experience, only in his 2nd season. He has only made 1 appearance this season and it was as a reliever, giving up 1 earned run in that. Rutledge is going to struggle in this role as a starter and even if he doesn't go very deep in the game, the Nationals haven't really been pitching well lately. The Brewers need to win these series against weaker opponents, and this is a pitching matchup they can take advantage of. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game.

Nationals Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 12, 2024 (8:10 pm ET start time) is Brewers 5 Nationals 3.

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Washington Nationals: 11-18 (-9.30 units) on the first 5 runline in their last 29 away games. 12-8 to the over in their last 20 games. 16-9 to the over with their first 5 team total in their last 25 away games. 

Milwaukee Brewers: 23-8 (+12.45 units) on the moneyline in their last 31 home games. 20-13 (+10.35 units) on the runline in their last 33 home games. 49-41 to the over in their last 91 games. 

Washington Nationals:  J. Gray (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. R. Hassell III (CF) End of June - Undisclosed. J. Gallo (1B) Late June - Hamstring. T. Williams (SP) Mid June - Elbow. M. Thompson (SP) out for season - Elbow. C. Cavalli (SP) Mid June - Elbow. J. Ferrer (SP) Late May - Shoulder.

Milwaukee Brewers:  G. Sanchez (C) Mid July - Calf. J. Ortiz (2B) Out indefinitely - Neck. E. Paredes (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Koenig (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. O. Dunn (2B) Out indefinitely - Back. J. Ross (SP) Out indefinitely - Back. R. Gasser (SP) out for season - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) out for season - Shoulder. D. Williams (RP) Mid July - Back. W. Miley (SP) out for season - Elbow. J. Bukauskas (RP) Out indefinitely - Tricep. D. Hall (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“I thought we were going to jump him there — we scored a couple runs and then he settled back in, kept us to just those two runs.” - Dave Martinez after his team’s loss against the Mets in their game on Wednesday.

“Tobias was attacking. We played great defense behind. We hit in the clutch. That was the name of the game. We stayed with it for nine innings.” - Pat Murphy after his team’s win against the Pirates in their game on Wednesday.

C Abrams (L) SS

L Thomas (R) RF

J Wood (L) LF

J Winker (L) DH

R Adams (R) C

J Yepez (R) 1B

L García Jr. (L) 2B

T Lipscomb (R) 3B

J Young (R) CF

B Turang (L) 2B

W Contreras (R) C

C Yelich (L) DH

W Adames (R) SS

S Frelick (L) LF

J Bauers (L) 1B

G Mitchell (L) RF

A Monasterio (R) 3B

B Perkins (S) CF

Batting Average:  Alex Call (.313)

Hits:  CJ Abrams (92)

Home Runs:  CJ Abrams (14)

RBI:  CJ Abrams (46)

Stolen Bases:  Lane Thomas (22)

Wins:  Jake Irvin (7)

Saves:  Kyle Finnegan (23)

ERA:  Dylan Floro (2.01)

Batting Average:  Eric Haase (.357)

Hits:  William Contreras (107)

Home Runs:  Willy Adames (14)

RBI:  Willy Adames (62)

Stolen Bases:  Brice Turang (29)

Wins:  Colin Rea (8)

Saves:  Trevor Megill (18)

ERA:  James Meeker (0.00)

Managers:

Washington Nationals: Dave Martinez (7th season)

Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (1st season)