Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds, Preview & Prediction -- 09/26/2021

by Chuck Sommers

Game time: 1:10 p.m. ET
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Where to watch: MASN 2, Bally Sports Ohio

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks


DraftKings: Reds -180, Nationals +155
BetMGM: Reds -167, Nationals +135
Caesars: Reds -172, Nationals +157

Season record
Nationals: 64-91 (Last place, NL East)
Reds: 80-75 (3rd place, NL East) 

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Nationals - Reds preview and analysis


Recent form
Nationals: 4-6 in last 10
Reds: 5-5 in last 10

Shoutout to the Cincinnati Reds for trying to make things as entertaining as they can before their hand ultimately slips off the edge of the cliff.

Look, you try finding something even remotely less dark to describe the Reds’ playoff hopes hanging by a thread and get back to me.

But the Reds are still alive, friends, and thanks to Nick Castellanos’ walk-off home run on Saturday in the 7-6 win over the Washington Nationals, Cincy is still holding on to dear life as the teams meet for the series finale on Sunday.

Neither starter -- whether it be Nationals right-hander Erick Fedde or Reds starter Vladimir Gutierrez -- provided steady pitching from the starter’s circle. Fedde gave up five runs in 4.2 innings with only one strikeout, while Gutierrez gave up four in just 2.2 innings of work.

Eugenio Suarez drove in two of the seven runs to complement Castellanos’ three-RBI day, while Juan Soto went only 1-for-3. Andrew Stevenson led the Nationals with two RBI on the night.

As the Reds enter the final week of September six games back of the second wild-card spot in the National League, they’ll need a miracle in order to catch up to the blistering hot St. Louis Cardinals who won their 16th straight game on Saturday. Also given the fact they’re facing the Chicago Cubs in a series finale on Sunday, all signs point to another bullet leaving the chamber.

The Reds are eliminated in the race for the NL Central, something the Cardinals can still cling on for hope with a three-game series at home against the Brewers coming this week. Alas, the Reds are running out of time and this matchup with the Nationals is the last possible chance to get something going before a valiant effort is all for nothing.

Prediction


Depending on what’s to come for the Reds, you have to expect them to keep fighting until they’ve run out of gas. Seeing they still have a chance at this thing, watch them go down swinging. Reds win 8-6

Betting trends


The Nationals are 29-47 (-8.6 net games on the money line) on the road this season.

As a road dog between +125 and +175, the Nationals are 11-13.

The Reds are 27-17 (-4.1 net games) when a favorite of -150 or more.

Players to watch


Nationals: Josh Bell is batting .296 in his last 15 games to go with three home runs and 11 RBI.

Reds: Castellanos has been in a slump throughout September despite the walk-off shot on Saturday. He’s batting .271 with now seven homers.

Projected lineup


Nationals:
Lane Thomas (R) CF
Alcides Escobar (R) SS
Juan Soto (L) RF
Josh Bell (S) 1B
Luis Garcia (L) 2B
Keibert Ruiz (S) C
Jordy Mercer (R) 3B
Andrew Stevenson (L) LF
Josh Rogers (L) P

Reds:
Jonathan India (R) 2B
Max Schrock (L) LF
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Joey Votto (L) 1B
Kyle Farmer (R) SS
Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B
Tucker Barnhart (L) C
TJ Friedl (L) CF
Tyler Mahle (R) P

Statistical leaders


Nationals:
Batting average: Juan Soto (.324)
Hits: Juan Soto (154)
Home runs: Juan Soto (29)
RBI: Juan Soto (92)
Stolen bases: Juan Soto (9)
Wins: Patrick Corbin (9)
Saves: Brad Hand (21)
ERA: Patrick Corbin (5.92)

Reds:
Batting average: Nick Castellanos (.310)
Hits: Nick Castellanos (159)
Home runs: Joey Votto (33)
RBI: Joey Votto (92)
Stolen bases: Jonathan India (11)
Wins: Wade Miley & Tyler Mahle (12)
Saves: Mychal Givens (8)
ERA: Wade Miley (3.37)

Don't miss our champion handicappers' free picks and expert MLB picks today. And if you enjoyed this Washington Nationals - Cincinnati Reds preview, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and predictions.

Chuck Sommers

About the Author:

Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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