by Chuck Sommers
Wednesday, Nov 09, 2022
Time: 7 p.m. ET
Venue: Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR
Where to watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Oregon -13.5
FanDuel: Oregon -13.5
BetMGM: Oregon -13.5
Caesars: Oregon -13.5
Season record
No. 25 Washington: 7-2 (4-2 Pac-12)
No. 6 Oregon: 8-1 (6-0 Pac-12)
We're coming down to the wire in what should be an exciting final month of the college football season. The conference championship chases are on, bowl games are to be decided, and who gets into the College Football Playoff is anybody's guess to this point. If you're still trying to figure out who's the best to play at this point of the year, look no further than our champion handicappers leading the way in the college football world. Our own Kyle Hunter is 23-8-0 over the last month, while Brian Bitler is 21-13-0 in the run. Kyle's reeled in a net profit of over $14,000. Now you feel like you should be getting on the action, huh? Make sure you go check out bigal.com to see all of the work our champion handicappers are trying to do to get money in YOUR pocket with our selections. Make sure to hit up our Best Bets page for more!
Washington - Oregon preview, analysis and prediction
Last week
Washington: won 24-21 vs. No. 23 Oregon State
Oregon: won 49-10 at Colorado
The Oregon Ducks are sitting pretty. If they run the table and win the Pac-12 championship, they’re more than likely heading to the College Football Playoff. With Bo Nix at quarterback, of all things. Name me something more crazier than that. But Oregon will have to face one of its tougher tests of the season on Saturday at home when the No. 25 Washington Huskies visit Eugene fresh off a three-game winning streak.
The Oregon Ducks are sitting pretty. If they run the table and win the Pac-12 championship, they’re more than likely heading to the College Football Playoff. With Bo Nix at quarterback, of all things. Name me something more crazier than that. But Oregon will have to face one of its tougher tests of the season on Saturday at home when the No. 25 Washington Huskies visit Eugene fresh off a three-game winning streak.
Ever since their Week 1 loss to Georgia, it’s been all Nix and the Ducks through the last two months. Eight straight wins and suddenly Oregon is now at the top of the standings with a College Football Playoff spot staring them in the face. The No. 6 Ducks are coming off a 49-10 win at Colorado last week. That’s not surprising, because Colorado is the definition of garbage this season, but Nix has continued to keep his tear going.
Nix threw for 274 yards and two touchdowns on 20 of 24 passing, while Bucky Irving chipped in with 120 yards on 11 carries. The Ducks outgained the Buffaloes 479-367 in a shock to absolutely no one, and Oregon forced three turnovers.
“When you’re a team that’s complete and you’re hard to predict, it’s harder to really prepare for you,” said Oregon coach Dan Lanning. “For us, they're not really trick plays when you execute them consistently in practice."
Since the 49-3 loss to Gerogia, Nix has thrown 22 touchdowns to just 3 interceptions. Two of them came in one game against Cal, so he’s pitched a lot of shutouts to this point against teams that can’t compete with Oregon. That’s why this quarterback battle is going to be exquisite, featuring two signal callers who have been two of the best all year.
Since losing to UCLA and Arizona State in a horrendous way, Washington has answered with three straight wins against Arizona, Cal and No. 23 Oregon State by a combined 20 points. Washington won 24-21 at home against the Beavers to give the upstart OSU club a tough loss.
Michael Penix Jr. threw 52 times, but had 298 yards and a touchdown – along with an interception – to get the win, and Damien Martinez ran for 107 yards on the ground. But Washington led a game-winning drive that led to a 22-yard field goal to end things.
"We knew if we gave them the ball back we probably wouldn't have got it back," Penix said. "We wanted to make sure that we took advantage of that drive and make sure we got down there and got some points on the board. And it was great that we took up all that clock."
Prediction
While that’s a tough 3-point win over Oregon State, this is a Washington team that has shown to be inconsistent at times and there’s really no way to say that the Huskies can handle an Oregon team this talented on the road. Nix will have his way against a really on-and-off defense and find his way to Oregon getting win No. 9. Oregon by 14
Betting trends
Washington is 4-15 ATS in conference games the last three years.
Washington is 2-11 ATS after two straight conference games the last three years.
Washington is 30-54 ATS since 1992 after winning four or five of the last six.
Oregon is 13-9 ATS as a favorite the last three years.
The over is 80-47 when Oregon is a home favorite since 1992.
Oregon is 38-20 ATS since 1992 after consecutive wins by 10 or more in conference play.
Statistical leaders
Washington:
Passing: Michael Penix Jr. -- 3,232 yards, 23 TD, 5 INT
Rushing: Wayne Taulapapa -- 476 yards, 6 TD
Receiving: Rome Odunze -- 858 yards, 6 TD
Oregon:
Passing: Bo Nix -- 2,495 yards, 22 TD, 5 INT
Rushing: Bucky Irving -- 688 yards, 2 TD
Receiving: Troy Franklin -- 636 yards, 5 TD
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Chuck Sommers
About the Author:
Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.
