by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Sep 14, 2023
Game Time: 5:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 16, 2023
Venue: Spartan Stadium, East Lansing, MI
Where to Watch: Peacock
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Washington -16, MSU +16; Over/Under: 55.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Washington -16, MSU +16; Over/Under: 55.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Washington -16.5, MSU +16.5; Over/Under: 55.5 points
Season Record
Washington Huskies: 2-0 (0-0) (3rd place, Pac-12)
Michigan State Spartans: 2-0 (0-0) (5th place, Big Ten East)
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Washington Huskies: won their last game at home against the Tulsa Golden Hurricane 43-10.
Michigan State Spartans: won their last game at home against the Richmond Spiders 45-14.
Washington Huskies vs Michigan State Spartans Preview and Analysis
Washington is entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Tulsa 43-10. Michael Penix Jr. was the starting QB and he completed 28/38 passes for 409 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Will Nixon led the team in rushing yards with 30. Jalen McMillan led the receivers with 120 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Edefuan Ulofoshio led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Jabbar Muhammad and Voi Tunuufi each led the defense in sacks with 1. Kamren Fabiculanan came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Michigan State is entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Richmond 45-14. Noah Kim was the starting QB and he completed 18/22 passes for 292 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Nathan Carter led the team in rushing yards with 111 and 3 TDs. Tre Mosley led the receivers with 84 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Cal Haladay led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Zion Young led the defense in sacks with 1.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Washington vs Michigan State Prediction
The current betting odds have Michigan State listed as a 16 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Michigan State is off to a good start this season with their 2-0 record overall but now they are dealing with a scandal involving their head coach Mel Tucker who has been relieved of his duties as head coach. Michigan State has brought in coach Dantonio to help with the rest of the season though and he is a coach that this team is really rallying behind. They are going to bring their best effort for him at home and as good as Washington has been in their first 2 games this season, this is still their 1st road test of the season and they weren't nearly as good in their road games last year. This is also going to be a longer travel for them across the country so Michigan State has the advantage despite everything that is going on behind the scenes. Michigan State also traveled to Washington last season and lost on the road by just 9 points so they definitely have this game circled and will put up a fight. The best way to place a bet here is on Michigan State to cover the spread in this game.
Washington Michigan State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 16, 2023 (5:00 pm ET start time) is Washington 35 MSU 27.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Washington Huskies: 3-7 ATS in road games. 14-24 ATS off a home blowout win by 28 points or more. 5-1 OVER off a home win by 17 points or more. 30-23 OVER off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite.
Michigan State Spartans: 17-9 ATS in all games. 9-3 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 8-1 ATS in non-conference games. 10-5 OVER in home games. 28-19 OVER after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games.
Key Injuries
Washington Huskies: A. Parker (DL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Johnson (RB) Prob Sat - Undisclosed. A. Turner (S) Prob Sat - Hand. G. Memmelaar (OL) out for season - Undisclosed. C. Davis (RB) out for season - Lower Body. G. Jackson (WR) Out indefinitely - Thumb. T. Rogers (RB) Out indefinitely - Suspension.
Michigan State Spartans: J. Berger (RB) Ques Sat - Leg. J. Mangham (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. A. Brown (WR) Ques Sat - Concussion. A. VanSumeren (DL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. S. Ramil (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. G. Broscious (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. H. Joiner III (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Snow (LB) Ques Sat - Leg. M. Gaoteote (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. J. Jackson (DL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. S. Melvin (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“We're doing a good job getting the (wins) but we know we left a lot out there that we know we can improve on.” - Kalen DeBoer after his team’s win against Tulsa in their last game.
“Coach D brings the calming presence, the wisdom, the knowledge of being a head coach – a very successful head coach, at that – and so he’s bringing all that as our associate head coach. Any and all ways he’s willing to help with us, that’s what he’s gonna do. So he’s helping in all aspects of the operation.” - Harlon Barnett on bringing in Mark Dantonio to help out with the team this season.
Starting Lineups
Washington Huskies
WR Odunze, Rome
WR Polk, Ja'Lynn
WR McMillan, Jalen
TE Culp, Devin
QB Penix Jr., Michael
RB Johnson, Dillon
Michigan State Spartans
WR Foster Jr., Montorie
WR Glover, Jaron
WR Mosley, Tre
TE Carr, Maliq
QB Kim, Noah
RB Carter, Nathan
Statistical Leaders
Washington Huskies
Passing: M. Penix Jr. (859)
Rushing: W. Nixon (78)
Receiving: R. Odunze (239)
Touchdowns: J. McMillan (4)
Michigan State Spartans
Passing: N. Kim (571)
Rushing: N. Carter (224)
Receiving: J. Glover (135)
Touchdowns: N. Carter (4)
Coaches:
Washington Huskies: Kalen DeBoer (2nd season)
Michigan State Spartans: Mel Tucker (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
