by Rod Pearson
Saturday, Nov 11, 2023
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, November 12, 2023
Venue: Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Commanders +6, Seahawks -6; Over/Under: 45 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Commanders +6, Seahawks -6; Over/Under: 44.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Commanders +6, Seahawks -6; Over/Under: 44.5 points
Season Record
Washington Commanders: 4-5 (3rd place, NFC East)
Seattle Seahawks: 5-3 (2nd place, NFC West)
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Recent Form
Washington Commanders: won their last game on the road against the New England Patriots 20-17.
Seattle Seahawks: lost their last game on the road against the Baltimore Ravens 37-3.
Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks Preview and Analysis
The Commanders are entering this game with a 4-5 record overall and they have a 0-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New England Patriots 20-17. Sam Howell was the starting QB and he completed 29/45 passes for 325 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Brian Robinson Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 63 and 1 TD. Terry McLaurin led the receivers with 73 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Kendall Fuller led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Jartavius Martin came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The Seahawks are entering this game with a 5-3 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 37-3. Geno Smith was the starting QB and he completed 13/28 passes for 157 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Kenneth Walker III led the team in rushing yards with 16. Jaxon Smith-Njigba led the receivers with 63 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Jordyn Brooks led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Boye Mafe led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Commanders vs Seahawks Prediction
The current betting odds have the Seahawks listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Seahawks are 5-3 overall this season and they are in a battle for 1st place in the NFC West. They looked terrible last week in their loss to the Ravens but now they are coming back home and will be looking to bounce back. The Ravens have been blowing out a lot of teams lately and the Commanders are definitely no Ravens on defense so the Seahawks will have an easier time here moving the ball at home and putting points up on the board. The Commanders just pulled off a road win against the Patriots last week but the Patriots have also been terrible this season and were looking ahead to their trip to Germany. The Commanders played well enough to win last week but they are going to be playing a tougher defense here and a much better offense that will find ways to put up a ton of points here at home after the game they had last week. The best way to place a bet here is on the Seahawks to cover the spread in this game.
Commanders Seahawks Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 12, 2023 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Seahawks 28 Commanders 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Washington Commanders: 4-0 ATS as a road underdog. 7-0 ATS in November games. 26-16 UNDER in all games. 8-1 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog. 13-6 UNDER after playing their last game on the road.
Seattle Seahawks: 2-8 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. 1-7 ATS after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. 9-4 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points. 10-2 UNDER off a non-conference game.
Key Injuries
Washington Commanders: E. Forbes (CB) Prob Sun - Achilles. J. Dotson (WR) Prob Sun - Personal. R. Stromberg (C) Out indefinitely - Knee. C. Samuel (WR) Ques Sun - Toe. S. Charles (G) Out indefinitely - Calf. C. Barton (LB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. J. Reaves (S) I-R - Knee. D. Forrest (S) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Milne (WR) Out indefinitely - Groin. B. Dillon (TE) I-R - Undisclosed. B. Daniels (OL) I-R - Shoulder. C. Brooks (DT) I-R - Undisclosed. T. Apke (CB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Bada (DT) I-R - Tricep. A. Rogers (TE) I-R - Achilles.
Seattle Seahawks: D. Metcalf (WR) Prob Sun - Hip. C. Cross (OT) Prob Sun - Ankle. A. Bradford (G) Out Sun - Ankle. D. Thomas (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Brown (CB) Prob Sun - Toe. J. Adams (S) Prob Sun - Knee. K. Walker III (RB) Prob Sun - Chest. J. Smith-Njigba (WR) Prob Sun - Hip. J. Reed II (S) Prob Sun - Teeth. T. Lockett (WR) Prob Sun - Hamstring. D. Hall (LB) Prob Sun - Shoulder. N. Fant (TE) Prob Sun - Wrist. C. Parkinson (TE) Ques Sun - Bicep. D. Dallas (RB) Ques Sun - Shoulder. J. Brooks (LB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. D. Young (WR) Ques Sun - Groin. K. McIntosh (RB) Ques Sun - Knee. U. Nwosu (LB) I-R - Pectoral. C. Bryant (CB) Out indefinitely - Toe. M. Morris (DE) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. A. Lucas (OT) Out indefinitely - Knee. B. Mone (DT) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“He’s resilient. I knew he was going to get over it quickly and come out and play.” - Ron Rivera on Sam Howell after his team’s win against the Patriots in their last game.
“When the defense gives you those opportunities and you kind of have a chance to steal some momentum right there, you’ve got to capitalize. We didn’t. We turned the ball right back over and gave them points.” - Geno Smith after their loss against the Ravens in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Washington Commanders
WR McLaurin, Terry
WR Dotson, Jahan
WR Samuel, Curtis
TE THOMAS, LOGAN
QB Howell, Sam
RB Robinson Jr., Brian
FB Armah, Alex
Seattle Seahawks
WR Metcalf, DK
WR LOCKETT, TYLER
WR Smith-Njigba, Jaxon
TE Fant, Noah
QB SMITH, GENO
RB Walker III, Kenneth
Statistical Leaders
Washington Commanders
Passing: S. Howell (2471)
Rushing: B. Robinson (447)
Receiving: T. McLaurin (568)
Touchdowns: B. Robinson (7)
Seattle Seahawks
Passing: G. Smith (1802)
Rushing: K. Walker III (532)
Receiving: D. Metcalf (454)
Touchdowns: K. Walker III (6)
Coaches:
Washington Commanders: Ron Rivera (4th season)
Seattle Seahawks: Pete Carroll (14th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
