by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Sep 26, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 1, 2023
Venue: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Commanders +8.5, Eagles -8.5; Over/Under: 44.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Commanders +8.5, Eagles -8.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Commanders +8.5, Eagles -8.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
Season Record
Washington Commanders: 2-1 (3rd place, NFC East)
Philadelphia Eagles: 3-0 (1st place, NFC East)
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Recent Form
Washington Commanders: lost their last game at home against the Buffalo Bills 37-3.
Philadelphia Eagles: won their last game on the road against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25-11.
Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Preview and Analysis
The Commanders are entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Buffalo Bills 37-3. Sam Howell was the starting QB and he completed 19/29 passes for 170 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Brian Robinson Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 70. Curtis Samuel led the receivers with 54 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Cody Barton led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Kendall Fuller came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The Eagles are entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25-11. Jalen Hurts was the starting QB and he completed 23/37 passes for 277 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. D'Andre Swift led the team in rushing yards with 130. A. J. Brown led the receivers with 131 receiving yards on 9 receptions. Reed Blankenship led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Marlon Tuipulotu led the defense in sacks with 1. Reed Blankenship came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Commanders vs Eagles Prediction
The current betting odds have the Eagles listed as an 8.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Eagles have looked good in all of their games this season as they are 1 of 3 undefeated teams left in the NFL. Their offense hasn't been great in their games as they have struggled in the redzone but they have slowly been finding their rhythm more in each game and looked a lot better against the Bucs on Monday night. Their defense also looked a lot better as they were shutting down the run game and didn't give up as many points this time. The Commanders are 2-1 this season and have also looked good in their wins over the Cardinals and the Broncos, but those teams are also a combined 1-5 overall and they looked terrible in their loss at home to the Bills last week. They put up just 3 points in the game and Sam Howell struggled a lot with turnovers. He is going to continue struggling in this game as the Eagles defense is improving each week and they won't have the power on offense to come back in this game when they fall behind by a lot. The best way to place a bet here is on the Eagles to cover the spread in this game.
Commanders Eagles Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 1, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Eagles 31 Commanders 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Washington Commanders: 18-27 ATS off a home loss by 10 or more points. 6-12 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 23-13 UNDER in all games. 13-7 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders. 8-2 UNDER after a loss by 10 or more points.
Philadelphia Eagles: 10-3 ATS as a home favorite. 8-4 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 9-4 ATS after gaining 175 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games. 24-12 UNDER after gaining 150 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games.
Key Injuries
Washington Commanders: L. Thomas (TE) day-to-day - Concussion. D. Milne (WR) Out indefinitely - Groin. E. Obada (DE) Out indefinitely - Knee. P. Mathis (DT) Out indefinitely - Calf. K. Smith (TE) I-R - Undisclosed. B. Dillon (TE) I-R - Undisclosed. B. Daniels (OL) I-R - Shoulder. C. Brooks (DT) I-R - Undisclosed. T. Apke (CB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Bada (DT) I-R - Tricep. A. Rogers (TE) I-R - Achilles.
Philadelphia Eagles: Q. Watkins (WR) day-to-day - Hamstring. B. Scott (RB) day-to-day - Concussion. A. Maddox (CB) Out indefinitely - Pectoral. N. Dean (LB) Out indefinitely - Foot. I. Rodgers Sr. (DB) out for season - Suspension. R. Johnson (OT) I-R - Undisclosed. S. Bradley (LB) I-R - Achilles.
Notable Quotes
“We played about as bad as we can play. Just got to be better." - Sam Howell after their loss against the Bills in their last game.
“Everybody wants us to be a final product now, but it’s a growth. You want to grow every day." - Nick Sirianni after his team’s win against the Bucs in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Washington Commanders
WR McLaurin, Terry
WR Dotson, Jahan
WR Samuel, Curtis
TE THOMAS, LOGAN
QB Howell, Sam
RB Robinson Jr., Brian
Philadelphia Eagles
WR Smith, DeVonta
WR Brown, A.J.
WR Watkins, Quez
TE Goedert, Dallas
QB Hurts, Jalen
RB Swift, D'Andre
Statistical Leaders
Washington Commanders
Passing: S. Howell (671)
Rushing: B. Robinson (216)
Receiving: C. Samuel (127)
Touchdowns: B. Robinson (3)
Philadelphia Eagles
Passing: J. Hurts (640)
Rushing: D. Swift (308)
Receiving: A. Brown (239)
Touchdowns: J. Hurts (3)
Coaches:
Washington Commanders: Ron Rivera (4th season)
Philadelphia Eagles: Nick Sirianni (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
