Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/04/2026

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Dec 31, 2025
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, January 4, 2026
Venue:  Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Commanders +3.5, Eagles -3.5; Over/Under:  38.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Commanders +3.5, Eagles -3.5; Over/Under:  39 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Commanders +3.5, Eagles -3.5; Over/Under:  39 points

Season Record

Washington Commanders:  4-12 (3rd place, NFC East)
Philadelphia Eagles:  11-5 (1st place, NFC East)

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Recent Form
Washington Commanders:  lost their last game at home against the Dallas Cowboys 30-23.
Philadelphia Eagles:  won their last game on the road against the Buffalo Bills 13-12.


Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles Preview and Analysis


The Commanders are entering this game with a 4-12 record overall and they have a 2-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-6 in their home games, 2-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Dallas Cowboys 30-23. Josh Johnson was the starting QB and he completed 15/23 passes for 198 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jacory Croskey-Merritt led the team in rushing yards with 105 and 2 TDs. Deebo Samuel Sr. led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Bobby Wagner and Will Harris each led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Jer'Zhan Newton led the defense in sacks with 3. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
The Eagles are entering this game with an 11-5 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-2 in their home games, 6-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Buffalo Bills 13-12. Jalen Hurts was the starting QB and he completed 13/27 passes for 110 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Saquon Barkley led the team in rushing yards with 68. A. J. Brown led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Marcus Epps led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Jalyx Hunt led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.


Commanders vs Eagles Prediction

The current betting odds have the Eagles listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Eagles have looked good in their games this season with their 11-5 record overall which has them right at the top of the NFC East. They have looked good on their home field too with their 5-2 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Commanders have looked terrible in their games this season with their 4-12 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the NFC East. They have been a bad road team too with their 2-5 road record this year. The Commanders have lost 2 games in a row now and they have been a disaster for the 2nd half of the season. They have been dealing with a ton of injuries too and aren't going to have many starters playing in this game. They are off a 30-23 loss to the Cowboys in their last one and did show some fight in that game, but the Eagles are a whole different animal, even with their backups. The Eagles are off a 13-12 win over the Bills in their last one and they have one of the best defenses in the NFL right now, not giving up many points. Their offense has been a big issue though so they will be looking to gain some momentum in this game. Even if the backups play most of the game, there aren't going to be many starters for the Commanders either, and the talent on the Eagles is still a lot better. Look for the Eagles to win this game with good defense and stay rolling into the playoffs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Eagles to cover the spread in this game. 

Commanders Eagles Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, January 4, 2026 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Eagles 17 Commanders 10.
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NFL Betting Trends


Washington Commanders: 6-12 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. 4-9 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 15-22 ATS against conference opponents. 5-1 UNDER revenging a home loss against an opponent. 

Philadelphia Eagles: 10-4 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 12-5 ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 10-4 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 rushing yards/game or more. 4-0 UNDER after scoring 14 points or less last game.

Key Injuries


Washington Commanders:  None.

Philadelphia Eagles:  None.

Notable Quotes


“I was just trying to play clean and give us a chance to win the game. We had a chance. Unfortunately, we just came up short.” - Josh Johnson after their loss against the Cowboys in their last game. 


“Winning’s hard in this league, and I’m always going to enjoy a win. If you come out of this and you’re just thinking about all the negative things that happened, then it’s just a miserable existence.” - Nick Sirianni after his team’s win against the Bills in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Washington Commanders
WR McLaurin, Terry
WR Burks, Treylon
WR Samuel, Deebo
TE Sinnott, Ben
QB Johnson, Josh
RB Croskey-Merritt, Jacory

Philadelphia Eagles
WR Brown, A.J. 
WR Dotson, Jahan
WR Smith, DeVonta
TE Goedert, Dallas
QB Hurts, Jalen
RB Barkley, Saquon

Statistical Leaders


Washington Commanders
Passing: Marcus Mariota (1,695)
Rushing: Jacory Croskey-Merritt (776)
Receiving: Deebo Samuel (707)
Touchdowns: Deebo Samuel (8)

Philadelphia Eagles
Passing: Jalen Hurts (3,224)
Rushing: Saquon Barkley (1,140)
Receiving: A.J. Brown (1,003)
Touchdowns: Dallas Goedert (11)

Coaches:
Washington Commanders: Dan Quinn (2nd season)
Philadelphia Eagles: Nick Sirianni (5th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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