by Rod Pearson
Friday, Dec 22, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 24, 2023
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Commanders +3, Jets -3; Over/Under: 37 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Commanders +3, Jets -3; Over/Under: 37 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Commanders +3, Jets -3; Over/Under: 37 points
Season Record
Washington Commanders: 4-10 (4th place, NFC East)
New York Jets: 5-9 (3rd place, AFC East)
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Washington Commanders: lost their last game on the road against the Los Angeles Rams 28-20.
New York Jets: lost their last game on the road against the Miami Dolphins 30-0.
Washington Commanders vs New York Jets Preview and Analysis
The Commanders are entering this game with a 4-10 record overall and they have a 0-5 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-5 in their home games, 3-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the LA Rams 28-20. Sam Howell was the starting QB and he completed 11/26 passes for 102 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception before getting replaced by Jacoby Brissett who completed 8/10 passes for 124 yards and 2 TDs. Chris Rodriguez Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 35. Terry McLaurin led the receivers with 141 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Khaleke Hudson led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Daron Payne led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
The Jets are entering this game with a 5-9 record overall and they have a 1-4 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-5 in their home games, 2-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Miami Dolphins 30-0. Zach Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 4/11 passes for 26 passing yards before getting replaced by Trevor Siemian who completed 14/26 passes for 110 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Breece Hall led the team in rushing yards with 12. Garrett Wilson led the receivers with 29 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Jordan Whitehead led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Solomon Thomas and Bryce Huff each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Commanders vs Jets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Jets listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Jets haven't looked good in their games this season with their 5-9 record overall but they have been better in their home games. They are 3-5 in their home games this season but they do have some good wins in those games and have also played much closer in their losses there. Meanwhile, the Commanders have been terrible this season with their 4-10 record overall and they continue to lose games as they are sliding toward the end of the season. They have already been eliminated from playoff contention and they have nothing to play for either with Ron Rivera now on the hot seat too. The Jets don't have much to play for either with the season they have had but they do have the home advantage here and will be looking to finish strong with Rodgers coming back to practice getting ready for next year now. The Jets also have the better defense that will shut down the Commanders offense and there is going to be a response from this offense too after getting shut out last week. The best way to place a bet here is on the Jets to cover the spread in this game.
Commanders Jets Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 24, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Jets 17 Commanders 7.
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NFL Betting Trends
Washington Commanders: 5-1 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less. 7-4 ATS in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 13-5 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 13-6 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 22-8 UNDER after 4 or more consecutive losses against the spread.
New York Jets: 19-28 ATS in all games. 19-31 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less. 5-10 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. 13-7 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 16-7 UNDER off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a division rival.
Key Injuries
Washington Commanders: C. Leno Jr. (OT) Ques Sun - Calf. J. Smith-Williams (DE) Ques Sun - Hamstring. B. Robinson (RB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. C. Hodges (TE) I-R - Back. J. Davis (LB) I-R - Shoulder. D. Harris (LB) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. E. Obada (DE) Out indefinitely - Leg. R. Stromberg (C) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Reaves (S) I-R - Knee. D. Forrest (S) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Milne (WR) Out indefinitely - Groin. B. Dillon (TE) I-R - Undisclosed. B. Daniels (OL) I-R - Shoulder. C. Brooks (DT) I-R - Undisclosed. D. Bada (DT) I-R - Tricep. A. Rogers (TE) I-R - Achilles.
New York Jets: A. Rodgers (QB) out for season - Ankle. M. Becton (OT) Late Jan - Ankle. J. Franklin-Myers (DL) Ques Sun - Hip. Q. Jefferson (DL) Out indefinitely - Hip. W. Schweitzer (OL) Ques Sun - Calf. J. Brownlee (WR) Ques Sun - Ankle. Z. Wilson (QB) Ques Sun - Concussion. C. Warren (OT) Ques Sun - Hip. M. Mitchell (OL) Ques Sun - Neck. Z. Barnes (LB) I-R - Hamstring. C. Uzomah (TE) Out indefinitely - Knee. A. Woods (DL) I-R - Achilles. C. McGovern (C) Out indefinitely - Knee. A. Vera-Tucker (G) I-R - Achilles. I. Odenigbo (DE) I-R - Undisclosed. M. Hall (LB) I-R - Undisclosed. C. Clark (S) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“It’s tough that we got going late like that. (Brissett) has played football for a long time in this league and been a starter, so he knows what it looks like. I definitely believe he gave us a boost late in the game, and I’m just happy for him." - Terry McLaurin after their loss against the LA Rams in their last game.
“It’s disappointing. Starting from the first series of the year all the way to now, it’s just been a constant battle. I do appreciate the heck out of our guys. We still got three games left to finish strong.” - Robert Saleh after his team’s loss against the Dolphins in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Washington Commanders
WR McLaurin, Terry
WR Dotson, Jahan
WR Samuel, Curtis
TE Thomas, Logan
QB Howell, Sam
RB Robinson Jr., Brian
FB Armah, Alex
New York Jets
WR Wilson, Garrett
WR Brownlee, Jason
WR Gipson, Xavier
TE Conklin, Tyler
QB Wilson, Zach
RB Hall, Breece
Statistical Leaders
Washington Commanders
Passing: S. Howell (3568)
Rushing: B. Robinson (664)
Receiving: T. McLaurin (835)
Touchdowns: B. Robinson (8)
New York Jets
Passing: Z. Wilson (2271)
Rushing: B. Hall (637)
Receiving: G. Wilson (882)
Touchdowns: B. Hall (5)
Coaches:
Washington Commanders: Ron Rivera (4th season)
New York Jets: Robert Saleh (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
