Washington Commanders vs. New York Giants: Prediction, Preview, Picks & Odds - 12/4/2022

by Chuck Sommers

Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Where to watch: FOX

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks


DraftKings: Commanders -2.5
FanDuel: Commanders -2.5
BetMGM: Commanders -2.5
Caesars: Commanders -2.5

Season record
Commanders: 7-4 (3rd place, NFC East)
Giants: 7-5 (Last place, NFC East)

December is here. Winter is coming. The final month of the NFL season is upon us. Plenty of playoff races still to be determined. If you haven't channeled your inner Russel Crowe screaming "Are you not entertained?!?" then what exactly are you waiting for? Week 13 has some serious divisional games, starting with Thursday's showdown in Foxboro. Do you have the right ways to play these final few weeks? Especially as the calendar turns to December with Christmas on the horizon? If anything's like November if you've been following our champion handicappers, you know it can be a good time. How about Sean Murphy going 20-10-1  over the last 30 days? Brian Bitler chipped in with a 17-8-1 run over the last month. You know the winning ways are reasonable if you're following bigal.com and getting our champion handicappers' best plays!

Commanders - Giants preview, analysis and prediction


Last week
Commanders: won 19-13 vs. Falcons
Giants: lost 28-20 at Cowboys (Thanksgiving)

This is without question the craziest year of football we have ever seen. How in the world did the NFC East register four teams with at least seven wins? It is truly remarkable that this is happening, and one of these two teams is going to be firmly entrenched in playoff spot while the other one is floundering with a few games remaining. I still can't get over the fact that the Washington Commanders are 7-5 and can make the playoffs with Taylor Heinicke at quarterback. But I am not getting over the fact that the New York Giants are starting to show that they might be a very fraudulent franchise right now. And it all will come to a head on Sunday in New Jersey.

Sometimes I think you just have to sit back and enjoy what it is you're seeing in real time. When Washington had Carson Wentz as the quarterback, and they were playing absolutely pitiful, coach Ron Rivera did not mince words. That the biggest difference between Washington and the other three teams in the division and why they were winning was because of the quarterback. Yes, even Ron Rivera thought that Daniel Jones was playing better than Carson Wentz. that's how bad it was getting in Washington. But unbeknownst to everyone, Washington had a quarterback this whole time that was absolutely worthy of a chance to start and a chance to win games. And lo and behold, Washington’s winning games.

Heinicke has won six of his last seven starts and has won all three road starts this season. When Washington has needed a calm presence at quarterback, he has provided that. This quarterback is thrown for 7 touchdowns to five interceptions, which isn't great, but he's finding ways to win and if you're Washington, you've just been wanting a way to win for the longest time. Even when they were winning games and winning the division a few years ago, it still wasn't impressive because they still had to go through Tampa Bay in the playoffs and got smashed.

Washington is still finding ways to win with a hampered defense and a solid offense. You have a 2 running back tandem of Antonio Gibson and Brian Robinson who are a perfect fit for each other, and you have Terry McLaurin who continues to have an impressive season and is nearing 1000 yards given all of the hoopla surrounding the quarterback position. How in the world is this team winning these games? It makes absolutely no sense.

But honestly, it hasn't made any sense more for the giants to be 7-4 then it has four Washington to be 7-5. Because as it stands right now, the giants are well on their way to just floundering out of control here. After a loss to the Detroit Lions, New York blue a lead against the Dallas Cowboys and eventually, Dallas went on to dominate the second half of that game and win 28-20. It was a game where the scoreboard did not reflect the overall play whatsoever. Daniel Jones passed for 228 yards and a touchdown, but that was it. Saquon Barkley had a rushing touchdown but he was pretty much quiet the entire time. Darius Slayton made an incredible catch but was held without anything after that.

There was nothing impressive about the Giants. there hasn't been any instance at all this year that I've watched New York play and thought that they were a good football team. It's the same instance this time around and the only difference that they have is a healthy Barkley. That's it. New York clearly needs a quarterback and that's really what it boils down to. This game is going to come down to which quarterback can play the better football. Right now, it's the guy that was basically a replacement six weeks ago.

Prediction


that pretty much sums it up. I don't trust New York. Hey don't really trust Washington, but in this matchup, I trust the one that I trust a little more. The Commanders are playing great football on both sides of the ball and they absolutely deserve to leapfrog the Giants in the standings. Commanders by 14

Betting trends


Commanders are 6-0 ATS on the road after 2 or more straight wins ATS the last 3 years.

Commanders are 7-0 ATS in weeks 10-13 the last 2 seasons.

Giants are 11-2 ATS after a Thursday game since 1992. 

Statistical leaders


Commanders:
Passing: Taylor Heinicke -- 1,169 yards, 7 TD, 5 INT
Rushing: Antonio Gibson -- 476 yards, 3 TD
Receiving: Terry McLaurin -- 840 yards, 2 TD
Defense: Montez Sweat -- 7 sacks

Giants:
Passing: Daniel Jones -- 2,165 yards, 10 TD, 4 INT
Rushing: Saquon Barkley -- 992 yards, 7 TD
Receiving: Darius Slayton -- 476 yards, 2 TD
Defense: Dexter Lawrence -- 5 sacks

Don't miss our champion handicappers' free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Washington Commanders - New York Giants prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily NFL projections and previews.

Chuck Sommers

About the Author:

Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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