by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Oct 17, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 22, 2023
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Commanders -2, Giants +2; Over/Under: 40.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Commanders -2, Giants +2; Over/Under: 40 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Commanders -1.5, Giants +1.5; Over/Under: 40 points
Season Record
Washington Commanders: 3-3 (3rd place, NFC East)
New York Giants: 1-5 (4th place, NFC East)
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Washington Commanders: won their last game on the road against the Atlanta Falcons 24-16.
New York Giants: lost their last game on the road against the Buffalo Bills 14-9.
Washington Commanders vs New York Giants Preview and Analysis
The Commanders are entering this game with a 3-3 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Atlanta Falcons 24-16. Sam Howell was the starting QB and he completed 14/23 passes for 151 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Brian Robinson Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 31. Terry McLaurin led the receivers with 81 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Kendall Fuller led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Casey Toohill led the defense in sacks with 2. Kendall Fuller, Benjamin St-Juste, and Jamin Davis each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
The Giants are entering this game with a 1-5 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 0-2 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Buffalo Bills 14-9. Tyrod Taylor was the starting QB and he completed 24/36 passes for 200 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Saquon Barkley led the team in rushing yards with 93. Darius Slayton led the receivers with 69 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Bobby Okereke led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Micah Mcfadden came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Commanders vs Giants Prediction
The current betting odds have the Commanders listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Commanders were embarrassed on Thursday night football after losing at home to the Bears but they bounced back in a big way with a road win over the Falcons in their last game. Now they take on the Giants in a divisional game but the Giants are 1-5 this season and have been struggling all year. They did look a lot better in their loss to the Bills last week but that was also a big game for Brian Daboll against his old team and they almost won that game on the road too. Now they are going to have a let down after that close win and they still have a really banged up offense and a defense that has been giving up a ton of points all season. The Commanders were a lot better on defense last week and will be able to stop this struggling Giants offense while the Commanders put up a ton of points on that leaky defense. The best way to place a bet here is on the Commanders to cover the spread in this game.
Commanders Giants Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 22, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Commanders 27 Giants 17.
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NFL Betting Trends
Washington Commanders: 6-3 ATS in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 5-2 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 24-15 UNDER in all games. 8-4 UNDER as a favorite. 7-1 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog.
New York Giants: 15-26 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less. 5-11 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses. 26-14 UNDER in all games. 23-10 UNDER as an underdog. 13-4 UNDER in home games.
Key Injuries
Washington Commanders: C. Holmes (CB) day-to-day - Hamstring. C. Hodges (TE) day-to-day - Illness. C. Leno Jr. (OT) day-to-day - Finger. D. Forrest (S) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Reaves (S) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Milne (WR) Out indefinitely - Groin. P. Mathis (DT) Out indefinitely - Calf. B. Dillon (TE) I-R - Undisclosed. B. Daniels (OL) I-R - Shoulder. C. Brooks (DT) I-R - Undisclosed. T. Apke (CB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Bada (DT) I-R - Tricep. A. Rogers (TE) I-R - Achilles.
New York Giants: M. Peart (OT) day-to-day - Shoulder. J. Schmitz (OL) day-to-day - Shoulder. D. Jones (QB) day-to-day - Neck. D. Davidson (DL) day-to-day - Knee. J. Ezeudu (OL) day-to-day - Toe. A. Ojulari (LB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. A. Thomas (OT) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. G. Owens (DB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. T. Sweeney (TE) Out indefinitely - Illness. A. Robinson (CB) Out indefinitely - Knee. C. Myarick (FB) I-R - Hand. B. Ford-Wheaton (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Hassenauer (OL) I-R - Tricep. J. Davis (LB) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“Our defense did a good job of putting us in good situations with the turnovers.” - Sam Howell after their win against the Falcons in their last game.
“It came down to 1 yard and just missed it. We got it down there four times and we didn’t put it in. That’s really the difference in the game, not being able to punch it in the end zone.” - Brian Daboll after his team’s loss against the Bills in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Washington Commanders
WR McLaurin, Terry
WR Dotson, Jahan
WR Samuel, Curtis
TE THOMAS, LOGAN
QB Howell, Sam
RB Robinson Jr., Brian
New York Giants
WR Hyatt, Jalin
WR Slayton, Darius
WR Robinson, Wan'Dale
TE WALLER, DARREN
QB Jones, Daniel
RB Barkley, Saquon
Statistical Leaders
Washington Commanders
Passing: S. Howell (1500)
Rushing: B. Robinson (302)
Receiving: T. McLaurin (342)
Touchdowns: B. Robinson (5)
New York Giants
Passing: D. Jones (884)
Rushing: S. Barkley (207)
Receiving: D. Waller (282)
Touchdowns: S. Barkley (2)
Coaches:
Washington Commanders: Ron Rivera (4th season)
New York Giants: Brian Daboll (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
