by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Dec 02, 2025
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 7, 2025
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Commanders -1.5, Vikings +1.5; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Commanders -1, Vikings +1; Over/Under: 42 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Commanders -1, Vikings +1; Over/Under: 42 points
Season Record
Washington Commanders: 3-9 (3rd place, NFC East)
Minnesota Vikings: 4-8 (4th place, NFC North)
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Recent Form
Washington Commanders: lost their last game at home against the Denver Broncos 27-26 in overtime.
Minnesota Vikings: lost their last game on the road against the Seattle Seahawks 26-0.
Washington Commanders vs Minnesota Vikings Preview and Analysis
The Commanders are entering this game with a 3-9 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-4 in their home games, 1-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Denver Broncos 27-26 in OT. Marcus Mariota was the starting QB and he completed 28/50 passes for 294 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Marcus Mariota led the team in rushing yards with 55. Zach Ertz led the receivers with 106 receiving yards on 10 receptions. Jonathan Jones led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Frankie Luvu led the defense in sacks with 1. Bobby Wagner came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Vikings are entering this game with a 4-8 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-4 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 1-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Seattle Seahawks 26-0. Max Brosmer was the starting QB and he completed 19/30 passes for 126 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Jordan Mason led the team in rushing yards with 47. T.J. Hockenson led the receivers with 59 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Eric Wilson led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Dallas Turner led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Commanders vs Vikings Prediction
The current betting odds have the Commanders listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Commanders haven't looked good in their games this season with their 3-9 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the NFC East. They haven't been a good road team either with their 1-4 road record this season. Meanwhile, the Vikings haven't looked good in their games this season with their 4-8 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the NFC North. They haven't even looked good on their home field either with their 1-4 home record this year. They are off a 26-0 loss to the Seahawks in their last one and they have been a disaster lately. They still have a good defense, but that defense can only do so much with the offense unable to move the ball. They had to start Brosmer in their last one and he looked terrible in his NFL debut, but McCarthy hasn't looked any better in his few games so the Vikings are running out of options at the QB position. The Commanders are also down to their backup QB and have looked terrible lately with 7 losses in a row now, but they have been getting healthier now and haven't looked as bad in their last 2 games. They are off a 27-26 loss to the Broncos in OT and they have gone to OT in their last 2 games now. The Commanders have been coming close lately and they are in a much better situation here with the more reliable QB. The best way to place a bet here is on the Commanders to cover the spread in this game.
Commanders Vikings Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 7, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Commanders 21 Vikings 10.
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NFL Betting Trends
Washington Commanders: 13-20 ATS against conference opponents. 1-5 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points. 4-7 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses. 7-3 UNDER on the road in games where the line is +3 to -3.
Minnesota Vikings: 7-3 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 4-1 ATS off 3 or more consecutive unders. 4-1 ATS when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. <=25%). 10-4 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record.
Key Injuries
Washington Commanders: V. Miller (LB) Injured - Rest. Z. Ertz (TE) Injured - Rest. B. Wagner (LB) Injured - Knee. N. Brown (WR) Injured - Groin. L. Tunsil (OT) Injured - Rest. T. Ott (LS) Injured - Back. F. Luvu (LB) Injured - Shoulder. J. Kinlaw (DL) Injured - Back. D. Jackson (DL) Injured - Knee. J. Daniels (QB) Injured - Elbow.
Minnesota Vikings: R. Kelly (C) Injured - Hip. H. Smith (S) Injured - NIR - Rest. J. Hargrave (DL) Injured - NIR - Rest. J. Allen (DL) Injured - NIR - Rest. A. Jones Sr. (RB) Injured - Shoulder. J. Greenard (LB) Injured - Shoulder. J. Metellus (S) Injured - Shoulder. B. Brandel (OG) Injured - Concussion. T. Chandler (RB) Injured - Knee. T. Jackson (S) Injured - Neck. C. Darrisaw (OT) Injured - Knee. L. Rodriguez (DL) Injured - Neck. J. Redmond (DL) Injured - Hip. J. McCarthy (QB) Injured - Concussion. D. Jackson (OG) Injured - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“I was pleased with the run game — this is a team that's been able to get on the edge, which is something we haven't done as well. There was progress that was made, certainly in the run game, and we've got plenty of room to grow in that. Hate the outcome, but I do love the fight and where we're at.” - Dan Quinn after his team’s loss against the Broncos in their last game.
“Fourth down, he’s trying to make a play and it ends up being obviously catastrophically bad.” - Kevin O’Connell after his team’s loss against the Seahawks in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Washington Commanders
WR McLaurin, Terry
WR Moore, Chris
WR Samuel, Deebo
TE Ertz, Zach
QB Mariota, Marcus
RB Rodriguez Jr., Chris
Minnesota Vikings
WR Jefferson, Justin
WR Addison, Jordan
WR Nailor, Jalen
TE Hockenson, T.J.
QB Brosmer, Max
RB Jones Sr, Aaron
FB Ham, C.J.
Statistical Leaders
Washington Commanders
Passing: Marcus Mariota (1,359)
Rushing: Jacory Croskey-Merritt (518)
Receiving: Deebo Samuel (534)
Touchdowns: Deebo Samuel (6)
Minnesota Vikings
Passing: Carson Wentz (1,216)
Rushing: Jordan Mason (578)
Receiving: Justin Jefferson (799)
Touchdowns: Jordan Mason (5)
Coaches:
Washington Commanders: Dan Quinn (2nd season)
Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
