by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Oct 26, 2022
Game Time: 4:25 pm ET, Sunday, October 30, 2022
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Where to Watch: Fox
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Commanders +3, Colts -3; Over/Under: 40 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Commanders +3, Colts -3; Over/Under: 40 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Commanders +3, Colts -3; Over/Under: 40 points
Season Record
Washington Commanders: 3-4 (4th place, NFC East)
Indianapolis Colts: 3-3-1 (2nd place, AFC South)
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Washington Commanders: won their last game at home against the Green Bay Packers 23-21.
Indianapolis Colts: lost their last game on the road against the Tennessee Titans 19-10.
Washington Commanders vs Indianapolis Colts Preview and Analysis
The Commanders are entering this game with a 3-4 record overall and they are playing their 4th road game of the season here as they are 1-2 in their road games this year. Their offense is averaging 326.6 YPG and 17.9 PPG while their defense is allowing 335.9 YPG and 22.3 PPG against them. They won their last game at home against the Green Bay Packers 23-21. Taylor Heinicke was the starting quarterback in that game and he completed 20/33 passes for 201 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Brian Robinson Jr. led the team in rushing with 73 yards on 20 rushing attempts. Terry McLaurin led the team in receiving with 73 yards and 1 TD on 5 receptions. Cole Holcomb led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles. No one on the defense recorded a sack for them and no one on the defense came away with an interception in that one.
The Colts are entering this game with a 3-3-1 record overall and they are playing their 4th home game of the season here as they are 2-1 in their home games this year. Their offense is averaging 341.6 YPG and 16.1 PPG while their defense is allowing 313.7 YPG and 20 PPG against them. They lost their last game on the road against the Tennessee Titans 19-10. Matt Ryan was the starting QB in that game and he completed 33/44 passes for 243 yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Jonathan Taylor led the team in rushing with 58 yards on 10 carries. Parris Campbell led the team in receiving with 70 yards and 1 TD on 10 catches. Grover Stewart led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles. Yannick Ngakoue and Kenny Moore II each led the defense in sacks with 1 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Commanders vs Colts Prediction
The current betting odds have the Colts listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Colts have been terrible this season and they have finally made the decision to go with Sam Ehlinger as the starting QB over the veteran Matt Ryan. The offense has had it's moments where it does shine, but overall it has been terrible under Ryan and they have the potential to be a lot better with Ehlinger under center now. He was a very good QB back at Texas and he is finally getting his shot as a starter in the NFL, he will not be looking to blow it here. The Commanders are going to be riding high here after winning their last game with Taylor Heinicke at QB that was a big emotional win for them at home as they beat the Green Bay Packers who Heinicke was a huge fan of growing up. Now they are going on the road after that big win and this is a letdown spot for them with this Colts defense still playing very well and the offense getting a big boost now. This is a great spot for the Colts to bounce back in with a win. The best way to place a bet here is on the Colts to cover the spread in this game.
Commanders Colts Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 30, 2022 (4:25 pm ET start time) is Colts 31 Commanders 24.
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NFL Betting Trends
Washington Commanders: 5-11 ATS after playing a game at home. 24-16 UNDER in all games. 19-13 UNDER as an underdog.
Indianapolis Colts: 12-3 ATS off a division game. 12-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 6-1 UNDER in all games.
Key Injuries
Washington Commanders: J. Dotson (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. L. Thomas (TE) Ques Sun - Calf. C. Wentz (QB) Out indefinitely - Finger.
Indianapolis Colts: S. Leonard (LB) Ques Sun - Concussion. J. Domann (LB) Ques Sun - Abdominal. K. Coutee (WR) Ques Sun - Concussion.
Notable Quotes
"You can win pretty; you can win ugly. If you're going to win ugly, who cares?" - Ron Rivera after his team’s win against the Packers in their last game.
"At the end of the day, we've got to play better. We've got to play better." - Frank Reich after his team’s loss against the Titans in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Washington Commanders
WR McLaurin, Terry
WR Dotson, Jahan
WR Samuel, Curtis
TE THOMAS, LOGAN
QB Heinicke, Taylor
RB Robinson, Brian
Indianapolis Colts
WR Pittman Jr., Michael
WR Pierce, Alec
WR Campbell, Parris
TE Alie-Cox, Mo
QB Ehlinger, Sam
RB Taylor, Jonathan
Statistical Leaders
Washington Commanders
Passing: C. Wentz (1489)
Rushing: A. Gibson (273)
Receiving: T. McLaurin (440)
Touchdowns: J. Dotson (4)
Indianapolis Colts
Passing: M. Ryan (2008)
Rushing: J. Taylor (386)
Receiving: M. Pittman Jr. (475)
Touchdowns: J. Woods (3)
Coaches:
Washington Commanders: Ron Rivera (3rd season)
Indianapolis Colts: Frank Reich (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
