Washington Commanders vs Baltimore Ravens Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/13/2024

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 13, 2024

Venue:  M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Commanders +6.5, Ravens -6.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Commanders +6.5, Ravens -6.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Commanders +6.5, Ravens -6.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Washington Commanders:  4-1 (1st place, NFC East)

Baltimore Ravens:  3-2 (1st place, AFC North)

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Washington Commanders:  won their last game at home against the Cleveland Browns 34-13.

Baltimore Ravens:  won their last game on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals 41-38 in overtime.

The Commanders are entering this game with a 4-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Cleveland Browns 34-13. Jayden Daniels was the starting QB and he completed 14/25 passes for 238 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Jayden Daniels led the team in rushing yards with 82. Terry McLaurin led the receivers with 112 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Frankie Luvu led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Frankie Luvu led the defense in sacks with 2.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Ravens are entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Cincinnati Bengals 41-38 in OT. Lamar Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 26/42 passes for 348 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Derrick Henry led the team in rushing yards with 92 and 1 TD. Zay Flowers led the receivers with 111 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Roquan Smith led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Kyle Hamilton, Nnamdi Madubuike, and Tavius Robinson each led the defense in sacks with 1. Marlon Humphrey came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have the Commanders listed as a 6.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Commanders have looked great in their games this season with their 4-1 record overall which has them leading the NFC East. Jayden Daniels has looked great in his rookie season and this offense has been rolling in all of their games. Meanwhile, the Ravens have looked good in their games this season with their 3-2 record overall. They started the season with a 0-2 record, losing to the Chiefs on opening night and then a shocking loss to the Raiders at home, but now they have won 3 games in a row and have a ton of momentum on their side. They are coming off a tough win against the Bengals in their last game though, trailing for most of that game and coming back late to win in OT, and their defense looked terrible giving up 38 points. That isn't the first time this season either as they blew their double digit lead at home in their loss to the Raiders and almost did the same in their game against the Cowboys, holding on to win by 3 in the end. The Ravens defense is a lot better than the Commanders defense, but the Ravens have allowed teams back into games all season and the Commanders have the offense to stay in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Commanders to cover the spread in this game. 

Commanders Ravens Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 13, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Ravens 33 Commanders 30.

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Washington Commanders: 2-6 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 3-7 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 3-7 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 350 yards/game or more. 8-4 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more. 9-5 1H UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins.

Baltimore Ravens: 8-4 ATS after playing a division game. 8-0 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. 12-1 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game. 13-7 UNDER in home games. 12-5 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 7-1 UNDER after a win by 6 or less points.

Washington Commanders:  J. Magee (LB) Out - Knee. T. Owens (SAF) Doubtful - Shin. E. Obada (DE) Out - Tibia. C. Ferrell (DE) Out - Knee. B. Robinson (RB) Questionable - Knee. N. Allegretti (G) Questionable - Ankle. P. Butler (SAF) Questionable - Groin. D. Hampton (SAF) Injured - Knee. N. Brown (WR) Out - Groin. M. Mariota (QB) Questionable - Pectoral. A. Ekeler (RB) Injured - Concussion. Q. Martin (DB) Injured - Shoulder. E. Forbes (CB) Injured - Knee. J. Newton (DT) Injured - Foot. Z. Ertz (TE) Injured - NIR - Rest.

Baltimore Ravens:  D. Harty (WR) Questionable - Knee. R. Ali (RB) Questionable - Neck. A. Maulet (CB) Out - Knee. B. Urban (DE) Injured - Neck. C. Board (LB) Injured - Ankle. M. Pierce (NT) Injured - Shoulder. A. Vorhees (OL) Questionable - Ankle.

"We didn’t score on every single drive like we have in the past, which is the reality of football. It was just a different kind of philosophy for us to win the game. We had big plays, which obviously helped us. It was great to be able to show, hey, we can win this way, as well.” - Austin Ekeler after their win against the Browns in their last game. 

“It was a shootout, a flat-out shootout in the second half. That’s a great win against a team that was playing at a high level.” - John Harbaugh after his team’s win against the Bengals in their last game. 

WR McLaurin, Terry 

WR Brown, Dyami 

WR McCaffrey, Luke 

TE Ertz, Zach 

QB Daniels, Jayden

RB Robinson Jr., Brian

WR Bateman, Rashod 

WR Flowers, Zay 

WR Agholor, Nelson

TE Andrews, Mark 

QB Jackson, Lamar

RB Henry, Derrick 

FB Ricard, Patrick

Passing: J. Daniels (1135)

Rushing: B. Robinson (325)

Receiving: T. McLaurin (303)

Touchdowns: B. Robinson (5)

Passing: L. Jackson (1206)

Rushing: D. Henry (572)

Receiving: Z. Flowers (269)

Touchdowns: D. Henry (7)

Coaches:

Washington Commanders: Dan Quinn (1st season)

Baltimore Ravens: John Harbaugh (17th season)