Washington Capitals vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/11/2026

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Venue:  Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA 

Where to Watch:  TNT, HBO Max, truTV

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Capitals -115, Flyers -105; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Capitals -115, Flyers -105; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Capitals -115, Flyers -105; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Washington Capitals:  32-26-7 (5th place, Metropolitan Division)

Philadelphia Flyers:  29-23-11 (6th place, Metropolitan Division)

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Washington Capitals:  6-4-0 last 10

Philadelphia Flyers:  5-3-2 last 10

The Capitals are entering this game with 71 points, a 32-26-7 record overall, and they are 12-15-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Calgary Flames in their last game, winning that one at home 7-3. Connor McMichael led the team in goals scored with 2 while Justin Sourdif, Hendrix Lapierre, Ethen Frank, Ryan Leonard, and Tom Wilson each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Justin Sourdif led the team in assists with 2 while Dylan Strome led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Logan Thompson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 26 shots with 23 saves and a .885 save percentage. Their offense has scored 207 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 195 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.

The Flyers are entering this game with 69 points, a 29-23-11 record overall, and they are 14-11-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the New York Rangers in their last game, losing that one at home 6-2. Matvei Michkov and Sean Couturier each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Jamie Drysdale, Luke Glendening, Nikita Grebenkin, and Trevor Zegras each led the team in assists with 1 while Alex Bump and Nick Seeler each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Dan Vladar was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 6 goals on 24 shots with 18 saves and a .750 sv percentage before getting pulled and replaced by Samuel Ersson who stopped all 3 shots he faced. Their offense has scored 183 goals this season averaging 2.9 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 200 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Capitals listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Capitals haven't looked great in their games this season with their 32-26-7 record overall which has them in the bottom half of their division in the East. They have been a bad road team too with their 12-15-4 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Flyers haven't looked great in their games this season with their 29-23-11 record overall which has them in the bottom half of their division in the East. They haven't looked that great on home ice either with their 14-11-7 home record this season. The Flyers are off a bad 6-2 loss to the Rangers in their last one and they haven't looked good lately as they are 5-3-2 in their last 10 games. They have shown some flashes this season, but this isn't a playoff team and they are quickly slipping out of the Wild Card race, The Capitals only have a 2 point lead over the Flyers, but they are still right in the Wild Card race and they have a lot more talent to ride with. They haven't been at their best in road games this season, but this Flyers team hasn't looked any better at home either. The Capitals haven't looked bad lately either, going 6-4-0 in their last 10 games, and they are off a huge 7-3 win over the Flames in their last one which will give them some momentum after that offensive explosion. The Capitals have had the much better offense and defense this season, and they need to get to work if they want to make the playoffs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Capitals to win this game. 

Capitals Flyers Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, March 11, 2026 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Capitals 3 Flyers 1.

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Washington Capitals: 128-115 (+6.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 46-31 (+6.4 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 45-28 (+8.7 units) on the moneyline when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%). 10-5 OVER after a blowout win by 4 goals or more.

Philadelphia Flyers: 100-127 (-18.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 54-78 (-15.6 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite. 48-56 (-15.8 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a losing record. 20-12 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses.

Washington Capitals:  D. Kampf (C) Day To Day - Not Injury Related.

Philadelphia Flyers:  R. Abols (C) Out - Ankle. T. Foerster (RW) Out - Arm.

“It's a resilient group. Even though we've had our struggles and our moments through the year that haven't gone as planned, you still can't question the character of our group as a whole. They genuinely want to do the right things, and care and play hard and compete.” - Spencer Carbery after his team’s win against the Flames in their game on Monday.

"Not protecting the middle of ice, which is something we always talk about. We've done a good job since the (Olympic) break, but tonight, there's guys that have to stop in the slot and you've got to protect the middle, and we've got to box out better. How many goals they got, six? And how many were from the middle of the slot or in front of our net? That's the game." - Rick Tocchet after his team’s loss against the Rangers in their game on Monday. 

LW Alex Ovechkin

C Dylan Strome

RW Anthony Beauvillier

LD Jakob Chychrun

RD Trevor van Riemsdyk

G Logan Thompson

LW Alex Bump

C Christian Dvorak

RW Travis Konecny

LD Travis Sanheim

RD Rasmus Ristolainen

G Dan Vladar

Points: Alex Ovechkin (50)

Goals: Alex Ovechkin (24)

Assists: John Carlson (36)

GAA: Logan Thompson (2.42)

Points: Travis Konecny (57)

Goals: Travis Konecny (23)

Assists: Travis Konecny (34)

GAA: Dan Vladar (2.52)

Coaches:

Washington Capitals: Spencer Carbery (3rd season)

Philadelphia Flyers: Rick Tocchet (1st season)