Washington Capitals vs Carolina Hurricanes Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/12/2025

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Monday, May 12, 2025

Venue:  Lenovo Center, Raleigh, NC

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX, truTV

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Capitals +195, Hurricanes -238; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Capitals +195, Hurricanes -240; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Capitals +200, Hurricanes -250; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Washington Capitals:  51-22-9 (1st place, Metropolitan Division)

Carolina Hurricanes:  47-30-5 (2nd place, Metropolitan Division)

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Washington Capitals:  6-3-1 last 10

Carolina Hurricanes:  6-3-1 last 10

The Capitals are entering the playoffs with 111 points, a 51-22-9 record overall, and they were 25-13-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Carolina Hurricanes in their last game, losing that one on the road 4-0. No one on the team scored a goal for them or recorded an assist in that one. Alexander Ovechkin led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Logan Thompson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 28 shots with 24 saves and a .857 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 288 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 232 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.

The Hurricanes are entering the playoffs with 99 points, a 47-30-5 record overall, and they were 31-9-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Washington Capitals in their last game, winning that one at home 4-0. Jack Roslovic, Jackson Blake, Eric Robinson, and Andrei Svechnikov each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Jack Roslovic, Brent Burns, Shayne Gostisbehere, Taylor Hall, Seth Jarvis, and Logan Stankoven each led the team in assists with 1 while Brent Burns led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Frederik Andersen was the starting goalie in that game and he recorded the shutout as he allowed 0 goals on 21 shots with 21 saves and a 1.000 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 266 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 233 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Hurricanes listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Capitals and the 2nd seeded Hurricanes from the Metropolitan Division for the 2nd round of the NHL Eastern Conference playoffs. The Hurricanes are leading this series 2-1 after winning game 3 at home. The Hurricanes took a 2-1 series lead with a 4-0 win over the Capitals in the 3rd game of this series and once again in this series, the Hurricanes looked like the better team out there. They outshot the Capitals again in that one and they have done a really good job of shutting down this Capitals offense throughout this series. Thompson didn't look great in net for them either and that has been a common theme for him on the road in these playoffs. He has given up a lot more goals in their 3 road games in the playoffs and the Capitals have lost 2 of those 3 road games too. The Capitals weren't a bad road team this season, but the Hurricanes did have one of the best home records in the entire NHL this year as they were 31-9-1 in their home games. Also, they weren't able to catch the Capitals in the standings during the regular season, but they definitely gave the Capitals a lot of trouble when they played each other so this game is going to be no different from game 3 as the Hurricanes look to take a commanding 3-1 series lead here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Hurricanes to win this game and on the puckline. 

Capitals Hurricanes Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Monday, May 12, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Hurricanes 5 Capitals 2.

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Washington Capitals: 32-38 (+6.7 units) on the moneyline as a road underdog of +100 to +200. 32-23 (+14.9 units) on the moneyline revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more. 67-57 (+9.8 units) on the moneyline after 1 or more consecutive losses. 13-5 UNDER off a road loss against a division rival.

Carolina Hurricanes: 159-95 (-10.4 units) on the moneyline as a favorite. 15-14 (-10.1 units) on the moneyline after a blowout win by 4 goals or more. 76-61 (-11.1 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 26-16 UNDER off a home blowout win by 3 goals or more.

Washington Capitals:  M. Fehervary (D) Out For Season - Meniscus. S. Milano (LW) Out - Upper-body. N. Backstrom (C) Out For Season - Hip. T. Oshie (RW) Out For Season - Back.

Carolina Hurricanes:  M. Jankowski (C) Day To Day - Undisclosed. J. Fast (RW) Out For Season - Neck.

“Once we get down, it’s a tough spot for us. As a team, it gets off track, and our puck play after that wasn’t great. They’re the best defensive team in the League for a reason. You have to work constantly for your offense. It’s hard, but that’s the challenge: staying with it [in the] first period, second period, third period. You’re going to have to go win pucks." - Spencer Carbery after his team’s loss against the Hurricanes in game 3 of this series on Saturday.

“Clearly, that was the key to our win tonight was that first period. They were on their game and we were a little on our heels. It’s what goaltending does. It kept us in the game. I thought we got it a little bit in the second half of the game, but it could have been a lot different if we’re chasing it.” - Rod Brind’Amour after his team’s win against the Capitals in game 3 of this series on Saturday.

LW Alex Ovechkin

C Dylan Strome

RW Aliaksei Protas

LD Jakob Chychrun

RD John Carlson

G Logan Thompson

LW Andrei Svechnikov

C Sebastian Aho

RW Jackson Blake

LD Jaccob Slavin

RD Brent Burns

G Frederik Andersen

Points: D. Strome (82)

Goals: A. Ovechkin (44)

Assists: D. Strome (53)

GAA: L. Thompson (2.49)

Points: S. Aho (74)

Goals: S. Jarvis (32)

Assists: S. Aho (45)

GAA: F. Andersen (2.50)

Coaches:

Washington Capitals: Spencer Carbery (2nd season)

Carolina Hurricanes: Rod Brind'Amour (7th season)