Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Virginia Cavaliers Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/24/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, September 24, 2021
Venue:  Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA
Where to Watch:  ESPN2


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Wake Forest +4, Virginia -4; Over/Under:  67 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Wake Forest +4, Virginia -4; Over/Under:  67 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Wake Forest +4, Virginia -4; Over/Under:  67.5 points

Season Record

Wake Forest Demon Deacons:  3-0 (1st place, ACC Atlantic)
Virginia Cavaliers:  2-1 (6th place, ACC Coastal)
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Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Virginia Cavaliers Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
Wake Forest Demon Deacons:  won at home on Sep. 18 against the Florida State Seminoles 35-14.
Virginia Cavaliers:  lost on the road on Sep. 18 against the North Carolina Tar Heels 59-39.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons Analysis

Wake Forest is coming into this NCAA football game with a 3-0 record overall. They are 1-0 in conference games this season and will be playing another one here after last week's win over FSU. They will be on the road for this game playing their first road game of the year. Sam Hartman played an alright game in their last one as he completed 22/31 passes for 259 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Their run game was good in that one as Christian Beal-Smith led the team in rushing with 95 yards and 1 touchdown on 19 carries. A.T. Perry had a big day for the receiving corps as he led the way with 155 receiving yards and 1 touchdown on 7 receptions. DJ Taylor and Evan Slocum both led the defense with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted one each. JaCorey Johns and Miles Fox each recorded a sack in that game while Traveon Redd and Chelen Games both recorded 0.5 sacks each. Traveon Redd also had an interception in that game along with Caelen Carson and Nasir Greer, all coming away with 1 pick each. They have scored 118 points in their first 3 games and have allowed their opponents to score 40 points against them. Their offense is averaging 416.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 308.3 YPG.

Virginia Cavaliers Analysis

Virginia is coming into this college football game with a 2-1 record overall and is 2-0 in home games this season where they will be for this game. They are 0-1 in conference games after losing to UNC last week and will now be faced with another here. The offense was definitely not the problem in their loss last week. They put up 39 points but managed to allow 59. Brennan Armstrong had a very strong performance completing 39/54 passes for 554 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception. They did not have much of a run game in that one as Jacob Rodriguez led the team with 14 rushing yards on 3 carries. The receiving corps had a very big day though as this ball was thrown a lot in that game trying to play catch up the whole time. Dontayvion Wicks led the team in receiving with 183 yards and 1 TD on 7 receptions while Billy Kemp had 8 receptions for 106 yards and 2 TDs. Joey Blount led the defense with 9 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Aaron Faumui had the only sack in the game for his team while Fentrell Cypress II came away with the only INT for them in that one. They have scored 124 points in their first 3 games while allowing their opponents to score 73 points against them. Their offense is averaging 558.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 406.3 YPG.


Wake Forest vs Virginia Prediction

Both of these teams have racked up a lot of offense in their first few games while showing that their defense is clearly the weakest link. Virginia just got into a big shootout with UNC as their offense continued to run smoothly all game but their defense let them down on multiple occasions in that game. Wake Forest will be able to score a lot of points on Virginia's defense. Virginia will also be able to score a lot of points on Wake Forest with their solid offense. This game will turn into a high scoring one very quickly so the best bet in this game would be for this one to go over the total.
Wake Forest Virginia Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, September 24, 2021 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Virginia 45 Wake Forest 41.
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NCAAF Betting Trends

Wake Forest Demon Deacons: 2-6 ATS in road games. 1-5 ATS in games played on a grass field.
Virginia Cavaliers: 16-10 ATS in all games. 11-3 ATS in home games. 

Key Injuries

Wake Forest Demon Deacons:  J. Nash (OL) out for season - Undisclosed injury. C. Monroe (LB) out for season - Undisclosed injury. D. Greene (WR) out for season - Undisclosed injury.
Virginia Cavaliers:  J. Hayes (CB) Out indefinitely - Leg injury. C. Bennett Jr. (LB) out for season - Achilles injury. N. Beal III (WR) out for season - Knee injury.

Players to Watch

Wake Forest Demon Deacons: Jaquarii Roberson is one player to watch in this game. He has been quiet so far just looking to have that first breakout game of the season. Look for him in this one to make some big catches down the field and the end zone as he looks to help his team pull off an upset here.
Virginia Cavaliers: Wayne Taulapapa is one player to watch here. He leads his team in rushing and he will need to play a good game here. Virginia does not have a good defense so the longer they can sustain their drives the better it will be for them. They will need a good running game to get those longer drives and keep possession and that all starts with Taulapapa so look for him to get some good runs in this game.

Notable Quotes

"That kind of changed the game. The defense I would say won this game for us." - Sam Hartman on his defense recovering a fumble in their own end zone for a touchback.
"There really wasn't anything stopped well. There was basically two different games going on. There was our offense against their defense and I was really impressed with our off performance. But then there was their offense against our defense, and they clearly won that matchup in every way." - Bronco Mendenhall on the way his defense played in their loss to UNC.

Starting Lineups

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
WR Roberson, Jaquarii 
WR Perry, A.T. 
WR Morin, Taylor 
TE Chapman, Brandon 
QB Hartman, Sam 
RB Beal-Smith, Christian 
Virginia Cavaliers
WR Wicks, Dontayvion 
WR Henry, Ra'Shaun 
WR Kemp IV, Billy 
TE Woods, Jelani 
QB Armstrong, Brennan 
RB Taulapapa, Wayne 

Statistical Leaders

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Passing: S. Hartman (691)
Rushing: C. Beal-Smith (229)
Receiving: A. Perry (255)
Touchdowns: C. Beal-Smith (4)
Sacks: J. Davis (1.5)
Tackles: L. Masterson (11)
Virginia Cavaliers
Passing: B. Armstrong (1298)
Rushing: W. Taulapapa (81)
Receiving: D. Wicks (346)
Touchdowns: D. Wicks (3)
Sacks: N. Taylor (2)
Tackles: J. Blount (19)
Wake Forest Demon Deacons: Dave Clawson (8th season)
Virginia Cavaliers: Bronco Mendenhall (6th season)

Weather Forecast

66 degrees F sunny, 62% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 5 mph wind speeds W.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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