by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Nov 15, 2023
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 18, 2023
Venue: Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame, IN
Where to Watch: NBC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: WF +24.5, ND -24.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: WF +24.5, ND -24.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: WF +24.5, ND -24.5; Over/Under: 46.5 points
Season Record
Wake Forest Demon Deacons: 4-6 (1-6) (14th place, ACC)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 7-3 (0-0) (FBS Independent)
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Recent Form
Wake Forest Demon Deacons: lost their last game at home against the North Carolina State Wolfpack 26-6.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: lost their last game on the road against the Clemson Tigers 31-23.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Preview and Analysis
Wake Forest is entering this game with a 4-6 record overall and they have a 1-6 record in their conference games too. They are 3-3 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against NC State 26-6. Mitch Griffis was the starting QB and he completed 2/3 passes for 19 passing yards before getting replaced by Michael Kern who completed 14/26 passes for 137 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Demond Claiborne led the team in rushing yards with 12. Horatio Fields led the receivers with 31 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Dylan Hazen led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Chelen Garnes, Jacob Roberts, and Jasheen Davis each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Notre Dame is entering this game with a 7-3 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Clemson 31-23. Sam Hartman was the starting QB and he completed 13/30 passes for 146 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Audric Estime led the team in rushing yards with 87 and 1 TD. Rico Flores Jr. led the receivers with 35 receiving yards on 1 reception. Jack Kiser led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Javontae Jean-Baptiste led the defense in sacks with 1. Xavier Watts came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Wake Forest vs Notre Dame Prediction
The current betting odds have Notre Dame listed as a 24.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Notre Dame has looked good this season with their 7-3 record overall but those 3 losses are going to kill their season since they just couldn't get over the hump of beating the better teams on their schedule. They have been doing a really good job of beating up on the bad teams though and they will be looking to bounce back here after losing their last game on the road against Clemson. They are also coming out of their bye week for this home game and Wake Forest has looked terrible in their games lately. Wake Forest is only 4-6 overall this season and they have been terrible in conference play as they are 1-6 with all 6 of their losses this season coming against ACC opponents. Wake Forest has not only looked bad in their games but their offense has been struggling to put up points at home against worse defenses. Notre Dame has a much better defense than anything Wake Forest has seen lately and Notre Dame is going to score points at will here at home. The best way to place a bet here is on Notre Dame to cover the spread in this game.
Wake Forest Notre Dame Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 18, 2023 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Notre Dame 49 Wake Forest 3.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Wake Forest Demon Deacons: 12-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 12-6 ATS after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers. 9-4 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 8-3 UNDER as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points. 10-3 UNDER off a loss against a conference rival.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: 10-24 ATS as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points. 22-34 ATS off a road loss. 6-16 ATS as a home favorite of 21.5 to 28 points. 37-27 UNDER when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest. 31-24 UNDER off a road loss.
Key Injuries
Wake Forest Demon Deacons: D. Claiborne (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. W. Merrill (WR) Ques Sat - Foot. I. Ver Steeg (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. G. Ellis (TE) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. C. Jones (LB) out for season - Concussion. N. Sharpe (OL) out for season - Ankle. D. Greene (WR) out for season - Knee.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: D. Colzie (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Thomas (WR) Ques Sat - Hamstring. C. Salerno (P) Out indefinitely - Leg. M. Evans (TE) out for season - Knee. K. Bauman (TE) out for season - Knee. K. Smith (WR) Out indefinitely - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“It was not even a competitive football game. It’s on me. It’s Game 10 and to show up like that is very disappointing.” - Dave Clawson after his team’s loss against NC State in their last game.
“If you want to put anything on anyone, put it on me. I played very poor today. I didn't play well enough to be a winning quarterback.” - Sam Hartman after their loss against Clemson in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
WR Banks, Jahmal
WR Morin, Taylor
WR Williams, Ke'Shawn
TE Hite, Cameron
QB Griffis, Mitch
RB Ellison, Justice
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
WR Flores Jr., Rico
WR Thomas, Jayden
WR Tyree, Chris
TE Staes, Holden
QB Hartman, Sam
RB Estimé, Audric
Statistical Leaders
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Passing: M. Griffis (1539)
Rushing: D. Claiborne (586)
Receiving: J. Banks (528)
Touchdowns: D. Claiborne (6)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Passing: S. Hartman (2272)
Rushing: A. Estime (988)
Receiving: C. Tyree (446)
Touchdowns: A. Estime (13)
Coaches:
Wake Forest Demon Deacons: Dave Clawson (10th season)
Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Marcus Freeman (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
