Virginia Tech Hokies vs North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/01/2022

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Sep 30, 2022
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 1, 2022
Venue:  Kenan Memorial Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC
Where to Watch:  ACC Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  VT +9, UNC -9; Over/Under:  54.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  VT +9, UNC -9; Over/Under:  54.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  VT +9, UNC -9; Over/Under:  54.5 points
 

Season Record

Virginia Tech Hokies:  2-2 (1-0) (1st place, ACC Coastal)
North Carolina Tar Heels:  3-1 (0-0) (2nd place, ACC Coastal)
 
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Recent Form
Virginia Tech Hokies:  lost their last game at home against the West Virginia Mountaineers 33-10.
North Carolina Tar Heels:  lost their last game at home against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish 45-32.

 

Virginia Tech Hokies vs North Carolina Tar Heels Preview and Analysis

 
VA Tech is entering this game with a 2-2 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 2nd road game of the season here as they are 0-1 in their road games this year. This will also be their 2nd conference game of the college football season this year as they are 1-0. They lost against the West Virginia Mountaineers in their last game at home 33-10. Grant Wells started that game at QB and he completed 16/35 passes for 193 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Jalen Holston led the team in rushing with 18 yards on 4 rushing attempts. Kaleb Smith led the team in receiving with 70 yards and 1 TD on 5 receptions. Chamarri Conner led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles. TyJuan Garbutt led the defense in sacks with 1 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
UNC is entering this game with a 3-1 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 3rd home game of the season as they are 1-1 in their home games this year. This will also be the 1st conference matchup on their conference schedule this season. They lost against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in their last game at home 45-32. Drake Maye started that game at QB and he completed 17/32 passes for 301 yards and 5 touchdowns. Drake Maye also led the team in rushing with 36 yards on 13 carries. Antoine Green led the team in receiving with 150 yards and 2 TDs on 3 receptions. Power Echols led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles. Power Echols led the defense in sacks with 1 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

Virginia Tech vs North Carolina Prediction

The current betting odds have VA Tech listed as a 9 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. VA Tech hasn't looked very good in their games but they won their only game that really mattered and will play this conference game tough too. They just got blown out at home in their last game but they are going to bounce back in this game against UNC, a team they love to play. These games are always close and low scoring when these two meet up. UNC got off to a hot start this season but they have cooled off now with a loss to Notre Dame last week. They put up a ton of points in their games but this is one of the best defenses they have seen all year and they are going to struggle to move the ball here. VA Tech will come with a good defensive game plan here and UNC also has a very bad defense that gives up a ton of points so moving the ball won't even be that hard for this bad VA Tech offense. VA Tech's defense will keep them in this game with a chance to win it while UNC struggles to move the ball here. The best way to place a bet here is on VA Tech to cover the spread in this game.
 
Virginia Tech North Carolina Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 1, 2022 (3:30 pm ET start time) is UNC 21 VA Tech 17.
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NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Virginia Tech Hokies: 28-20 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 23-14 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game. 14-5 UNDER when playing with 8 days rest.
North Carolina Tar Heels: 8-13 ATS as a favorite. 13-20 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. 22-13 UNDER after allowing 42 points or more last game.
 

Key Injuries

 
Virginia Tech Hokies:  J. Garrett (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. B. Gosnell (TE) out for season - Knee. D. Wright (WR) out for season - Undisclosed.
North Carolina Tar Heels:  J. Conley (DB) Mid Oct - Lower Body. T. Craft (WR) Out indefinitely - Illness. B. Brooks (RB) out for season - Lower Body.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I think we press and we get out of sorts. We feel like we have to do things above and beyond. We've got to stay in the framework and play with fundamentals and technique to be mindful of what we're doing.” - Brent Pry after his team’s loss against WVU in their last game.
 
 
"It is a big learning experience. We didn't come out ready to play football in the second half. Big games like this, we've got to show up." - Drake Maye after their loss against Notre Dame in their last game.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Virginia Tech Hokies
WR Smith, Kaleb
WR Blue, Jadan
WR Lofton, Da'Wain 
TE Gallo, Nick
QB Wells, Grant
RB King, Keshawn 
 
North Carolina Tar Heels
WR Green, Antoine
WR Blackwell, Gavin 
WR Downs, Josh 
TE Morales, Kamari
QB Maye, Drake
RB Jones, D.J. 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Virginia Tech Hokies
Passing: G. Wells (844)
Rushing: K. King (179)
Receiving: K. Smith (201)
Touchdowns: J. Holston (2)
 
North Carolina Tar Heels
Passing: D. Maye (1231)
Rushing: O. Hampton (256)
Receiving: K. Paysour (175)
Touchdowns: O. Hampton (6)
 
Coaches:
Virginia Tech Hokies: Brent Pry (1st season)
North Carolina Tar Heels: Mack Brown (4th season, 14th season non-consecutive)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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