Virginia Tech Hokies vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/12/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Saturday, Mar 12, 2022
Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Saturday, March 12, 2022
Venue:  Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
Where to Watch:  ESPN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  VT +6, Duke -6; Over/Under:  138.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  VT +5.5, Duke -5.5; Over/Under:  138.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  VT +5.5, Duke -5.5; Over/Under:  138.5 points
 

Season Record

Virginia Tech Hokies:  22-12 (7th place, ACC)
Duke Blue Devils:  28-5 (1st place, ACC)
 
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Virginia Tech Hokies vs Duke Blue Devils Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Virginia Tech Hokies:  4-1 last 5
Duke Blue Devils:  4-1 last 5
 
 
 

Virginia Tech Hokies Analysis

VT is coming into this game with a 22-12 record overall and they are 4-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have a record of 11-9 this season against conference opponents. They have won 6 of their last 7 games and are coming into this one on a 3 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Clemson Tigers while their 3 wins since then have come against Clemson, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, and the North Carolina Tar Heels in their last game. Darius Maddox off the bench led the team in points in that game with 20 while Keve Aluma was next on the team with 18 points. Storm Murphy led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Maddox led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 43.9% from the field, 45% from 3-point range, and 92.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 70.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 62.2 PPG against them. VT has an ATS record of 18-16 this season and their O/U record is 15-19.
 
 

Duke Blue Devils Analysis

Duke is coming into this game with a 28-5 record overall and they are 4-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have a record of 16-4 against conference opponents this season. They have won 9 of their last 10 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the North Carolina Tar Heels while their 2 losses since then have come against the Syracuse Orange and the Miami Hurricanes in their last game. AJ Griffin led the team in points in that game with 21 while Paolo Banchero was next on the team with 18 points. Banchero led the team in assists in that game with 4 and he also led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 50% from the field, 26.3% from 3-point range, and 77.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 80.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66.4 PPG against them. Duke has an ATS record of 17-14-2 this season and their O/U record is 18-14-1.
 

 

Virginia Tech vs Duke Prediction

VT is coming into this game as a 6 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. They have been playing very well in their recent games winning all 3 games of the tourney so far and they have even won 6 of their last 7 games as they started to heat up near the end of the season. They are going up against a Duke side that has also been playing very well recently with wins in 9 of their last 10 games but they have been barely getting by in their games recently. They lost their last game of the season to their rival in what was Coach K's final home game ever with the team and they have followed that up with 2 straight wins now but their first win of this tourney was a 9 point win against Syracuse in a game that they were trailing for a large portion of it and then their last game was another hard fought win in a close game when they beat Miami by 4 points. Duke has not been playing that great recently and VT has been playing very well in their games but they are also upsetting a lot of teams as they come in as another underdog. VT very well could get another upset here as they will be trying very hard to win to ensure a spot in the NCAA tourney while Duke does not really need a win here to go. Whether VT pulls off the upset here or not, they will keep this a close enough game to cover the spread here.
 
Virginia Tech Duke Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, March 12, 2022 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Duke 81 VT 78.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Virginia Tech Hokies: 22-35 ATS against conference opponents. 2-8 ATS in all tournament games. 8-4 OVER revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more.
Duke Blue Devils: 6-1 ATS in all neutral court games. 55-31 OVER in all games. 40-21 OVER against conference opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Virginia Tech Hokies:  None.
Duke Blue Devils:  None.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“Just because we’re desperate doesn’t mean we’re not confident. We just know we’ve got to win.” - Keve Aluma after their win against UNC in the last round.
 
 
“They almost knocked us out. The plan we had didn’t work. We weren’t aggressive in the plan we had and that’s on us, on the coaching staff, on me. We could have been down double digits if we had kept going. But we did right the ship.” - Coach K on his team’s win against Miami in the last round.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Virginia Tech Hokies
N. Alleyne 
K. Aluma 
H. Cattoor 
S. Murphy 
J. Mutts
 
Duke Blue Devils
P. Banchero 
T. Keels 
W. Moore 
J. Roach 
M. Williams
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Virginia Tech Hokies
PPG: K. Aluma (15.4)
APG: J. Mutts (3.4)
Reb/G: J. Mutts (7.5)
 
Duke Blue Devils
PPG: P. Banchero (17.1)
APG: W. Moore Jr. (4.6)
RPG: P. Banchero (7.7)
 
Coaches:
Virginia Tech Hokies: Mike Young (3rd season)
Duke Blue Devils: Mike Krzyzewski (42nd season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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