Virginia Cavaliers vs North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/21/2023

Game Time: 6:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 21, 2023

Venue:  Kenan Memorial Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC

Where to Watch:  The CW

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UVA +23, UNC -23; Over/Under:  56.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  UVA +23.5, UNC -23.5; Over/Under:  57 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UVA +23.5, UNC -23.5; Over/Under:  56.5 points

Virginia Cavaliers:  1-5 (0-2) (14th place, ACC)

North Carolina Tar Heels:  6-0 (3-0) (2nd place, ACC)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in CFB as he is 87-46 his last 133 CFB Plays! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Virginia Cavaliers:  won their last game at home against the William & Mary Tribe 27-13.

North Carolina Tar Heels:  won their last game at home against the Miami-Florida Hurricanes 41-31.

Virginia is entering this game with a 1-5 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their conference games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against William & Mary 27-13. Tony Muskett was the starting QB and he completed 14/18 passes for 72 passing yards , 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Darius Wilson led the team in rushing yards with 74. Sean McElwain led the receivers with 21 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Kevin Jarrell led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while John Pius led the defense in sacks with 2.5. Malcolm Spencer came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

North Carolina is entering this game with a 6-0 record overall and they have a 3-0 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Miami-FL 41-31. Drake Maye was the starting QB and he completed 17/33 passes for 273 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Omarion Hampton led the team in rushing yards with 197 and 1 TD. Devontez Walker led the receivers with 132 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 3 TDs. Cedric Gray led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Kaimon Rucker led the defense in sacks with 2.5. Cedric Gray and Giovanni Biggers each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have North Carolina listed as a 23 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. North Carolina has looked really good this season with their 6-0 record overall and they are also 3-0 in conference play too as they look to be a threat in the ACC this season. They are near the top of the conference as one of the only undefeated teams left in it and their offense has been really good as they are putting up a ton of points in every game. Meanwhile, Virginia is only 1-5 this season as they have been terrible and they have struggled in their conference games too with their 0-2 conference record. They have had big issues at the QB position all season and they are one of the worst teams in the ACC this year. UNC has the ACC Championship on their mind this season and they will be looking to keep on their roll with an easy home win here in a game they should blow Virginia out in. The best way to place a bet here is on North Carolina to cover the spread in this game. 

Virginia North Carolina Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 21, 2023 (6:30 pm ET start time) is UNC 42 UVA 13.

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Virginia Cavaliers: 11-6 ATS against conference opponents. 11-5 ATS off 1 or more consecutive unders. 5-1 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 113-76 UNDER against conference opponents. 10-5 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders. 10-5 UNDER after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers.

North Carolina Tar Heels: 5-18 ATS after allowing 375 or more passing yards in their last game. 2-10 ATS after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival. 8-2 UNDER after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival. 8-3 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of +4 or better.

Virginia Cavaliers:  L. Long (LB) Ques Sat - Foot. P. Akere (DE) Ques Sat - Knee. M. Hollins (RB) Ques Sat - Knee. X. Brown (RB) Late Oct - Arm. A. Clary (S) Early Nov - Ankle. D. Starling (WR) out for season - Redshirt. O. Agunloye (DT) out for season - Knee.

North Carolina Tar Heels:  G. Blackwell (WR) Ques Sat - Concussion. B. Kiernan (P) out for season - Lower Body. R. Coe (PK) Ques Sat - Lower Body. K. Paysour (WR) Out indefinitely - Foot. J. Randolph (TE) out for season - Lower Body. R. Grigsby (OL) Out indefinitely - Lower Body.

“He’s persevered and he’s given everything that he has. He’s running the football, right? He’s trying to trying to win the game. So I think you saw just how tough and how much he cares about this football team.” - Tony Elliott on Tony Muskett after his team’s win against William & Mary in their last game. 

“His presence is a game changer.” - Mack Brown on Tez Walker after his team’s win against Miami-FL in their last game. 

WR Fields, Malachi 

WR Wilson, JR  

WR Washington, Malik 

TE Wood Jr., Sackett 

QB Muskett, Tony 

RB Pace, Kobe 

WR Walker, Devontez 

WR Jones, J.J.   

WR Paysour, Kobe 

TE Copenhaver, John 

QB Maye, Drake 

RB Hampton, Omarion

Passing: A. Colandrea (923)

Rushing: P. Jones (235)

Receiving: M. Washington (668)

Touchdowns: M. Washington (5)

Passing: D. Maye (1902)

Rushing: O. Hampton (658)

Receiving: N. McCollum (376)

Touchdowns: O. Hampton (9)

Coaches:

Virginia Cavaliers: Tony Elliott (2nd season)

North Carolina Tar Heels: Mack Brown (5th season)