by Rod Pearson
Monday, Dec 18, 2023
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, December 19, 2023
Venue: FedExForum, Memphis, TN
Where to Watch: ESPN2
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: UVA +3, Memphis -3; Over/Under: 131 points
Bet365: Point Spread: UVA +3, Memphis -3; Over/Under: 131 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: UVA +3, Memphis -3; Over/Under: 131 points
Season Record
Virginia Cavaliers: 9-1 (1-0) (2nd place, ACC)
Memphis Tigers: 8-2 (0-0) (3rd place, AAC)
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Recent Form
Virginia Cavaliers: 5-0 last 5
Memphis Tigers: 3-2 last 5
Virginia Cavaliers vs Memphis Tigers Preview and Analysis
Virginia is entering this game with a 9-1 record overall and they are 0-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Northeastern Huskies in their last game. Reece Beekman led the team in points per game in that game with 21 while Isaac McKneely and Jake Groves each were next on the team with 8. Andrew Rohde led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Reece Beekman led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 41.5% from the field, 14.3% from 3-point range, and 55.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 66.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 53.3 PPG against them. Virginia has an ATS record of 6-4 this season and their O/U record is 3-7.
Memphis is entering this game with an 8-2 record overall and they are 3-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Clemson Tigers in their last game. David Jones led the team in points in that game with 22 while Jahvon Quinerly was next on the team with 17. Jahvon Quinerly led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Malcolm Dandridge led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 43.3% from the field, 15.4% from 3-point range, and 73.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 74.4 PPG against them. Memphis has an ATS record of 5-5 this season and their O/U record is 7-3.
Virginia vs Memphis Prediction
The current betting odds have Memphis listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Memphis has looked really good in their games this season with their 8-2 record overall and they are also 3-0 in their home games this year. They just pulled off a big win against Clemson who is ranked and they are going to have a lot of momentum here on their home court after that win. Meanwhile, Virginia has also looked really good in their games this season with their 9-1 record overall, but they haven't played a road game yet this season. They did beat Northeastern in their last game but a lot of their games this season have been at home against weaker teams. Memphis is now a ranked team and they will be looking to follow up their win over Clemson with another ranked win against Virginia at home. Virginia has been good but this is their 1st game in a hostile environment and they have already struggled a bit more in their games played at neutral sites. The best way to place a bet here is on Memphis to cover the spread in this game.
Virginia Memphis Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, December 19, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Memphis 76 Clemson 69.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
Virginia Cavaliers: 9-25 ATS off a close home win by 3 points or less. 1-5 ATS after 5 or more consecutive wins. 9-3 OVER as a road underdog or pick. 9-3 OVER after a game where they were called for 10 or less fouls.
Memphis Tigers: 11-4 ATS off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. 21-12 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick. 5-1 ATS in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5 22-14 OVER in non-conference games. 19-11 OVER as a home favorite or pick.
Key Injuries
Virginia Cavaliers: D. Harris (G) Ques Tues - Ankle.
Memphis Tigers: J. Brown (C) Ques Tues - Illness. M. Williams (G) Out indefinitely - Personal.
Notable Quotes
“Reece kind of decided to take over the game.” - Tony Bennett after his team’s win against Northeastern in their last game on Saturday.
“We haven’t even started scratching the surface yet. We haven’t even reached the level we’re gonna reach yet.” - Penny Hardaway after his team’s win against Clemson in their last game on Saturday.
Starting Lineups
Virginia Cavaliers
R. Beekman
R. Dunn
J. Groves
I. McKneely
A. Rohde
Memphis Tigers
J. Brown
D. Jones
C. Mills
J. Quinerly
J. Walton
Statistical Leaders
Virginia Cavaliers
PPG: R. Beekman (12.5)
APG: R. Beekman (5.7)
Reb/G: R. Dunn (6.1)
Memphis Tigers
PPG: D. Jones (20.3)
APG: J. Quinerly (4.9)
Reb/G: D. Jones (6.5)
Coaches:
Virginia Cavaliers: Tony Bennett (15th season)
Memphis Tigers: Anfernee Hardaway (6th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
