Virginia Cavaliers vs Maryland Terrapins Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/15/2023

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, September 15, 2023

Venue:  SECU Stadium, College Park, MD

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UVA +14.5, Maryland -14.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  UVA +14.5, Maryland -14.5; Over/Under:  49 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UVA +14.5, Maryland -14.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points

Virginia Cavaliers:  0-2 (0-0) (14th place, ACC)

Maryland Terrapins:  2-0 (0-0) (4th place, Big Ten East)

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Virginia Cavaliers:  lost their last game at home against the James Madison Dukes 36-35.

Maryland Terrapins:  won their last game at home against the Charlotte 49ers 38-20.

Virginia is entering this game with a 0-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too.  They are 0-1 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against JMU 36-35. Anthony Colandrea was the starting QB and he completed 20/26 passes for 377 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Mike Hollins led the team in rushing yards with 28 and 2 TDs. Malik Washington led the receivers with 119 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Jonas Sanker led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Kameron Butler led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.

 

 

 

Maryland is entering this game with a 2-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too.  They are 2-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Charlotte 38-20. Taulia Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 25/36 passes for 287 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Roman Hemby led the team in rushing yards with 162 and 1 TD. Kaden Prather led the receivers with 80 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Caleb Wheatland led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Jaishawn Barham led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception in that game.

The current betting odds have Virginia listed as a 14.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Virginia looked terrible in their season opener as they were blown out by Tennessee but they were a lot better at home in their last game as they almost beat James Madison. Maryland is off to a 2-0 start this season with both of their games being played at home and they are going to be at home for this one too. Their offense has looked great in their 2 games as they are putting up points but they were also playing against bad teams and Tagovailoa did throw 2 interceptions in their last game. Virginia doesn't have a great team this season but they do have a good defense and with the weather playing a factor in this game, it will be tough for Maryland to throw the ball around the field and pull away in this game. Virginia's defense will keep them in this game and even their offense looked a lot better in their last game as they put up 30+ points against JMU. The best way to place a bet here is on Virginia to cover the spread in this game. 

Virginia Maryland Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, September 15, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Maryland 27 Virginia 17.

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Virginia Cavaliers: 22-13 ATS after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games. 29-18 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. 31-13 UNDER after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. 25-16 UNDER after playing 2 straight non-conference games.

Maryland Terrapins: 2-8 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 4-8 ATS after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games. 22-6 UNDER after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games. 57-34 UNDER when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 

Virginia Cavaliers:  S. Wood Jr. (TE) Prob Fri - Undisclosed. T. Muskett (QB) Prob Fri - Shoulder. O. Agunloye (DT) out for season - Knee. X. Brown (RB) Late Sept - Arm.

Maryland Terrapins:  L. Husbands (TE) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. D. Duffus (OL) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. D. Gooden (LB) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. G. Gibson (DB) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. K. Kalonji (OL) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. A. Roye Jr. (OL) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. N. Avery (LB) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. K. Jones (WR) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. J. Jennings (TE) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. S. Williams (WR) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. N. Ray (RB) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. J. Richards (WR) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. T. Chambers (WR) Ques Fri - Undisclosed.

"Tony [Muskett] looked good in practice. I feel a lot better about the day-to-day decision coming up to game time, but he's back in full practice, while last week he was limited a little bit. He's been able to do everything, make all the throws, go through all the handoff progressions. So I'm excited about his possibility for this weekend." - Tony Elliott on the injury to Tony Muskett ahead of this game against Maryland.

“We overcame some adversity early, which kind of showed me that we’re the type of team that I thought we could be.” - Mike Locksley after his team’s win against Charlotte in their last game.

WR Fields, Malachi 

WR Starling, Demick 

WR Washington, Malik 

TE Wood Jr., Sackett 

QB Muskett, Tony 

RB Jones, Perris 

WR Felton, Tai  

WR Prather, Kaden 

WR Jones, Jeshaun 

TE Dyches, Corey 

QB Tagovailoa, Taulia 

RB Hemby, Roman 

Passing: A. Colandrea (389)

Rushing: P. Jones (50)

Receiving: M. Washington (148)

Touchdowns: M. Hollins (2) 

Passing: T. Tagovailoa (547)

Rushing: R. Hemby (220)

Receiving: C. Dyches (139)

Touchdowns: K. Prather (2)

Coaches:

Virginia Cavaliers: Tony Elliott (2nd season)

Maryland Terrapins: Mike Locksley (6th season)