Virginia Cavaliers vs California Golden Bears Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/01/2025

Game Time: 3:45 pm ET, Saturday, November 1, 2025

Venue:  California Memorial Stadium, Berkeley, CA

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UVA -4.5, Cal +4.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  UVA -4.5, Cal +4.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UVA -4.5, Cal +4.5; Over/Under:  53.5 points

Virginia Cavaliers:  7-1 (4-0) (2nd place, ACC)

California Golden Bears:  5-3 (2-2) (9th place, ACC)

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Virginia Cavaliers:  won their last game on the road against the North Carolina Tar Heels 17-16 in overtime.

California Golden Bears:  lost their last game on the road against the Virginia Tech Hokies 42-34 in overtime.

Virginia is entering this game with a 7-1 record overall and they have a 4-0 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against North Carolina 17-16 in OT. Chandler Morris was the starting QB and he completed 20/35 passes for 200 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. J'Mari Taylor led the team in rushing yards with 69 and 1 TD. Jahmal Edrine led the receivers with 75 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Kam Robinson led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Daniel Rickert and Cazeem Moore each led the defense in sacks with 1. Antonio Clary and Mitchell Melton each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

California is entering this game with a 5-3 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Virginia Tech 42-34 in OT. Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele was the starting QB and he completed 24/39 passes for 286 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Kendrick Raphael led the team in rushing yards with 71 and 3 TDs. Jacob De Jesus led the receivers with 86 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Cade Uluave led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 10 assisted tackles while Cade Uluave led the defense in sacks with 2. Cam Sidney came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Virginia listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Virginia has looked really good in their games this season with their 7-1 record overall and their 4-0 conference record which has them right near the top of the ACC. They haven't looked great lately with 2 really tight games after pulling off the upset win over Louisville, but they will be looking to put up a better performance here. They are off a 17-16 win over UNC in OT in their last one and only beat Washington State at home by 2 points the week before, but those tight games will knock some sense into them here. This is a tough road game for them with the travel, but they have a really good offense and they are going to bring their best effort to stay undefeated in the conference. Meanwhile, California has looked good in their games this season with their 5-3 record overall, but their 2-2 conference record has them right in the middle of the ACC. They are off a heartbreaking 42-34 loss in OT against VA Tech in their last one and they blew a lead late in that game. They have a really exciting young QB leading their offense, but they have been really up and down at times and that has come back to bite them in some games this year. They don't have a great defense either so they are going to give up points to this high flying Virginia offense and they will have to keep up on offense themselves. They have been really inconsistent though and this is a Virginia team that desperately needs a get right game after the way they looked in their last 2. The best way to place a bet here is on Virginia to cover the spread in this game. 

Virginia California Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 1, 2025 (3:45 pm ET start time) is Virginia 35 California 24.

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Virginia Cavaliers: 8-4 ATS in road lined games. 13-7 ATS against conference opponents. 11-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 8-4 OVER in road lined games. 

California Golden Bears: 3-6 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 75%). 4-7 ATS vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 4-1 OVER as a home underdog. 8-4 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record. 

Virginia Cavaliers:  X. Brown (RB) Out - Knee. T. Ladd (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Jones (S) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Ward (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Simmons (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Gray (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Walker (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Greene Jr. (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Lane Jr. (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Wigenton II (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Ross (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Thomas (OG) Out - Foot. G. Brosterhous (QB) Out - Foot. D. Twitty (TE) Out - Leg. J. Morris (CB) Out - Knee. M. Mills (OG) Out - Knee.

California Golden Bears:  I. Crosby (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. High Jr. (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. L. Johnson Jr. (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Parker (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. McCulloch (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Genova (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Bjerke (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Marshall (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. N. Burrell (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Bryant (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. Tounkara (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Murray (K) Questionable - Undisclosed. L. Robinson (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed.

“I would've kicked it. But hey, he's won a lot of football games. He's one of the best in the business for a reason. Obviously he felt good about the call.” - Tony Elliott after his team’s win against UNC in their last game. 

“Football is a game for tough people, and you have to be tough for the entire game. That’s physically, mentally, emotionally. Having the ability to stay focused throughout the game is what we need to do. The No. 1 thing. The mood is not good, and it shouldn’t be. We shouldn’t be in a good mood after a performance like that. Virginia Tech has good coaches and good players. I don’t want to take anything away from them, but man, we have to expect more from ourselves than what we put out there tonight.” - Justin Wilcox after his team’s loss against VA Tech in their last game. 

WR Edrine, Jahmal

WR Harris, Trell

WR Ross, Cam

TE Ennis, Sage

QB Morris, Chandler

RB Taylor, J'Mari

WR King, Jordan

WR Grizzell, Trond

WR De Jesus, Jacob

TE Mini, Mason

QB Sagapolutele, Jaron-Keawe

RB Raphael, Kendrick

Passing: Chandler Morris (1,807)

Rushing: J'Mari Taylor (581)

Receiving: Trell Harris (477)

Touchdowns: J'Mari Taylor (9)

Passing: Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele (1,982)

Rushing: Kendrick Raphael (566)

Receiving: Jacob De Jesus (492)

Touchdowns: Kendrick Raphael (8)

Coaches:

Virginia Cavaliers: Tony Elliott (4th season)

California Golden Bears: Justin Wilcox (9th season)