Vegas Writer's Daily Recap - May 19, 2023

by Vegas Writer

Thursday, May 18, 2023
The NBA Playoffs continued last night, with Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals tipping off in Boston.

And the Miami Heat certainly made the statement I thought they would, winning outright as an 8-point underdog.

Jimmy Butler scored 35 points, including 20 after halftime, and Miami came from behind in the second half to upset the Celtics 123-116.

Surprisingly, The betting market moved the number from -8 to -8.5, and the Heat made their backers happy with an outright win. Those cashing the moneyline were ecstatic with a +310 closing price at Draft Kings.

Game 2 is scheduled for Friday.

I'm now 77-57-3 for $16,090 since 4/17, including an NBA run of 39-23-2 for $13,600. Riding a 26-14-1 run with SIDE WINNERS in the NBA, and tonight I jump back into the Western Conference Finals between the Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Lakers. My NBA LINE MISTAKE awaits.

On the MLB diamond, only four of the 15 underdogs won Wednesday. No doubt about it the most notable was the Kansas City Royals at +230 (DraftKings), as they won in San Diego, 4-3. They've now won two straight after a four-game skid and have the day off before finishing their road trip playing at division-rival Chicago. And make note, KC just took three of four from the White Sox earlier this month (May 8-11).

I'm offering is another DIVISION TOTAL OF THE MONTH. On Monday you got my NL East Total of the Month on the Mets-Nats OV. I'm on a 21-13-1 roll with ALL TOTALS from every sport. I make it 22 of 36 tonight with my DIVISION TOTAL OF THE MONTH.

The NHL Playoffs are back tonight with Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Final starting in Raleigh, North Carolina.

Numbers to keep in mind:

  • Road teams are 41-32 in the postseason, the most wins by visitors at this stage of a postseason (73 games played) in league history.
  • Eight of 12 series-clinching wins have been claimed on the road.
  • Underdogs are 35-37 in the postseason, with a $100 wager on the pups turning a profit of roughly $1200.
  • The 2023 Stanley Cup Playoffs are averaging 6.4 goals-per-game, the highest rate at this stage of a postseason (73 GP) since 1995.
  • The Over is 39-33-1 after the first two rounds, but the Under has cashed 24 of the last 43 games.
  • There have been 18 overtime games, and road teams are 13-5 in those games.
  • NHL favorites higher than -150 are 14-31 on the puck line this postseason.

I couldn't be any happier about the conference finals getting started, as I've had my eye on this game since the TOTAL came out. I'm on a 91-79-2 roll in the NHL all season ($15,350), and 15-11 in the postseason ($5,130). I also come into Thursday on a 21-13-1 roll with ALL SPORTS TOTALS - including a 4-2 run with NHL Playoff totals. Tonight I make if 5 of 7 with NHL Playoff totals with my CONFERENCE FINAL TOTAL OF THE YEAR.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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