Vegas Golden Knights vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/23/2026

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, January 23, 2026

Venue:  Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Knights -110, Leafs -110; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Knights -110, Leafs -110; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Knights -110, Leafs -110; Over/Under:  6 goals

Vegas Golden Knights:  24-12-12 (1st place, Pacific Division)

Toronto Maple Leafs:  24-17-9 (6th place, Atlantic Division)

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Vegas Golden Knights:  7-2-1 last 10

Toronto Maple Leafs:  5-2-3 last 10

The Golden Knights are entering this game with 60 points, a 24-12-12 record overall, and they are 12-5-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Philadelphia Flyers in their last game, losing that one at home 2-1, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Boston Bruins still to be played on Thursday night. In their game against the Flyers, Tomáš Hertl scored 1 goal for them in that one. Jack Eichel and Mark Stone each led the team in assists with 1 while Pavel Dorofeyev led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Adin Hill was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 17 shots with 15 saves and a .882 save percentage. Their offense has scored 161 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 147 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.

The Maple Leafs are entering this game with 57 points, a 24-17-9 record overall, and they are 16-6-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Detroit Red Wings in their last game, losing that one at home 2-1 in overtime. Scott Laughton scored 1 goal for them in that one. Calle Järnkrok and Steven Lorentz each led the team in assists with 1 while Auston Matthews led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Joseph Woll was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 41 shots with 39 saves and a .951 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 166 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 166 goals against them allowing 3.3 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Maple Leafs listed as a pick 'em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Maple Leafs haven't looked great in their games this season with their 24-17-9 record overall which has them in the bottom half of their division in the East. They have looked a lot better on home ice though with their 16-6-6 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Golden Knights have looked really good in their games this season with their 24-12-12 record overall which has them right at the top of their division in the West. They have been a good road team too with their 12-5-6 road record this year. The Golden Knights have been rolling lately as they are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games, but they aren't in a great situation here. They are off a loss to the Flyers in their last one and now they are on the road on a back-to-back with a tough game against the Bruins on Thursday. It is going to be tough for them to have their best effort for this game, and as bad as the Maple Leafs have looked this season, they still find themselves right in the thick of the Wild Card race in the East. The Maple Leafs are 5-3-2 in their last 10 games and they are starting to cool off after going on a bit of a hot streak, but they have the rest on their side along with the home advantage where they have looked like a different team this year. They are also off a really tight loss in OT to the Red Wings in their last one, so they will be looking to bounce back at home and take advantage of the Golden Knights in a bad situation here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Maple Leafs to win this game. 

Golden Knights Maple Leafs Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Friday, January 23, 2026 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Leafs 3 Knights 2.

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Vegas Golden Knights: 127-103 (-18 units) on the moneyline in all games. 35-43 (-18.9 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 62-43 (-8.8 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a losing record. 10-4 OVER against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 51-31 (+6 units) on the moneyline in non-conference games. 21-11 (+11.2 units) on the moneyline after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game. 27-18 (+7.1 units) on the moneyline after 2 or more consecutive losses. 13-6 OVER when the money line is -100 to -150.

Vegas Golden Knights:  R. Andersson (D) Day To Day - Personal. B. Howden (C) Out - Lower Body. C. Sissons (C) Out - Upper Body. B. Saad (LW) Out - Undisclosed. C. Hart (G) Out - Leg. B. McNabb (D) Out - Upper Body. W. Karlsson (C) Out - Lower Body.

Toronto Maple Leafs:  O. Ekman-Larsson (D) Day To Day - Lower-body. A. Stolarz (G) Out - Upper Body. W. Nylander (RW) Out - Groin. D. Mermis (D) Out - Lower Body. C. Tanev (D) Out - Groin. D. Joshua (C) Out - Upper-Body.

“We could have done ourselves some favors. Both goals, right? They were basically gifts when you look at them. We had plenty of opportunities to make up for those. We did on the power play. Those are our top guys. They just had an off night, and that’s when you hope maybe someone gets one along the way to help you out.” - Bruce Cassidy after his team’s loss against the Flyers in their game on Monday.

“It was a good match. Both teams played really well. It was a tight game. Almost playoff-type feel, I thought. It comes down to a goal in OT. I thought we played a real good game, really strong defensively. Just got back to my process, got back in and did my best to stay in the moment and take it a save at a time. I thought our guys especially did a really good job to make things predictable.” - Joseph Woll after their loss against the Red Wings in their game on Wednesday.

LW Ivan Barbashev

C Jack Eichel

RW Mark Stone

LD Jeremy Lauzon

RD Shea Theodore

G Akira Schmid

LW Bobby McMann

C Auston Matthews

RW Max Domi

LD Morgan Rielly

RD Brandon Carlo

G Joseph Woll

Points: Jack Eichel (57)

Goals: Tomas Hertl (20)

Assists: Jack Eichel (40)

GAA: Akira Schmid (2.45)

Points: William Nylander (48)

Goals: Auston Matthews (25)

Assists: William Nylander (31)

GAA: Joseph Woll (2.85)

Coaches:

Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (4th season)

Toronto Maple Leafs: Craig Berube (2nd season)