Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/19/2023

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Nov 18, 2023
Game Time: 6:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 19, 2023
Venue:  PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, PA
Where to Watch:  NHL Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  VGK -120, Penguins +100; Over/Under:  6 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  VGK -120, Penguins +100; Over/Under:  6 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  VGK -120, Penguins +100; Over/Under:  6 goals

Season Record

Vegas Golden Knights:  13-3-2 (1st place, Pacific Division)
Pittsburgh Penguins:  8-7-0 (6th place, Metropolitan Division)

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Recent Form
Vegas Golden Knights:  6-3-1 last 10
Pittsburgh Penguins:  6-4-0 last 10



Vegas Golden Knights vs Pittsburgh Penguins Preview and Analysis


The Golden Knights are entering this game with 28 points, a 13-3-2 record overall, and they are 5-2-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Philadelphia Flyers in their last game, losing that one on the road 4-3 in OT. Jonathan Marchessault led the team in goals with 2 while William Karlsson scored 1 goal in that game. Shea Theodore led the team in assists with 2 while Jonathan Marchessault, Shea Theodore, and William Karlsson each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Logan Thompson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 38 shots with 34 saves and a .895 save percentage. Their offense has scored 67 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 44 goals against them allowing 2.4 goals per game.


The Penguins are entering this game with 16 points, a 8-7-0 record overall, and they are 3-5-0 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the New Jersey Devils in their last game, losing that one at home 5-2, but this will also be the 2nd leg of a back-to-back with their game against the Carolina Hurricanes still to be played on Saturday night. In their game against the Devils, Bryan Rust scored the only 2 goals for them in that game. Sidney Crosby, Jake Guentzel, and Erik Karlsson each led the team in assists with 1 while Sidney Crosby, Kris Letang, and Reilly Smith each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Tristan Jarry was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 5 goals on 31 shots with 26 saves and a .839 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 53 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 42 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.


Golden Knights vs Penguins Prediction

The current betting odds have the Golden Knights listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Golden Knights have looked really good in their games to start this season as the defending Stanley Cup champions are 13-3-2 overall. They have also been good in their road games with their 5-2-1 road record and they will be looking to bounce back. The Penguins have been good this season with their 8-7-0 record overall but they have been struggling in the Eastern Conference standings and haven't been too good at home either, going 3-5-0 in their home games so far. The Golden Knights are on a back-to-back here, but the Penguins are also on a back-to-back and even though they are at home in this game, they still have to travel back from their Saturday night game while the Knights played an afternoon game in Philadelphia and will be looking to bounce back after a close OT loss. The best way to place a bet here is on the Golden Knights to win this game. 

Golden Knights Penguins Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Sunday, November 19, 2023 (6:00 pm ET start time) is Golden Knights 5 Penguins 2.
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NHL Betting Trends


Vegas Golden Knights: 123-80 (+16.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 44-32 (+7.9 units) on the moneyline in a road game where the total is 6 or more. 45-28 (+10.4 units) on the moneyline in non-conference games. 13-5 OVER after 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal. 

Pittsburgh Penguins: 97-89 (-29.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 43-34 (-15.6 units) on the moneyline in a home game where the total is 6 or more. 43-30 (-4 units) on the moneyline in non-conference games. 42-31 OVER in a home game where the total is 6 or more.

Key Injuries


Vegas Golden Knights:  N. Hague (D) Late Nov - Lower Body. R. Lehner (G) Out indefinitely - Hip.

Pittsburgh Penguins:  P. Joseph (D) Out Sat - Lower Body. J. Carter (RW) Ques Sat - Lower Body. A. Nedeljkovic (G) Late Nov - Lower Body. J. Ludvig (D) Out indefinitely - Concussion.


Notable Quotes


“They have a say in that too, right? Their goaltender was excellent, then eventually you keep putting pucks at him and you’re going to get something to go usually — and that’s how it played out.” - Bruce Cassidy after his team’s win against the Canadiens in their game on Thursday.


“I think he’s a driven guy. He’s taken it personally when we didn’t make the playoffs last year. These guys have high expectations of themselves. That one stung.” - Mike Sullivan on Evgeni Malkin this season.


Starting Lineups


Vegas Golden Knights
LW Barbashev, Ivan
C Eichel, Jack
RW Marchessault, Jonathan
LD McNabb, Brayden
RD Theodore, Shea
G Thompson, Logan

Pittsburgh Penguins
LW Guentzel, Jake
C Crosby, Sidney
RW Rust, Bryan
LD Graves, Ryan
RD Letang, Kris
G Jarry, Tristan

Statistical Leaders


Vegas Golden Knights
Points: W. Karlsson (20)
Goals: W. Karlsson (9)
Assists: S. Theodore (14)
GAA: A. Hill (2.07)

Pittsburgh Penguins
Points: S. Crosby (20)
Goals: S. Crosby (10)
Assists: J. Guentzel (13)
GAA: M. Hellberg (2.50)

Coaches:
Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (2nd season)
Pittsburgh Penguins: Mike Sullivan (9th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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