Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/01/2025

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Apr 30, 2025
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Thursday, May 1, 2025
Venue:  Xcel Energy Center, St Paul, MN 
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Knights -166, Wild +140; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Knights -165, Wild +140; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Knights -165, Wild +140; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Season Record

Vegas Golden Knights:  50-22-10 (1st place, Pacific Division)
Minnesota Wild:  45-30-7 (4th place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Vegas Golden Knights:  6-2-2 last 10
Minnesota Wild:  6-2-2 last 10



Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild Preview and Analysis


The Golden Knights are entering the playoffs with 110 points, a 50-22-10 record overall, and they were 21-13-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Minnesota Wild in their last game, winning that one at home 3-2 in overtime. Brett Howden, William Karlsson, and Mark Stone each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Jack Eichel led the team in assists with 2 while Jack Eichel and Pavel Dorofeyev each led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Adin Hill was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 22 shots with 20 saves and a .909 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 275 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 219 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.


The Wild are entering the playoffs with 97 points, a 45-30-7 record overall, and they were 22-17-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Vegas Golden Knights in their last game, losing that one on the road 3-2 in OT. Matt Boldy and Kirill Kaprizov each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Joel Eriksson Ek led the team in assists with 2 while Kirill Kaprizov led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Filip Gustavsson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 25 shots with 23 saves and a .920 save percentage before getting replaced by Marc-André Fleury who allowed 1 goal on the 7 shots he faced. Their offense has scored 228 goals this season averaging 2.8 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 239 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.


Golden Knights vs Wild Prediction

The current betting odds have the Wild listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 6 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Golden Knights from the Pacific Division and the 1st Wild Card seeded Wild from the Central Division for the 1st round of the NHL playoffs. The Golden Knights are leading this series 3-2 after winning game 5 at home. The Golden Knights took a 3-2 series lead with a 3-2 win over the Wild in the 5th game of this series, but they won in another really tight game against the Wild. The Wild were starting to take control of the series when they took a 2-1 series lead with back-to-back 5-2 wins, but now the Golden Knights have picked up some momentum with 2 wins in a row. Both of these wins have been in games that have gone to overtime though and the Golden Knights have been anything but dominant in this series. They had a chance to really take control of this series with a big win at home as they are the much better team, but another tight OT win has to leave them feeling some pressure to close out this series on the road. Considering the way the games have gone, the Wild have actually looked like the better team in this series, and they are going to have an answer at home after losing 2 games in a row in overtime. Look for the Wild to bring their best effort here at home while facing elimination, and they have already shown that they can go toe-to-toe with the Golden Knights in this series. The best way to place a bet here is on the Wild to win this game or on the puckline. 

Golden Knights Wild Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, May 1, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Wild 4 Knights 3.
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NHL Betting Trends


Vegas Golden Knights: 168-112 (+18.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 99-67 (+8.3 units) on the moneyline off a win in their previous game. 83-60 (+19.6 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 6-3 UNDER on the road when leading in a playoff series. 

Minnesota Wild: 12-22 (-7.5 units) on the moneyline as a home underdog of +100 to +200. 49-66 (-16.1 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite. 54-72 (-10.9 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 32-20 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive losses.

Key Injuries


Vegas Golden Knights:  P. Dorofeyev (LW) Day To Day - Undisclosed.

Minnesota Wild:  F. Gustavsson (G) Day To Day - Illness. T. Grosenick (G) Out For Season - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“It was a great pickup by [video coach Dave Rogowski]. It saved our [butt]. Good on him. We took a deep breath, came in between periods and acknowledged that we got a break, so let's go to work back to our game.” - Bruce Cassidy after his team’s win against the Wild in game 5 of this series on Tuesday.


“It's a race to four, it's not a race to three. Like I've said all along in this series, it's right there. The series is competitive.” - John Hynes after his team’s loss against the Golden Knights in game 5 of this series on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Vegas Golden Knights
LW William Karlsson
C Jack Eichel
RW Pavel Dorofeyev
LD Noah Hanifin
RD Alex Pietrangelo
G Adin Hill

Minnesota Wild
LW Kirill Kaprizov
C Joel Eriksson Ek
RW Matt Boldy
LD Jonas Brodin
RD Brock Faber
G Filip Gustavsson

Statistical Leaders


Vegas Golden Knights
Points: J. Eichel (94)
Goals: P. Dorofeyev (35)
Assists: J. Eichel (66)
GAA: A. Schmid (1.26)

Minnesota Wild
Points: M. Boldy (73)
Goals: M. Boldy (27)
Assists: M. Boldy (46)
GAA: F. Gustavsson (2.56)

Coaches:
Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (3rd season)
Minnesota Wild: John Hynes (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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