Vegas Golden Knights vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/04/2026

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 4, 2026

Venue:  Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI 

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Golden Knights +114, Red Wings -135; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Golden Knights +115, Red Wings -135; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Golden Knights +115, Red Wings -135; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Vegas Golden Knights:  28-18-14 (1st place, Pacific Division)

Detroit Red Wings:  35-20-6 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

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Vegas Golden Knights:  3-5-2 last 10

Detroit Red Wings:  4-4-2 last 10

The Golden Knights are entering this game with 70 points, a 28-18-14 record overall, and they are 14-10-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Pittsburgh Penguins in their last game, losing that one on the road 5-0, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Buffalo Sabres still to be played on Tuesday night. In their game against the Penguins, no one on the team scored a goal or recorded an assist for them. Reilly Smith led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Adin Hill was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 5 goals on 22 shots with 17 saves and a .773 save percentage. Their offense has scored 199 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 191 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.

The Red Wings are entering this game with 76 points, a 35-20-6 record overall, and they are 18-10-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Nashville Predators in their last game, winning that one on the road 4-2. Alex DeBrincat, Lucas Raymond, Albert Johansson, and Emmitt Finnie each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Marco Kasper and Mason Appleton each led the team in assists with 2 while Dylan Larkin led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. John Gibson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 11 shots with 10 saves and a .909 sv percentage before leaving injured and getting replaced by Cam Talbot who allowed 1 goal on 19 shots. Their offense has scored 182 goals this season averaging 3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 183 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Red Wings listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Red Wings have looked really good in their games this season with their 35-20-6 record overall which has them right near the top of their division in the East. They have looked great on home ice too with their 18-10-2 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Golden Knights have looked great in their games this season with their 28-18-14 record overall which has them right at the top of their division in the West. They have been a good road team too with their 14-10-7 road record this year. They haven't been a great road team though and lately the Golden Knights haven't looked good at all. They are off a 5-0 loss to the Penguins in their last one and they are 3-5-2 in their last 10 games too. They aren't in a great situation here either, playing this game on the road on a back-to-back, and they don't have an easy game against the Sabres the night before. The Red Wings haven't looked that great themselves lately as they are 4-4-2 in their last 10 games, but they are off a 4-2 win over the Predators in their last one and have looked better since coming back from the Olympic Break. The Red Wings are also going to be rested for this game and even though they aren't leading their division at the moment, they do have more points than the Golden Knights as they play in a tougher division. The Red Wings have steadily been one of the best teams in the East all season and they have the talent to take advantage of the Golden Knights in this bad situation as they haven't been playing all that well either. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Wings to win this game. 

Golden Knights Red Wings Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, March 4, 2026 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Red Wings 5 Golden Knights 2.

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Vegas Golden Knights: 131-111 (-24.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 25-36 (-21.2 units) on the moneyline when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 73-62 (-23.7 units) on the moneyline against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game. 27-20 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150.

Detroit Red Wings: 115-110 (+11.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 63-48 (+9.3 units) on the moneyline in home games. 62-53 (+16.9 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite. 28-19 UNDER against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp.

Vegas Golden Knights:  S. Theodore (D) Day To Day - Illness. M. Marner (RW) Day To Day - Illness. M. Stone (RW) Day To Day - Undisclosed. J. Rondbjerg (RW) Day To Day - Undisclosed. B. Howden (C) Out - Lower Body. C. Hart (G) Out - Leg. W. Karlsson (C) Out - Lower Body.

Detroit Red Wings:  J. Gibson (G) Day To Day - Upper Body.

“Five goals against. We didn’t score. That is a concern to me. It’s too many against. (We) have to score too many goals to win.” - Bruce Cassidy after his team’s loss against the Penguins in their game on Sunday.

“Well, obviously he didn’t return after the first. Right at the end of the period he took a shot up high into the shoulder area, and it was kind of like a stinger, if you will. When you get those, you don’t get the feeling back right away. I think he’s OK now. He’s walking around, but we’ll have him looked at when we get home.” - Todd McLellan after his team’s win against the Predators in their game on Monday.

LW Ivan Barbashev

C Jack Eichel

RW Alexander Holtz

LD Jeremy Lauzon

RD Shea Theodore

G Akira Schmid

LW Michael Rasmussen

C Dylan Larkin

RW Patrick Kane

LD Simon Edvinsson

RD Moritz Seider

G John Gibson

Points: Jack Eichel (68)

Goals: Pavel Dorofeyev (28)

Assists: Jack Eichel (47)

GAA: Akira Schmid (2.55)

Points: Lucas Raymond (64)

Goals: Alex DeBrincat (31)

Assists: Lucas Raymond (44)

GAA: John Gibson (2.58)

Coaches:

Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (4th season)

Detroit Red Wings: Todd McLellan (2nd season)