Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/25/2023

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Thursday, May 25, 2023

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Golden Knights +105, Stars -125; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Golden Knights +105, Stars -125; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Golden Knights +105, Stars -125; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Vegas Golden Knights:  51-22-9 (1st place, Pacific Division)

Dallas Stars:  47-21-14 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Vegas Golden Knights:  8-2-0 last 10

Dallas Stars:  4-3-3 last 10

The Golden Knights are entering this game finishing the regular season with 111 points, a 51-22-9 record overall, and they were 26-7-8 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 5 game winning streak with wins coming against the Edmonton Oilers twice in a row and the Dallas Stars in their last 3 games, winning that last one on the road 4-0. Ivan Barbashev, William Carrier, Jonathan Marchessault, and Alex Pietrangelo each scored 1 goal in that game. Ivan Barbashev and Nicolas Roy each led the team in assists with 2 while Jonathan Marchessault and Shea Theodore each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Adin Hill was the starting goalie in that game and he recorded the shutout, allowing 0 goals on 34 shots with 34 saves and a 1.000 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 272 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 229 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.

The Stars are entering this game finishing the regular season with 108 points, a 47-21-14 record overall, and they were 22-10-9 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with all 3 losses coming against the Vegas Golden Knights in their last 3 games, losing that last one at home 4-0. No one scored any goals for the Stars in that game or had any assists. Esa Lindell led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 5 shots with 2 saves and a .400 sv percentage before getting replaced by Scott Wedgewood who allowed 1 goal on 11 shots with 10 saves and a .909 save percentage. Their offense has scored 285 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 218 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Golden Knights listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 4 of a 7-game series between the Stars and the Golden Knights for the Western Conference finals of the NHL playoffs. The Golden Knights are entering this game with a 3-0 series lead after taking game 3 of this series in Dallas on Tuesday night. The Golden Knights are the number 1 seed in the West and they are starting to play like it now as they have been really hot in these playoffs and have been rolling in their games lately. Their defensive play has been great in their games and their offense has also been scoring goals while the Stars have been up and down with their offense all playoffs and it is finally coming back to bite them as they were not able to score a goal on their home ice in game 3 and are dealing with goalie issues now too. Their starting goalie hasn't been playing well in these games while Hill has really been stepping up for the Golden Knights and now the Stars could be without their captain in this game due to a possible suspension from a bad hit the last game. The Stars look pretty much done in this series and the Golden Knights were a better road team during the regular season that they were at home. The best way to place a bet here is on the Golden Knights to win this game and sweep the series 4-0. 

Golden Knights Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Thursday, May 25, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Golden Knights 5 Stars 1.

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Vegas Golden Knights: 62-34 (+20.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 32-16 (+13.6 units) on the moneyline after 1 or more consecutive unders. 12-2 UNDER in the conference finals. 20-10 UNDER when leading in a playoff series.

Dallas Stars: 23-26 (-16.4 units) on the moneyline after 1 or more consecutive unders. 24-23 (-8.2 units) on the moneyline after playing a home game. 28-18 UNDER after playing a home game. 9-2 UNDER revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more.

Vegas Golden Knights:  B. Howden (C) Ques Thurs - Undisclosed. L. Brossoit (G) Out Indefinitely - Lower Body. L. Thompson (G) Early June - Lower Body. N. Patrick (C) out for season - Upper Body. R. Lehner (G) out for season - Hip.

Dallas Stars:  J. Benn (LW) Ques Thurs - Poss. Suspension. E. Dadonov (RW) Ques Thurs - Lower Body.

“We’re upset when we see that, he’s our captain. But at the end of the day, they make a call that gives us a chance to make them pay for the penalty. And we did with one goal anyway, so we’ve doubled our lead. ... Do it the right way. That’s been our mindset all along.” - Bruce Cassidy after his team’s win against the Stars in their game on Tuesday, game 3 of this series.

“Let’s put it this way, he made a mistake. He feels really badly about it. I don’t think anyone in the building feels worse than he does about it. I’m not going to pile on, he’s been a leader here for his entire career, and leads every day on and off the ice. ... Fortunately Mark Stone’s OK, and we’ve got to live with the consequences.” - Peter DeBoer on Jamie Benn after his team’s loss against the Golden Knights in their game on Tuesday, game 3 of this series.

LW Barbashev, Ivan

C Eichel, Jack

RW Marchessault, Jonathan

LD Martinez, Alec

RD Pietrangelo, Alex

G Hill, Adin

LW Robertson, Jason

C Hintz, Roope

RW Pavelski, Joe

LD Suter, Ryan

RD Heiskanen, Miro

G Oettinger, Jake

Points: J. Eichel (66)

Goals: J. Marchessault (28)

Assists: C. Stephenson (49)

GAA: L. Brossoit (2.17)

Points: J. Robertson (109)

Goals: J. Robertson (46)

Assists: J. Robertson (63)

GAA: J. Oettinger (2.37)

Coaches:

Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (1st season)

Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (1st season)