Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/23/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, May 22, 2023
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, May 23, 2023
Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Golden Knights +115, Stars -135; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Golden Knights +120, Stars -140; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Golden Knights +120, Stars -145; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Season Record

Vegas Golden Knights:  51-22-9 (1st place, Pacific Division)
Dallas Stars:  47-21-14 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Vegas Golden Knights:  8-2-0 last 10
Dallas Stars:  5-2-3 last 10



Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars Preview and Analysis


The Stars are entering this game finishing the regular season with 108 points, a 47-21-14 record overall, and they were 25-11-5 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Vegas Golden Knights in their last game, losing that one on the road 4-3 in overtime. Roope Hintz, Jason Robertson, and Jamie Benn each scored 1 goal in that game. Roope Hintz and Joe Pavelski each led the team in assists with 2 while Wyatt Johnston and Tyler Seguin each led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 37 shots with 33 saves and a .892 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 285 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 218 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.


The Golden Knights are entering this game finishing the regular season with 111 points, a 51-22-9 record overall, and they were 25-15-1 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Edmonton Oilers twice in a row and the Dallas Stars in their last game, winning that one at home 4-3 in OT. William Karlsson scored 2 goals while Theodor Blueger and Brett Howden each scored 1 goal in that game. Zach Whitecloud led the team in assists with 2 while Reilly Smith led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Adin Hill was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 36 shots with 33 saves and a .917 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 272 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 229 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.


Golden Knights vs Stars Prediction

The current betting odds have the Stars listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 3 of a 7-game series between the Stars and the Golden Knights for the Western Conference finals of the NHL playoffs. The Golden Knights are entering this game with a 2-0 series lead after winning both home games to start the series off. The Stars are now going back to their home ice for the next 2 games but they have been a really slow starting team in the playoffs this season. They did not come out strong in either of their series before this one and they have done the same thing here as they now find themselves down 2-0 against the number 1 seed in the West. The Stars have played better on home ice though as their offense has been stronger there and they will step up in this game as they know they can't afford to go down 3-0 here. Expect a big push back from the Stars here on their home ice as they will throw everything they have at the Golden Knights in this game and should have a much better night with their offense now that they are back at home too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Stars to win this game and make it a 2-1 series lead for the Golden Knights. 

Golden Knights Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, May 23, 2023 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Stars 4 Golden Knights 1.
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NHL Betting Trends


Vegas Golden Knights: 61-34 (+19.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 19-9 (+10.2 units) on the moneyline after a close win by 1 goal in their previous game. 11-2 UNDER in the conference finals. 19-10 UNDER when leading in a playoff series.

Dallas Stars: 23-25 (-14.8 units) on the moneyline after 1 or more consecutive unders. 34-36 (-12.6 units) on the moneyline after playing 2 consecutive road games. 10-3 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive losses. 13-7 UNDER off a road loss. 

Key Injuries


Vegas Golden Knights:  L. Brossoit (G) Out Indefinitely - Lower Body. L. Thompson (G) Late May - Lower Body. N. Patrick (C) out for season - Upper Body. R. Lehner (G) out for season - Hip.

Dallas Stars:  J. Hakanpaa (D) Ques Tues - Lower Body.


Notable Quotes


“Let's not let our egos get in the way of having success. It's playoffs. You deal with it.” - Bruce Cassidy after his team’s win against the Stars in their game on Sunday, game 2 of this series.


“I thought we did a bunch of really good things, fixed a lot of things from Game 1. I thought Jack Eichel and Marchessault make a big-time play there to tie it, and we respond. Our chance in overtime was as good or better than theirs. We’ve just got to stick it in the net.” - Peter DeBoer after his team’s loss against the Golden Knights in their game on Sunday, game 2 of this series.


Starting Lineups


Vegas Golden Knights
LW Barbashev, Ivan
C Eichel, Jack
RW Marchessault, Jonathan
LD Martinez, Alec
RD Pietrangelo, Alex
G Hill, Adin

Dallas Stars
LW Robertson, Jason
C Hintz, Roope
RW Pavelski, Joe
LD Suter, Ryan
RD Heiskanen, Miro
G Oettinger, Jake

Statistical Leaders


Vegas Golden Knights
Points: J. Eichel (66)
Goals: J. Marchessault (28)
Assists: C. Stephenson (49)
GAA: L. Brossoit (2.17)

Dallas Stars
Points: J. Robertson (109)
Goals: J. Robertson (46)
Assists: J. Robertson (63)
GAA: J. Oettinger (2.37)

Coaches:
Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (1st season)
Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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