Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/22/2024

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Apr 20, 2024
Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Monday, April 22, 2024
Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Knights +110, Stars -130; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Knights +110, Stars -130; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Knights +115, Stars -135; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Season Record

Vegas Golden Knights:  45-29-8 (4th place, Pacific Division)
Dallas Stars:  52-21-9 (1st place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Vegas Golden Knights:  6-4-0 last 10
Dallas Stars:  8-2-0 last 10



Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars Preview and Analysis


The Golden Knights are entering this game with 98 points, a 45-29-8 record overall, and they were 18-17-6 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Anaheim Ducks in their last game, losing that one at home 4-1. Jack Eichel scored 1 goal for them in that game. William Karlsson and Shea Theodore each led the team in assists with 1 while Jonathan Marchessault led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Adin Hill was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 22 shots with 19 saves and a .864 save percentage. Their offense has scored 267 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 245 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.


The Stars are entering this game with 113 points, a 52-21-9 record overall, and they were 26-11-4 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the St Louis Blues in their last game, winning that one at home 2-1 in a shootout. Mason Marchment scored 1 goal for them in that game. Matt Duchene and Esa Lindell each led the team in assists with 1 while Mason Marchment, Jamie Benn, Radek Faksa, and Jason Robertson led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Jake Oettinger was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 26 shots with 25 saves and a .962 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 298 goals this season averaging 3.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 234 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.


Golden Knights vs Stars Prediction

The current betting odds have the Stars listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 1 of a 7 game series between the 1st seeded Stars from the Central Division and the 2nd seeded Wild Card, the Golden Knights, for Round 1 of the NHL Western Conference playoffs. The Stars have looked great in their games this season with their 52-21-9 record overall which landed them the number 1 seed overall in the West with one of the best records in the entire NHL, finishing just 1 point behind the Rangers in the race for the Presidents' Trophy. They have looked great on home ice all year with their 26-11-4 home record too. Meanwhile, the Golden Knights have looked good in their games this season with their 45-29-8 record overall, but that record just got them into the playoffs with the lowest seed in the West. They did clinch their spot in the playoffs with about a week left in the season, but they were still fighting to finish 3rd in their division right up until their last game of the season which they lost, giving up the 3rd place spot to the Kings. The Knights have looked decent over the last week with their 6-4-0 record in their last 10 games, but they haven't looked good in their road games this year with their 18-17-6 road record. They have been a different team in their road games and the Stars have been really hot coming into this series with their 8-2-0 record in their last 10 games. The Stars have more momentum coming into this series and they are also the healthier team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Stars to win this game. 

Golden Knights Stars Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Monday, April 22, 2024 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Stars 4 Knights 1.
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NHL Betting Trends


Vegas Golden Knights: 28-16 (+9.4 units) on the moneyline after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game. 12-4 (+6.4 units) on the moneyline off a home blowout loss by 3 goals or more. 32-19 (+7.5 units) on the moneyline off a home loss. 51-27 UNDER after a division game. 23-16 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive unders. 16-6 UNDER off a loss by 2 goals or more to a division rival.

Dallas Stars: 38-38 (-9.1 units) on the moneyline revenging a same season loss vs opponent. 40-41 (-16.7 units) on the moneyline off a home win. 41-42 (-19.2 units) on the moneyline after a 2 game unbeaten streak. 9-4 UNDER in the first round of the playoffs. 6-0 UNDER revenging a home blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more. 16-3 UNDER after playing 4 consecutive home games.

Key Injuries


Vegas Golden Knights:  C. Stephenson (C) Ques Mon - Undisclosed. A. Mantha (RW) Ques Mon - Undisclosed. A. Pietrangelo (D) Out indefinitely - Illness. W. Carrier (LW) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. M. Stone (RW) Late April - Upper Body. R. Lehner (G) Out indefinitely - Hip.

Dallas Stars:  J. Hakanpaa (D) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. J. Rosburg (D) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.


Notable Quotes


“Every team that's left standing is a good hockey team. There's no easy path to winning. We understand every game's going to be a battle. I think we should be pretty excited. It's a great opportunity for our team.” - Jack Eichel after their loss against the Ducks in their last game of the regular season on Thursday.


“It was a good test for us, kind of getting us ready for the playoffs.” - Jason Robertson after their win against the Blues in their last game of the regular season on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Vegas Golden Knights
LW Howden, Brett
C Eichel, Jack
RW Marchessault, Jonathan
LD Hanifin, Noah
RD Hague, Nicolas
G Hill, Adin

Dallas Stars
LW Robertson, Jason
C Hintz, Roope
RW Pavelski, Joe
LD Harley, Thomas
RD Heiskanen, Miro
G Oettinger, Jake

Statistical Leaders


Vegas Golden Knights
Points: J. Marchessault (69)
Goals: J. Marchessault (42)
Assists: M. Stone (37)
GAA: L. Thompson (2.70)

Dallas Stars
Points: J. Robertson (80)
Goals: W. Johnston (32)
Assists: J. Robertson (51)
GAA: J. Oettinger (2.72)

Coaches:
Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (2nd season)
Dallas Stars: Peter DeBoer (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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