by Rod Pearson
Monday, Oct 27, 2025
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 1, 2025
Venue: Darrell K Royal Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Vandy +2.5, Texas -2.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Vandy +2.5, Texas -2.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Vandy +2.5, Texas -2.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
Season Record
Vanderbilt Commodores: 7-1 (3-1) (5th place, SEC)
Texas Longhorns: 6-2 (3-1) (6th place, SEC)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Sean Murphy is on a HOT STREAK in college football on a 6-0 CFB RUN for +$6,000 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
Vanderbilt Commodores: won their last game at home against the Missouri Tigers 17-10.
Texas Longhorns: won their last game on the road against the Mississippi State Bulldogs 45-38 in overtime.
Vanderbilt Commodores vs Texas Longhorns Preview and Analysis
Vanderbilt is entering this game with a 7-1 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Missouri 17-10. Diego Pavia was the starting QB and he completed 10/19 passes for 129 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Makhilyn Young led the team in rushing yards with 86 and 1 TD. Tre Richardson led the receivers with 62 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Marlen Sewell led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Keanu Koht led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Texas is entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Mississippi State 45-38 in OT. Arch Manning was the starting QB and he completed 29/46 passes for 346 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Quintrevion Wisner led the team in rushing yards with 41. Ryan Wingo led the receivers with 184 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Jelani McDonald led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Anthony Hill Jr. led the defense in sacks with 2.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Vanderbilt vs Texas Prediction
The current betting odds have Texas listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas has looked good in their games this season with their 6-2 record overall and their 3-1 conference record which has them higher in the SEC. They haven't been the team that they were supposed to be coming into the season, ranked inside the top 5 with a potential Heisman caliber QB, but they have looked better as the season has gone on. They are off a 45-38 win over Mississippi State in their last one and needed a big comeback win late, but Arch Manning looked a lot better at the end of that one and they can build on that momentum going forward. They also have a great defense that is still one of the best in the SEC with the talent that they have. Meanwhile, Vanderbilt has looked great in their games this season with their 7-1 record overall and their 3-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They are off a 17-10 win over Mizzou and beat LSU the week before, but they have also been playing a lot of games at home. Their 1 loss was on the road against Alabama and that wasn't a good game for them offensively. This is a very tough environment that Vandy is going into against a really good defense and as good as Vandy has been this season, this will be the game where they come back down to Earth while Texas looks to pick up a statement win that keep them in the playoff hunt. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas to cover the spread in this game.
Vanderbilt Texas Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 1, 2025 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Texas 28 Vanderbilt 17.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Vanderbilt Commodores Texas Longhorns prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
NCAAF Betting Trends
Vanderbilt Commodores: 5-0 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 8-4 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 7-3 ATS vs. good defensive teams who give up 17 or less points/game. 4-1 UNDER off a win against a conference rival.
Texas Longhorns: 3-9 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging 8 or more passing yards/att. 4-10 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 5-9 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more. 22-13 UNDER in all lined games. 20-12 UNDER as a favorite.
Key Injuries
Vanderbilt Commodores: V. Hinton (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Dickey (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. N. Jefferson (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. Y. Ouattara (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Curtis (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Gillespie (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed.
Texas Longhorns: D. Campbell (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Butler (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Hutson (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Manning (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Taaffe (CB) Out - Undisclosed. A. Cojoe (OG) Out - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We’re not getting where we want to go if we don’t find ways to win games like this tonight. I thought a great moment for us to step up. And we did.” - Clark Lea after his team’s win against Mizzou in their last game.
“Once a year you have culture wins and that was our culture win (vs. Kentucky). I think we got a mulligan because this was our culture win. I don’t know if I’ve ever been more proud of a group of guys. Our toughness was going to have to be the best it’s ever been for our program.” - Steve Sarkisian after his team’s win against MS State in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Vanderbilt Commodores
WR Sherrill, Junior
WR Richardson, Tre
WR Hoskins, Richie
TE Stowers, Eli
QB Pavia, Diego
RB Alexander, Sedrick
Texas Longhorns
WR Wingo, Ryan
WR Livingstone, Parker
WR Moore Jr., DeAndre
TE Endries, Jack
QB Manning, Arch
RB Wisner, Quintrevion
Statistical Leaders
Vanderbilt Commodores
Passing: Diego Pavia (1,698)
Rushing: Diego Pavia (458)
Receiving: Eli Stowers (397)
Touchdowns: Sedrick Alexander (10)
Texas Longhorns
Passing: Arch Manning (1,795)
Rushing: Quintrevion Wisner (263)
Receiving: Ryan Wingo (504)
Touchdowns: Arch Manning (6)
Coaches:
Vanderbilt Commodores: Clark Lea (5th season)
Texas Longhorns: Steve Sarkisian (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
