by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Thursday, Nov 25, 2021
Game Time: 3:45 pm ET, Saturday, November 27, 2021
Venue: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN
Where to Watch: SEC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Vandy +31, Tennessee -31; Over/Under: 62.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Vandy +32.5, Tennessee -32.5; Over/Under: 62.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Vandy +31.5, Tennessee -31.5; Over/Under: 62.5 points
Season Record
Vanderbilt Commodores: 2-9 (7th place, SEC East)
Tennessee Volunteers: 6-5 (3rd place, SEC East)
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Vanderbilt Commodores vs Tennessee Volunteers Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Vanderbilt Commodores: lost on the road on Nov. 20 against the Ole Miss Rebels 31-17.
Tennessee Volunteers: won at home on Nov. 20 against the South Alabama Jaguars 60-14.
Vanderbilt Commodores Analysis
Vandy is coming into this college football game with a 2-9 record overall and they are 1-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 8th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 0-7 in their conference games this season. They have lost 7 of their last 9 games and are coming into this one on a 6 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Mike Wright played alright but also struggled at times in that game as he completed 22/44 passes for 241 yards and 1 interception. Rocko Griffin had a nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 117 yards and 1 touchdown on 26 carries. Chris Pierce also had a nice day as he led the receivers with 113 yards on 10 receptions while Cam Johnson had 47 yards on 4 receptions. Gabe Jeudy led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Brayden DeVault-Smith recorded the only sack in that game for them while Ethan Barr came up with the only interception in that one. They have scored 168 points in their 11 games this season averaging 15.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 385 points against them allowing 35 PPG. Their offense is averaging 311.9 YPG while their defense is allowing 459.9 YPG.
Tennessee Volunteers Analysis
Tennessee is coming into this game with a 6-5 record overall and they are 4-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 8th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 3-4 in their conference games this season. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Hendon Hooker played well in that game as he completed 17/20 passes for 273 yards and 2 touchdowns. Jaylen Wright led the team in rushing with 83 yards and 1 touchdown on 13 carries while Jabari Small had 73 yards and 2 touchdowns on 11 carries. Len'Neth Whitehead and Hooker also ran in 1 TD each on the ground in that one. Velus Jones Jr. had a nice day as he led the receivers with 103 yards on 6 receptions while Cedric Tillman was right behind him with 100 yards and 1 touchdown on 5 receptions. Princeton Fant caught the other touchdown pass in that one. Roman Harrison led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. Trevon Flowers, Matthew Butler, and Kurott Garland all led the defense in sacks in that game with 1 each while no one on the defense came up with any interceptions in that one. They have scored 421 points in their 11 games this season averaging 38.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 309 points against them allowing 28.1 PPG. Their offense is averaging 460.2 YPG while their defense is allowing 412.2 YPG.
Vanderbilt vs Tennessee Prediction
Tennessee is coming into this game as a 31 point favorite and the point total set at 62.5 points with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. UT has 6 wins this season and is a bowl eligible team but that is still not guaranteed with 6 wins so they will be looking to secure that with their 7th win in this final game of the season against an easy opponent. Vanderbilt has not played well all season long while The Vols have shown some brilliant flashes in a few of their games that shows the wheels are turning in that program. They have a lot more talent on their side and should be able to score a lot of points in this game to pull away by a lot and make sure they finish their season strong with a 7-5 record. The best bet to place in this game is on Tennessee to cover the spread here as they will come out and get a blowout win to end their regular season.
Vanderbilt Tennessee Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 27, 2021 (3:45 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 51 Vanderbilt 13.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Vanderbilt Commodores: 25-16 ATS as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points. 122-119 ATS as an underdog. 72-56 ATS as a road underdog. 82-65 ATS in road games. 58-46 ATS in November games.
Tennessee Volunteers: 173-182 ATS in all games. 22-25 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 71-80 ATS as a home favorite. 86-107 ATS in home games. 117-119 ATS against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Vanderbilt Commodores: B. Cox (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. K. Seals (QB) Ques Sat - Leg injury. R. Davis (RB) out for season - Toe injury.
Tennessee Volunteers: C. Charles (DB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. J. Payton (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. T. Evans (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.
Notable Quotes
"We knew that they had a dynamic player at quarterback. I did not feel like we made enough plays on him when we had opportunities particularly in the first half. You have to make the plays and you have to interlock all three phases. We weren't able to do that effectively enough tonight." - Clark Lea on his team’s loss against Ole Miss in their last game.
"They answered my question. Who are we going to be? We were assignment sound. We took care of business." - Head coach Josh Heupel on his team’s win against South Alabama in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Vanderbilt Commodores
WR Sheppard, Will
WR Chris Pierce Jr.
WR Cam Johnson
TE Bresnahan, Ben
QB Wright, Mike
RB Griffin, Rocko
Tennessee Volunteers
WR Payton, JaVonta
WR Tillman, Cedric
WR Jones Jr., Velus
TE Warren, Jacob
QB Hooker, Hendon
RB Tiyon Evans
Statistical Leaders
Vanderbilt Commodores
Passing: Ken Seals (1173)
Rushing: R. Griffin (413)
Receiving: C. Pierce Jr. (609)
Touchdowns: C. Johnson (4)
Tennessee Volunteers
Passing: H. Hooker (2411)
Rushing: T. Evans (521)
Receiving: C. Tillman (825)
Touchdowns: T. Evans (7)
Coaches:
Vanderbilt Commodores: Clark Lea (1st season)
Tennessee Volunteers: Josh Heupel (1st season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
