by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Nov 23, 2023
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 25, 2023
Venue: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN
Where to Watch: SEC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Vanderbilt +27, Tennessee -27; Over/Under: 56.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Vanderbilt +27, Tennessee -27; Over/Under: 56.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Vanderbilt +27, Tennessee -27; Over/Under: 56.5 points
Season Record
Vanderbilt Commodores: 2-9 (0-7) (7th place, SEC East)
Tennessee Volunteers: 7-4 (3-4) (3rd place, SEC East)
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Vanderbilt Commodores: lost their last game on the road against the South Carolina Gamecocks 47-6.
Tennessee Volunteers: lost their last game at home against the Georgia Bulldogs 38-10.
Vanderbilt Commodores vs Tennessee Volunteers Preview and Analysis
Vanderbilt is entering this game with a 2-9 record overall and they have a 0-7 record in their conference games too. They are 2-4 in their home games, 0-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against South Carolina 47-6. Ken Seals was the starting QB and he completed 13/28 passes for 104 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. AJ Newberry led the team in rushing yards with 38. London Humphreys led the receivers with 33 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Jaylen Mahoney led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Tyson Russell came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Tennessee is entering this game with a 7-4 record overall and they have a 3-4 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Georgia 38-10. Joe Milton was the starting QB and he completed 17/30 passes for 147 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jaylen Wright led the team in rushing yards with 90 and 1 TD. Marquarius White led the receivers with 45 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Doneiko Slaughter led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Aaron Beasley led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Vanderbilt vs Tennessee Prediction
The current betting odds have Tennessee listed as a 27 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Tennessee has looked good this season with their 7-4 record overall but all of their losses have come against SEC opponents with their 3-4 conference record this year. They have struggled more in those games but they have also looked a lot better in their home games this season with their 5-1 home record, their only loss coming against Georgia. Meanwhile, Vanderbilt has been terrible this season with their 2-9 record overall and they are the worst team in the SEC this year with their 0-7 conference record. They have not only been losing their conference games but they have also been getting blown out in these games, especially their road games where they are 0-5 this season. They do have some rest since they are coming out of their bye week but neither team has anything to play for in this game and Vandy has already given up on the season too so Tennessee is going to roll them in this home game where they are at their best. The best way to place a bet here is on Tennessee to cover the spread in this game.
Vanderbilt Tennessee Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 25, 2023 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 49 Vanderbilt 13.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Vanderbilt Commodores: 1-10 ATS in all games. 1-7 ATS as an underdog. 7-14 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 15-5 UNDER as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points. 9-5 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders.
Tennessee Volunteers: 18-8 ATS as a favorite. 10-5 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 7-1 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival. 23-15 UNDER off a home loss against a conference rival. 8-3 UNDER off a home blowout loss by 28 points or more. 11-5 UNDER after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games.
Key Injuries
Vanderbilt Commodores: B. Anderson (CB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. C. Taylor (LB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. Y. Outtara (DL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. S. Riley (S) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. G. Carter (WR) Out indefinitely - Lower Body. E. McAllister (WR) out for season - Undisclosed. J. Uzebu (OL) out for season - Lower Body.
Tennessee Volunteers: D. Bishop (RB) Early Dec - Ankle. D. Thornton Jr. (WR) out for season - Lower Body. K. Hadden (DB) out for season - Shoulder. C. Charles (DB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. B. McCoy (WR) out for season - Ankle. K. Garland (LB) out for season - Undisclosed. K. Pili (LB) Out indefinitely - Upper Body.
Notable Quotes
“Just a really disappointing effort with that finish. Yeah, just disgusted with the way this team finished the game. There's ownership all the way around for that.” - Clark Lea after his team’s loss against South Carolina in their last game.
“What (Georgia has) done in the past couple years is special. Today was not our best football.” - Josh Heupel after his team’s loss against UGA in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Vanderbilt Commodores
WR Sheppard, Will
WR Humphreys, London
WR McGowan, Jayden
TE Ball, Justin
TE Kyle, Logan
QB Seals, Ken
RB Alexander, Sedrick
Tennessee Volunteers
WR Nimrod, Chas
WR Keyton, Ramel
WR White, Squirrel
TE Warren, Jacob
QB Milton III, Joe
RB Wright, Jaylen
Statistical Leaders
Vanderbilt Commodores
Passing: A. Swann (1290)
Rushing: S. Alexander (323)
Receiving: W. Sheppard (640)
Touchdowns: W. Sheppard (8)
Tennessee Volunteers
Passing: J. Milton III (2431)
Rushing: J. Wright (938)
Receiving: S. White (655)
Touchdowns: D. Sampson (8)
Coaches:
Vanderbilt Commodores: Clark Lea (3rd season)
Tennessee Volunteers: Josh Heupel (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
