Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/12/2022

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Nov 08, 2022
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 12, 2022
Venue:  Kroger Field, Lexington, KY
Where to Watch:  SEC Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Vandy +17.5, Kentucky -17.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Vandy +17, Kentucky -17; Over/Under:  49.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Vandy +17.5, Kentucky -17.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points
 

Season Record

Vanderbilt Commodores:  3-6 (0-5) (7th place, SEC East)
Kentucky Wildcats:  6-3 (3-3) (4th place, SEC East)
 
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Recent Form
Vanderbilt Commodores:  lost their last game at home against the South Carolina Gamecocks 38-27.
Kentucky Wildcats:  won their last game on the road against the Missouri Tigers 21-17.

 

Vanderbilt Commodores vs Kentucky Wildcats Preview and Analysis

 
Vanderbilt is entering this game with a 3-6 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 6th road game of the season here as they are 2-3 in their road games this year. This will also be their 6th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 0-5. They lost against the South Carolina Gamecocks in their last game at home 38-27. AJ Swann started that game at QB and he completed 10/18 passes for 127 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception while Mike Wright also came in the game and completed 8/15 passes for 101 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Re'Mahn Davis led the team in rushing with 167 yards on 20 rushing attempts. Will Sheppard led the team in receiving with 95 yards on 6 receptions. De'Rickey Wright led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles. Kane Patterson led the defense in sacks with 1 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
Kentucky is entering this game with a 6-3 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 6th home game of the season as they are 4-1 in their home games this year. This will also be the 7th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 3-3. They won against the Missouri Tigers in their last game on the road 21-17. Will Levis started that game at QB and he completed 13/19 passes for 170 yards and 3 touchdowns. Chris Rodriguez led the team in rushing with 112 yards on 29 carries. Barion Brown led the team in receiving with 54 yards on 4 receptions. Trevin Wallace led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle. Trevin Wallace led the defense in sacks with 1 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

Vanderbilt vs Kentucky Prediction

The current betting odds have Vanderbilt listed as a 17.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Vanderbilt has been terrible this season as they do not have a conference win this season yet but they really haven't been that bad in their games lately. Vandy has played in many close games lately despite losing them all and even if they lose this game on the road to Kentucky, they will find a way to keep it close as they have been doing. Kentucky hasn't been that great in their games lately either, they got a much needed win in their last game over Missouri but even when they do win games, it hasn't been by a lot lately. Their offense has been struggling to put up a ton of points in their games all year and their defense has really been their biggest strength this season. The defense is what will give Kentucky their best chance to win here so even if they don't allow any points from Vandy here, it is hard to see the Kentucky offense putting up many points themselves. The best way to place a bet here is on Vanderbilt to cover the spread in this game.
 
Vanderbilt Kentucky Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 12, 2022 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Kentucky 24 Vanderbilt 13.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Vanderbilt Commodores Kentucky Wildcats prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
 

NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Vanderbilt Commodores: 16-4 ATS in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49. 10-4 ATS in road games. 10-3 UNDER as a road underdog. 
Kentucky Wildcats: 9-16 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog. 8-1 UNDER in all games. 6-0 UNDER against conference opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Vanderbilt Commodores:  D. Walker (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. D. Davis (DL) Out indefinitely - Leg. M. Capers (DE) out for season - Knee.
Kentucky Wildcats:  J. McClain (RB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. S. Anaele (DE) Mid Nov - Undisclosed. R. Jefferson (RB) out for season - Knee.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Disappointed in the game, disappointed in the result. We knew that we weren't going to be able to find the success we wanted turning the ball over. Obviously, that became an issue. The game for us comes down to turnovers and tackling." - Clark Lea after his team’s loss against South Carolina in their last game.
 
 
"It was just a remarkable play by him. At first I was like, ‘Well, I wish he would have taken the safety.' But he made a remarkable play." - Mark Stoops after his team’s win against Mizzou in their last game.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Vanderbilt Commodores
WR Sheppard, Will 
WR Boddie Jr., Devin 
WR McGowan, Jayden 
TE Bresnahan, Ben
TE Schoenwald, Gavin 
QB Swann, AJ 
RB Davis, Ray 
 
Kentucky Wildcats
WR Key, Dane 
WR Brown, Barion
WR Robinson, Tayvion 
TE Bates, Brenden
TE/FB Dingle, Jordan
QB Levis, Will
RB Rodriguez Jr., Chris 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Vanderbilt Commodores
Passing: A. Swann (1195)
Rushing: R. Davis (731)
Receiving: W. Sheppard (620)
Touchdowns: W. Sheppard (8) 
 
Kentucky Wildcats
Passing: W. Levis (1903)
Rushing: C. Rodriguez Jr. (570)
Receiving: T. Robinson (421)
Touchdowns: D. Key (5)
 
Coaches:
Vanderbilt Commodores: Clark Lea (2nd season)
Kentucky Wildcats: Mark Stoops (10th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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