UTSA Roadrunners vs Tennessee Volunteers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 09/23/2023

Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, September 23, 2023

Venue:  Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN 

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UTSA +20, Tennessee -20; Over/Under:  56.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  UTSA +20, Tennessee -20; Over/Under:  56.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UTSA +20.5, Tennessee -20.5; Over/Under:  56.5 points

UTSA Roadrunners:  1-2 (0-0) (12th place, AAC)

Tennessee Volunteers:  2-1 (0-1) (5th place, SEC East)

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UTSA Roadrunners:  lost their last game at home against the Army Black Knights 37-29.

Tennessee Volunteers:  lost their last game on the road against the Florida Gators 29-16.

UTSA is entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too.  They are 1-1 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Army 37-29. Eddie Lee Marburger was the starting QB and he completed 17/25 passes for 239 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Rocko Griffin led the team in rushing yards with 53. Joshua Cephus led the receivers with 84 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Rashad Wisdom led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

Tennessee is entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their conference games too.  They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Florida 29-16. Joe Milton was the starting QB and he completed 20/34 passes for 287 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Jaylen Wright led the team in rushing yards with 63. Bru McCoy led the receivers with 94 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Kamal Hadden led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Bryson Eason led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have Tennessee listed as a 20 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Tennessee looked terrible in their last game as they went on the road and were embarrassed by Florida in their 1st conference game of the season. Tennessee is back at home for this game though and they have played a lot better in their home games. Now they have UTSA coming into town with a banged up QB who missed their last game and UTSA wasn't even able to keep up with Army at home last week. UTSA has a much weaker offense without their starting QB and their defense hasn't been that great in their games either. They gave up 17 points on the road in their loss to Houston who has a terrible offense this year and they gave up 37 points at home to a run heavy Army team. They are going to have no answer for this much stronger SEC offense, especially when Tennessee is already upset over their last game and looking to bounce back at home. Tennessee has already had some big blowout wins at home this season too so they will just be adding to the list with this win as they look to bounce back in a big way. The best way to place a bet here is on Tennessee to cover the spread in this game.

UTSA Tennessee Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 23, 2023 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 49 UTSA 20.

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UTSA Roadrunners: 2-10 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 1-6 ATS after a game where they forced no turnovers. 9-4 OVER in road games. 16-7 OVER after playing 2 straight non-conference games. 9-3 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread.

Tennessee Volunteers: 8-1 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 5-0 ATS off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival. 8-4 ATS in non-conference games. 12-4 OVER in home games. 8-3 OVER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread.

UTSA Roadrunners:  D. Dishman (TE) day-to-day - Undisclosed. D. Clark (WR) day-to-day - Leg. A. Ogundipe (OL) day-to-day - Undisclosed. F. Harris (QB) day-to-day - Toe. M. Hart (OL) Late Oct - Undisclosed.

Tennessee Volunteers:  E. Simmons (DL) day-to-day - Knee. C. Mays (OL) day-to-day - Upper Body. K. Garland (LB) out for season - Undisclosed. K. Pili (LB) Out indefinitely - Upper Body. D. Bishop (RB) Mid Oct - Ankle.

"We just couldn't win in the trenches. They physically manhandled us up front. They did a great job with their scheme. They were one play ahead of us on all calls...We got outcoached. We got 'outphysicaled' and they deserved to beat us tonight." - Jeff Traylor after his team’s loss against Army in their last game. 

“The pre-snap penalties killed us.” - Josh Heupel after his team’s loss against Florida in their last game. 

WR Clark, De'Corian 

WR Carpenter, Chris  

WR Cephus, Joshua 

TE Cardenas, Oscar 

QB Harris, Frank 

RB Barnes, Kevorian 

WR McCoy, Bru 

WR Keyton, Ramel 

WR White, Squirrel 

TE Warren, Jacob 

QB Milton III, Joe 

RB Wright, Jaylen  

Passing: F. Harris (423)

Rushing: K. Barnes (245)

Receiving: J. Cephus (245)

Touchdowns: J. Cephus (2)

Passing: J. Milton III (716)

Rushing: J. Wright (296)

Receiving: B. McCoy (166)

Touchdowns: D. Sampson (4)

Coaches:

UTSA Roadrunners: Jeff Traylor (4th season)

Tennessee Volunteers: Josh Heupel (3rd season)